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May 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Lows this morning 46.5 were running 8 to 10 degrees below normal levels this AM. Those relatively chilly overnights look to continue over the next few nights. Today will feature above normal temps well into the 70's before we cool back down to below normal both Thursday and Friday. A chance of some showers looks to work it's way into the area by Sunday but best chances will be southeast of Chester County.
Records for today: High 91 (1964) / Low 30 (1956) / Rain 1.36" (1930)
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Interesting weather fact - Philadelphia International Airport had 22 days over 90 degrees last year in just August and September of last summer. Here in East Nantmeal Township (just 30 NM west of PHL airport )I have recorded 22 days over 90 degrees in the last 10 summers combined!!

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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Our afternoon rain panned out but we got some very nice rain this morning . 👍

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The official H/L yesterday was 67/45 there was no rain fall. There was a reported 47% of possible sunshine with some clouds and a still white smoky sky. There were 0 Cooling Degree Days and 9 Heating Degree Days.

For today the average H/L is 73/52 the record high of 91 was set in 1977 and the record low of 31 was set in 1991. The record rain fall amount of 1.22” fell in 1970.

The overnight low here in MBY so far is 43 it was a cooler 41 at GRR. There are several locations across Michigan in the 20’s this AM. So of the coldest reading are 26 at Marquette, 27 at Grayling, 28 at Iron Mountain and 30 at Pellston. So while our area did not get frost or freeze that was not the case in areas to the north.

It looks to stay dry for the rest of the month. And as is the case with a dry airmass and a dry ground there can be some big swings in the daily temperature. We look to start off on the cool side today with days warming up from the upper 60’s today and reaching the upper 80’s to maybe 90 by next week. Lows should be in the order of the upper 30’s up to maybe the low 60’s by mid next week.

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7 of the last 10 days have featured below normal temperatures. The next couple days will continue that trend before a warm to near normal over the weekend and slightly above normal temps by next week. We have a good chance to finish in the top 20 coldest May's in Chester County history. If the month ended today it would be the 15th chilliest May on record. Unfortunately, rain chances continue to look slim across most of Chester County with the best chance of any rain being Memorial Day evening. In fact with only 0.21" of rain so far this month we are well on our way to the 2nd dryest May in Chester County history...behind only 1964 that received a paltry 0.14" of rain.
Records for today: High 92 (1991) / Low 38 (1926) / Rain 1.92" (1952)
image.png.1614f80f0523d8167a263407fcc330a5.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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North Texas and Western Oklahoma have lines of thunderstorms and showers. Much Appreciated!
Currently 79. Gorgeous day. Heading for 85.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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It's a wonderful morning out here with pristine blue skies, calm winds and a temp fo 71F....I've been enjoying these type of mornings and getting out early to do my hikes and cardio before it gets to warm.  Well, where does the pattern go from here?  As @OKwx2k4has opined, the high lat blocking is/will be an influence as we progress out of Met Spring into Met Summer.  What do the JMA weeklies show??  It certainly does appear that the blocking will be rather strong in the high latitudes and will influence our Sub's pattern quite a bit.  The GL's/MW will start off JUNE rather dry and BN in the temp category.

Week 2...

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Temp/Precip...The blocking will ultimately keep the rains at bay over the eastern SUB, all awhile, the west and Plains get a nice drink from Mother Nature.

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As we get into Mid-June...June Gloom???  Not this year for many near the GL's/MW, but if you live out in SoCal or the coastline of Cali, it looks very cool and that Marine layer could be a big influence.  Nice pocket of "cool" across the Bread Basket of the nation and looks to spread the rains farther East this time.  Unfortunately, it may become very dry up near the Northwoods/Upper MW.

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Temp/Precip...

 

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12z Euro...woah, early season Heat Wave showing up for the eastern ag belt....where its been dry, temps are gonna fry!  DP's won't be bad but things are looking to heat up...not good for farmers...on the bright side, as we flip the calendar into June, the rain chances do appear to increase as a strong CF makes its way south from Canada.

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On the other side of the country, the temps out here in PHX are going down way below normal to around 90F if forecasts hold by end of month and early June.  Pretty interesting stuff.

