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Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023


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49 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I'm still not sold, but cautiously optimistic. A warm/humid thunderstorm at my house would be cool.  

Having grown up in Georgia, that's the one weather phenomena that I really miss having up here.  I DON'T miss the climate that causes those to be possible, so I guess I have to just suck it up. I would much rather not have to deal with my clothes get drenched with sweat from the simple act of....breathing. 

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29 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Forest fire situation is pretty bad in Alberta. Over 1 million acres burned already and thousands of people evacuated.  Looks like this upcoming ridge will be centered over some of the driest areas. 

its just a matter of time for that smoke to get down here (at least in E WA) with a pattern change.  those fires will burn until October

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13 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Might have to think about the hottest day with recorded precipitation. Record is 96F in August 2014. It's a long shot, but the odds are there.

Hate those days unless it’s a heavy thunderstorm. If it’s a sun-shower or drizzle from anvil blowoff you’re fucked.

In July 2011 we had a 105/79 afternoon and then a storm missed us but dropped some light rain for 45mins. Dewpoint spiked up to 87°F while temp dropped to 89°F and it felt a gazillion times worse than the 105°F. Will never forget that awfulness. 🤮 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Typically forum interest wanes during the warm season. With the developing super Nino, that may carry over this year, unless the 72-73 analog comes to fruition. I'm good either way, a 57-58 redux at least gets the dud monkey off our backs, though I'm not sure we are as "overdue" as everyone thinks we are. A matter of perspective I suppose.

57-58 was wild down here.  1957-58 had 293" of snow at lake level. This year we had 315" 

April 58 was one of the biggest snow storms in Tahoe history. 75" at lake level. 

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41 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Having grown up in Georgia, that's the one weather phenomena that I really miss having up here.  I DON'T miss the climate that causes those to be possible, so I guess I have to just suck it up. I would much rather not have to deal with my clothes get drenched with sweat from the simple act of....breathing. 

I miss the summer storms. I do not miss baseball hail and tornados. 

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

High temps are much more impressive for the Puget Sound region on the 12z GFS than in W. Oregon. 

Looking at pivotal, these might not be the highs, but they are the highest temps I see for each day Saturday-Tuesday.

PDX: 88, 85, 88, 82

SEA: 78, 94, 92, 83

SLE: 84. 84. 85. 82

EUG: 80, 90, 85 85 

Weak sauce for SLE. Almost 100 years ago they reached 93 on 4/26.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

This post was from 11 days ago now... ended up right on target.  Its May 10th and the warm spell is beginning.    I can't really take the credit though it was not guessing on my part.   The MJO and EPS have been excellent guides this spring with the timing of both the cold and warm periods.

Wow, I didn't even gloat this hard when I NAILED 2/22/23 and 9/7/19

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

This post was from 11 days ago now... ended up right on target.  Its May 10th and the warm spell is beginning.    I can't really take the credit though it was not guessing on my part.   The MJO and EPS have been excellent guides this spring with the timing of both the cold and warm periods.

NWS Seattle should hire you

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12 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

According to the GEFS, we're developing our usual summer perma-ridge with endless +5ºC to +10ºC anomalies a bit ahead of schedule:

ens_image.jpg

May 2018

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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31 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Wow, I didn't even gloat this hard when I NAILED 2/22/23 and 9/7/19

You should have!

And again... I didn't just guess this on my own.   I followed the MJO and EPS.   Pretty straightforward progression.    We certainly have veered away from the spring progression last year now.   Probably means summer will be different too which is a good thing.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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52 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Another run with a convective outbreak! Monday is looking fun. Precipitable water over an inch.image.thumb.png.e6fa60d81798bb0709e95ba381fe9587.pngimage.thumb.png.bdea869a9470ae205c89a4a353f6bae3.png

let's hope none of those are dry strikes.  should be early enough in the season this doesn't matter (I hope)

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1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Not just temperate, it's been cool.

60dTDeptWRCC-NW.png

I’m in the yellow! So slightly above average for me!

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 48

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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56 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

Had a nice night up at Mt. St. Helens despite the lack of aurora.  A lot of snow left at Johnston Ridge and the trees are just budding out there.  A frosty morning at Coldwater Lake which was just stunning with the fog.

342743853_624046743083271_6550021452180632482_n.jpg

342812019_905051733913118_5847178738137906827_n.jpg

342907111_210945621687811_5983879844926751844_n.jpg

343231057_1160506727960065_5285142458642842352_n.jpg

344172761_160577220309638_8703379974042644538_n.jpg

344998726_200401289514259_5922908423131395252_n.jpg

You going to try again tonight/tomorrow night? I'll be chasing

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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6 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Dew point of 70 with 2500 J/kg of CAPE. Are we Nebraska now? 

ADD8008D-E08E-4AC2-AFE3-9597B9AC468F.png

DC5E2CBA-51D1-47ED-8FB3-BD4A88ABE9A6.png

My dog is going to think it’s the end of the world…Or the 4th of July…

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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On 5/9/2023 at 11:20 AM, T-Town said:

Need a Yellowstone update from @TacomaWx. Hopefully he didn’t take my advice on petting the bison.

Haha nope everything is all good. Was in a car when i took that photo close up to the bison. Would never be out of the vehicle anywhere near one. 
 Leaving here on Saturday. Has been awesome so far…decent amount of snow that melted quickly the first 2 days and the last 2 days have been warmer and sunnier. 

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5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

What the Euro is showing would be one of the few ways we can get svr warned sfc based warm core convection west of the Cascades. Super rare, it happens once anywhere in this part of the region maybe every few years?

May 2018 would like to have a word with you. 

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27 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

May 2018 would like to have a word with you. 

*2017. 5/4/17. That was a doozy. Really fun storm that one.

May 2020 almost qualifies but those were completely midlevel shenanigans west of the pass.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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