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Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023


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12z EPS. I’m liking some of those wetter ensemble members showing up in the long range. Kind of makes sense to me we would have one more heat event to get through before a possible pattern change.

Then maybe we can put this warm and dry pattern that will have been with us for 6-7 weeks at that point behind us for at least a little while. #wishfulthinking

IMG_1424.png

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Been a long time since we have seen an ensemble chart.   I wonder why?   

Another day similar to the last couple days here with the marine layer coming after 8 a.m. and then burning off in the early afternoon.    Beautiful afternoon in progress.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Been a long time since we have seen an ensemble chart.   I wonder why?   

Another day similar to the last couple days here with the marine layer coming after 8 a.m. and then burning off in the early afternoon.    Beautiful afternoon in progress.  

Just burned off here in the last 30 minutes or so. 

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Camped up on the Siuslaw River. Wonderful 

6462F54C-CB52-4896-834B-0BA2D0CC2D8A.jpeg

0632E2B2-CDCB-4059-966E-82223B0A8B65.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Camped up on the Siuslaw River. Wonderful 

6462F54C-CB52-4896-834B-0BA2D0CC2D8A.jpeg

0632E2B2-CDCB-4059-966E-82223B0A8B65.jpeg

This is a trolling post just like my garden pics.    😎

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 hours ago, Phil said:

Only been in Colorado Springs 3 days but I think I’m already smitten. 😆 Open views, snowcapped terrain, light traffic, interesting weather, etc. Already had a small hail shower and some thunder since I’ve been here. Air is light, no humidity, cardio workouts are more challenging due to altitude (plus it’s easier to get a buzz on, haha). Definitely #1 on my “move-to” list now.

Once you acclimate to the altitude while drinking you can go back to sea level and out drink everyone you know. Everytime our group from Tahoe goes to Vegas for a food trip, we are alarmed at how easy it is to drink and feel ok. lol 

 

Forgot to add though when the Bay Area tourist come up here they usually get absolutely wrecked on their first night drinking at the casinos

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6 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

feck it was freezing in Santa Cruz.  low to mid 50s most of the day until the fog burned off.  went to The Cure concert at Shoreline amphitheater on Saturday night.  in the 50s and windy, also pretty chilly.  back in Spokane where its supposed to be 80 today.  lol

How was the cure? one of the few groups I have never seen live that I would like to see. 

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14 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Very pretty day. Sunny and 76 here. Looks like PDX is going to make a run at 80, lol.

82 on the car thermometer in Eugene. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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50 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

How was the cure? one of the few groups I have never seen live that I would like to see. 

wife and I have been fans since the 80s.  Great. You should see them if you get a chance.  Robert Smith's voice has not changed one bit.  it's amazing

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1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/1657867799463854081?s=20

 

A record high temperature of 90 degrees has been set at Hoquiam this afternoon. This is the warmest temp ever observed there in the month of May since records began in 1953. The runner up is 87 degrees on May 29, 2007. #wawx

That’s from more than two weeks ago. Looks like their high today so far is 62.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

That’s from more than two weeks ago. Looks like their high today so far is 62.

lol I just realized. frickin twitter had that in my timeline like it was current

elroy screwing things up for everyone.

oof

 

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2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

wife and I have been fans since the 80s.  Great. You should see them if you get a chance.  Robert Smith's voice has not changed one bit.  it's amazing

Wow that's awesome that he's still got it.  I saw them in '89 for the Prayer tour in Atlanta with my girlfriend and her friends.  I grew up on classic rock and was just starting to warm up to them when I went.  I really enjoyed the concert and became a fan as the result.

I've been lucky, I think I've been able to see just about every band/musician (still living) that I wanted to see.  I never saw Clapton, REM, (though I met Bill Berry and Michael Stipe), and I'm bummed I never saw the Mighty Mighty Bosstones.

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12 hours ago, Phil said:

Only been in Colorado Springs 3 days but I think I’m already smitten. 😆 Open views, snowcapped terrain, light traffic, interesting weather, etc. Already had a small hail shower and some thunder since I’ve been here. Air is light, no humidity, cardio workouts are more challenging due to altitude (plus it’s easier to get a buzz on, haha). Definitely #1 on my “move-to” list now.

Spring is my favorite season here. Lots of snow still in the mountains, variable weather, frequent precip, and everything is nice and green. Much prettier than the bare and brown (when not snowcovered) we have Nov-first half of April.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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11 hours ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

That altitude is a kicker....Helped out on a cattle drive several years ago with my wife's family and had to chase some cattle out of some trees on foot, I was winded after a few minutes of running around, then remembered "oh yeah, sea level lungs at 4,600 feet."

Colorado has always been a place that has been on my radar, but I just can't give up my ocean access.

Yep. First day here I made 5K but was super winded afterwards and slower time too. Resting heart rate was ~ 15bpm higher during the first 36hrs.

Now I’m back to normal but will be interesting to see what happens when I get home. Am going to try to run “the incline” tomorrow and see if I can make the top without stopping (doubtful, but you miss 100% of the shots you don’t take, right?).

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8 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

wife and I have been fans since the 80s.  Great. You should see them if you get a chance.  Robert Smith's voice has not changed one bit.  it's amazing

I very much wanted to go to this upcoming concert of theirs-- I've pretty much binge-listened to most of their discography the past couple years (Disintegration being undoubtedly my favorite). 

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Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

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Hope everyone had a good holiday weekend. Currently 49F and pleasant.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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This MJO-based projection from Dr. Paul Roundy has nailed the pattern progression for the last couple of months at least.

If it’s correct, one heck of a SW/S-Central US low by midsummer. And a return to normalcy in the PNW region in a couple weeks’ time.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/indexmjo.html

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28 minutes ago, Phil said:

This MJO-based projection from Dr. Paul Roundy has nailed the pattern progression for the last couple of months at least.

If it’s correct, one heck of a SW/S-Central US low by midsummer. And a return to normalcy in the PNW region in a couple weeks’ time.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/indexmjo.html

The last 10 days have been within a degree of normal at SEA.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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ECMWF and EPS actaully show Sunday being fairly cool.   Any heat wave that could be coming is being pushed back.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF and EPS actaully show Sunday being fairly cool.   Any heat wave that could be coming is being pushed back.  

Too bad this cool pattern is a dry one. 

IMG_5834.png

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

This MJO-based projection from Dr. Paul Roundy has nailed the pattern progression for the last couple of months at least.

If it’s correct, one heck of a SW/S-Central US low by midsummer. And a return to normalcy in the PNW region in a couple weeks’ time.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/indexmjo.html

Looks cryptic to me. But if California remains in the refrigerator this summer that's not very Nino-like. The Super Nino of 1983 had a hot summer.

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Some straitform rainfall would be so nice. Really starting to look like mid summer here with the grass turning brown in the last week or two. Besides the decent soaking rain in early May the faucet basically shut off in late April. Not that the faucet was ever really on much this rainy season. 

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