 

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Another ridiculous day of watching scattered showers and thunderstorms develop 20-25 miles to my west while watching showers fade to nothing as they crossed the river from Western Iowa.

I am now at two straight weeks without even a trace of precipitation in my backyard. The Omaha/ Lincoln “death ridge” just won’t budge and the forecast shows more bone dry weather ahead for the next 7 days… it’s time to break the record for lack of rainfall during the month of May here locally.

The 30-day observed rainfall graphic shows this localized death ridge very well... 🤬

ODome.png

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The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 67/41. There was no rain fall and for the month there has been just 0.84” Yesterday had 92% of possible sunshine and for the 1st time in many days the sky was not white from smoke. There were no CDD’s and 11 HDD’s.

Here in MBY the overnight low so far has been 36 with the dry air there is no frost or dew. The official low at Grand Rapids so far is 38 that 38 is the 5th coldest low for any May 26th at Grand Rapids. For today the average H/L is 73/52 the record high of 90 was set in 2010 and 2020 the record low of 34 was set in 1897 and 1974.The record rain fall amount of 1.32” fell in 2022.

Today we look to start a nice warm up and it should become very summer like for most of next week. Highs could reach near 90 by Tuesday. The Holladay weekend looks to be sunny and warm. There is really no chance of rain for the rest of the month so this month will end up with just 0.84” at Grand Rapids and 0.96” at Lansing Muskegon will have 0.86” and Holland will end up with 1.03” This May should be the 2nd driest at Grand Rapids, The 5th driest at Lansing and Muskegon.

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1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Southwest Nebraska with extensive flooding ongoing from what I’m ready. Family is on a cruise, and we get back to Galveston tomorrow morning. I heard we had about 0.20” last evening in my area. First rain since we left last Thursday. 

Did you have a fun time on the cruise?  How was the weather?

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Another dry and cooler than normal day across the County today. We warm to near normal tomorrow to above normal temps on Memorial Day. It looks likely that we see a brief warm up to above normal temps to start the first 2 days of June before another stretch of below normal temps set in by next Sunday. Unfortunately very little chance of any meaningful rain with the slight chance of a shower across southern sections by Sunday night.
Records for today: High 93 (1914) / Low 35 (1972) / Rain 1.84" (2003)
image.png.c3363b753cd79dc2599adb4b5f36c71f.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

Did you have a fun time on the cruise?  How was the weather?

Great cruise. Weather was hot and humid. Went through a rain shower after leaving Cozumel yesterday afternoon. We are now in the middle of the Gulf heading north to Galveston. We drove it from Nebraska last Thursday and stopped and stayed in Norman and then Houston. Hopefully arrive in Galveston by 8 am tomorrow morning, then the long 13.5 hour drive home to Central Nebraska. Looks like many chances of rain and storms in my area in the next week (30% at times to likely at other times). 

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It’s like 3 days now and we get much needed rain in NW Texas, however it dries up and nada for DFW.  
Rain would be nice. 🫤  Won’t happen.

 

6EAF04D8-5465-4217-A08B-3AD7DE104C68.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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5 hours ago, Stacsh said:

I miss the days when it stormed in the spring.  Zero thunder this May.  It’s been lacking for many years.   All year long.  

Interesting you should mention this.  While we have had some thunder this year, I’ve noticed the lightning/thunder experience we typically have in north Texas has been much tamer generally.  
Explaination?

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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6 hours ago, Stacsh said:

I miss the days when it stormed in the spring.  Zero thunder this May.  It’s been lacking for many years.   All year long.  

For some reason it seems we have not had any big thunderstorms. I know there have been watches and even warning but not too many real storms. How many times have we had a warning for a storm that only produced a few flashes of lightning and that was it? 

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Yesterday the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 75/37 there was no rain fall and 98% of possible sunshine. For May the official rain fall remains at 0.84” at Grand Rapids, 0.96” at Lansing and 0.86 at Muskegon. There were no Cooling Degree Days yesterday and 9 Heating Degree Days. For the month there have been just 4 Cooling Degree Days that is a departure of -27 and there have been 207 Heating Degree Days that is a departure of +2. So based on Degree Days May so far has been cooler than average. For today the average H/L is now up to 74/52 The record for today is 93 set in 2018 and the record low of 30 was set in 1960 the record rain fall amount of 1.12” fell in 1960.

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We are now about to jump into June and the start of meteorological summer. Before we do just a short note on the anniversary of the 1998 derecho that blew thru here on May 31st Note this is the 25 anniversary not the 23rd

https://www.woodtv.com/weather/bills-blog/the-famous-derecho-of-may-31-1998/

JUNE

June is of course the start of meteorological summer it has the most hours of daylight and the average H/L at Grand Rapids starts out at 75.3/54.1 on the 1st and rises to 82.3/61.5 on the 30th The average 30 year mean is 68.1 and the new 15 year average mean is 69.1. The warmest 5 Junes are 74.2 in 1919. 74.0 in 1933. 73.4 in 1921. 73.2 in 1934 and 72.8 in 2005. The coldest 5 are 61.8 in 1969. 61.9 in 1928. 62.0 in 1958. 62.3 in 1926 and 62.5 in 1945. The record highest day is 102 on June 20th 1953 the all time low is 32 on June 4th 1945. The average number of days with highs of 80 or better is 14. The most days of 80 or better is 25 in 1919 the June with the least was 1916 with just 2 days of 80 or better. The average number of days with highs of 85 or better is 8 the most is 18 and that happened on 4 years. There have been 5 years when there we no days of 85 or better. The average number of days of 90 or better is just 3 the most is 14 in 1894 and there have been a total of 37 years when the high did not reach 90 or better in June. The record low for June is 32 on June 4th 1945 it was just 33 on June 11th 1972. The warmest low (for the whole month) was 52 in 1934 in 1938 it did not get any colder than 51 and in 2008 and 2005 it did not get below 50. The wettest June was in 1892 when a reported 13.22” of rain fell.  Last year June had a mean of 69.2 the high for the month was a hot 95 on the 21st there were 3 days of 90 or better. The coolest high was 65 on the 8th. The low for the month was 45om the 4th and the warmest low was a very warm 77 on the 15th There was 1.42” of rain fall last  year in June.

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Meteorological Summer

Meteorological summer starts on June 1st. At Grand Rapids the average mean for meteorological summer is 68.9 using the 30 average and 69.1 using the 15-year average. The warmest summer in recorded history at Grand Rapids is 74.7° in 1955. The 2nd warmest is 73.6 in 2012. The coldest is 1992 with a mean of 65.5. Last year the mean was 71.1. The wettest was in 1994 with 22.63” and the driest was way back in 1894 with 3.03” Last year Grand Rapids recorded 9.22”” of rain fall. On average Grand Rapids has a little over 60% of possible sunshine. On average the hottest day of the year is 92. There have only been two summers when the temperature did not reach 90 or better. The current 30 year average number of days of 90 or better is 9. The most was 36 in 1988 and the least was 0 in 1951 and 2014. Last year there were 7 days of 90 or better at Grand Rapids 6 at Holland and Muskegon and a whopping 17 at hot Lansing. The Summer solstice this year will be on June at 10:57 AM on June 21st   After that date the number of hours of daylight will start their decline towards fall and then winter.

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This morning's low's in the low to mid 40's were almost 10 degrees cooler than we should be as we close out May. If the month ended today this would be the 13th coldest May with 130 years of weather records for the county. Below normal temperatures look likely to continue through Tuesday with the exception of Monday with temps near normal. A strong warming trend looks likely by the end of the week with temps in the low to mid 80's. Unfortunately no rain is on tap the entire week.
Records for today: High 95 (1914) / Low 35 (1930) / Rain 1.89" (1973)
image.png.11f14534ff1a97c4f058bd9270025429.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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With MET summer approaching a look at the fact that away from the heat island that is the PHL Airport our number of 90+ days is actually falling on an annual basis over the last 10 years. Of course at PHL Airport they are off to the races thanks to the UHI problem.

image.png.8ccbfc21dbd164eb5408f13950c68deb.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Down in Iowa for the weekend. Perfect weather with 80s and sun.

Quick life update. Last Saturday my fiancee and I tied the knot! Officially married. We had a small backyard ceremony up at the MN home with family and a few close friends. The weather was perfect with low 70s and sunshine with light wind. It was a blessed day!

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1 minute ago, james1976 said:

Down in Iowa for the weekend. Perfect weather with 80s and sun.

Quick life update. Last Saturday my fiancee and I tied the knot! Officially married. We had a small backyard ceremony up at the MN home with family and a few close friends. The weather was perfect with low 70s and sunshine with light wind. It was a blessed day!

Congrats James!  Glad mother nature cooperated and I want to wish you all the best in your newfound married life!  Enjoy the weekend my friend as it looks mighty fine for the entire holiday weekend.  Kinda jelly bc its the perfect type of weather for outdoor activities and cooler evenings to have a bon fire.

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A Nebraska rancher, named McDole, posted this on Twitter. These folks are suffering as are their herds.  


“All the tanks are bone dry. We are blessed that each pasture has a well and electric waterers, so the cattle have a source of fresh, clean water. They just won't be able to cool off in the tanks when it's hot.”

92AC09B2-6507-4F94-B2CB-6AF9BAF18305.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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3 hours ago, Tom said:

Congrats James!  Glad mother nature cooperated and I want to wish you all the best in your newfound married life!  Enjoy the weekend my friend as it looks mighty fine for the entire holiday weekend.  Kinda jelly bc its the perfect type of weather for outdoor activities and cooler evenings to have a bon fire.

Appreciate it! Yup actually had a fire last night 🙂

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The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 79/43. There was no rain fall and GR has only had 0.03” of rain fall in the past 19 days. There was 83% of possible sunshine yesterday. There were 0 Cooling Degree Days and 4 Heating Degree Days. So far this May there have been just 33 Cooling Degree Days that is a temperature of -29 And there have been 211 Heating Degree Days that is a departure of +2. So the bottom line is at this point May has had above average need for heating and less than average need for cooling.

For today the average H/L is 74/53 the record high of 94 was set in 2008 the record low of 33 was set in 1894 and 1949. The record rain fall amount of 1.85” fell in 1935. At this time it is clear and 49 here in MBY.

The week ahead looks to really warm up with highs that could reach 90 or better. Now while this in much warmer than average the dew point look to mostly remain low so that it should not feel too bad outside and with the expected lows it would be a good idea to open the windows at night and close them during the day. While the expected temperatures could qualify for mini “heatwave” the NWS points out that with the low dew points and rather cool overnight temperatures it should not be too bad.

While we may not officially be in a drought it has became very dry in our area and will end May as one of the driest on record. That dry conditions will be noted as a bigger issue than it being either a cool or warm month.

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Some good signs that the block will start to break down in about a week and allow some storms to make further east.  Obviously this would be huge for farmers in the plains as it's getting close to harvest for the wheat and hay crops.

qpf_acc-imp.conus.png

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17 hours ago, Andie said:

A Nebraska rancher, named McDole, posted this on Twitter. These folks are suffering as are their herds.  


“All the tanks are bone dry. We are blessed that each pasture has a well and electric waterers, so the cattle have a source of fresh, clean water. They just won't be able to cool off in the tanks when it's hot.”

92AC09B2-6507-4F94-B2CB-6AF9BAF18305.jpeg

I've known that in Tx they call these tanks. In Iowa that is known as a pond if there's water in it. I've been to Tx many times in the past and like it, including the wide roads! 

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Today will be the 11th day in the last 14 days with below normal temps across the area. We get closer to normal temps over the next couple days with the warmest day so far this year possible by this coming Friday. Some lower spots and southern sections of the county could even see a 90 degree reading.
We look likely to finish with the 2nd driest May since 1894. Only 1964 with 0.14" featured less rain. Of note today is the latest recorded day with a below freezing temperature with 32 degrees way back in 1927.
Records for today: High 94 (1941) / Low 32 (1927) / Rain 2.94" (1968)
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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