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Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023


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16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not normally happy about cloudy and cool on a weekend day... but today is perfect for yard work.   Cloudy and dry and around 60.   We had our water fun yesterday so today is very welcome.  Particularly if the models hold with the warm solution for next weekend.

Days like today are what I used to love about living here. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Days like today are what I used to love about living here. 

My wife said basically the same thing this morning.   She thinks the last few summers have been way too extreme and it's threatening what she loves most about this area.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My wife said basically the same thing this morning.   She thinks the last few summers have been way too extreme and it's threatening what she loves most about this area.

Same wife who was threatening to leave after summer 2010?

A forum for the end of the world.

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Same wife who was threatening to leave after summer 2010?

Not after summer 2010... she was feeling homesick in June 2010 when it was raining every day and we had a little baby daughter.   She is not a fan of rain every day in the warm season and also not a fan of heat and drought.   I think she prefers less extremes and something in the middle... like most people.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Severe T-storm watch has been issued for counties to my East and South. Not under anything at my current location. Not super concerned as the forecast today improved vs yesterday.

 

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Stats:

First Freeze:`TBA

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Not normally happy about cloudy and cool on a weekend day... but today is perfect for yard work.   Cloudy and dry and around 60.   We had our water fun yesterday so today is very welcome.  Particularly if the models hold with the warm solution for next weekend.

As long as we get a couple more weeks of record heat in exchange for these three satanic days all is well.

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29 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

As long as we get a couple more weeks of record heat in exchange for these three satanic days all is well.

Low to mid 70s would be ideal.    I remember in 2009 we started a long dry spell right about now that went until June 19th.  While there was a few hot days in there... most of the days were in the upper 60s to mid 70s.   It was amazingly pleasant.  Then we got about 1.5 inches of rain in 3 days from June 19-21 and then it did not rain again until August 10th.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Picked up 0.08” of light rain/drizzle this morning. Has been cloudy all day and it’s 61 after a low of 52. Should be our coolest day in over 2 weeks. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Minimum high-60

Minimum low-44

 -40 highs-0

 -32 lows-0

 -32 highs-0

monthly rainfall-3.14”

cold season rainfall-0.00”

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Mid 50s here under a solid stratus deck… was supposed to get to low 60s so this feels like the first underachiever in a while. Would be nice to get some substantial rain out of this period before we go back to ridging mid week but it doesn’t look too promising. Will have to hope that Phil’s zonal / whet June comes through.

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We’re running +5F MTD…and well below normal rainfall with just 0.68” this month. Looks like it’ll be a bit cooler coming up compared to recent times then warming up again. Much different than last year. 

2023-2024 cold season stats

Minimum high-60

Minimum low-44

 -40 highs-0

 -32 lows-0

 -32 highs-0

monthly rainfall-3.14”

cold season rainfall-0.00”

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It’s coming.

E9D7A01B-1520-4315-9735-B770E19DBA36.jpeg

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2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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Had a high of 55! Currently 53! Good day to continue my backyard refresh. 

IMG_5633.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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25 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Snow at 49 F?

Must be an error or something. It’s not going to snow at 49 here lol.

2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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18Z EPS and control run went back to the trough for Saturday (end of the run).

Decent chance the 00Z runs all flip back.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Forecast shows 71 on Saturday and 68 on Sunday for PDX. Will there be a big offshore push on Memorial Day?

No... that forecast indicates the uncertainty.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Ah! What glorious blessings!

Dense drizzle, water dripping off trees and roofs. 52F. What a marvelous turnaround from 24 hours ago.

Looks like KSEA, a bit too far to the south, has just now mixed up to 60F. Almost had a psub-psixty there.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Lake Salmonella doesn't deserve to be made fun of. All lakes are beautiful, even if they are fouled by rancid swarms of writhing milfoil.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Lake Salmonella doesn't deserve to be made fun of. All lakes are beautiful, even if they are fouled by rancid swarms of writhing milfoil.

It really is truly ugly... but we have to make the best of it.   We are very unlucky to have lakes in King County. 

20230520_140232.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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56 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Ah! What glorious blessings!

Dense drizzle, water dripping off trees and roofs. 52F. What a marvelous turnaround from 24 hours ago.

Looks like KSEA, a bit too far to the south, has just now mixed up to 60F. Almost had a psub-psixty there.

Been bone dry here all day. ☹️

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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21 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Who can decode these abbreviations?

1. ML

2. CE

3. DFA

4. MG

5. JG

6. RC

7. PAC (Hint: Not Pacific)

I’m glad you’re feeling better.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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33 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

Another severe thunderstorm warning in extreme eastern Oregon. I had to use the Boise, Idaho radar because Pendleton radar couldn't pick up that thunderstorm.

KCBX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 8_41 PM.gif

That’s a big storm traversing some very lonely country. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Absolutely loving the weather out there tonight.  It's 49F, raining, windy (I can hear the wind chimes) and all around stormy.  It feels like an autumn or winter stormy evening. 

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I posted these in the wrong thread two days ago and figured you'd like to see them here. Some pretty clouds and sky that night.  I found the clouds unique.  I forgot their name.  Completely opposite to the rain and wind tonight.

DSCN2597.thumb.JPG.b74d04e5cf5301b594f5e59e12fc2acd.JPG.b6142a8442011aa827d36b62e255fc4e.JPGDSCN2595.thumb.JPG.3e42a04bcb64e759329749182da91ec6.JPG.917c658d95fc1e3b21d4eed7e4eeec3e.JPGDSCN2596.thumb.JPG.9c3ef7d54cd6f475815e54ad122e8a82.JPG.9a09edb08fc4a0a2e35c12a389602f86.JPG

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I was up at 7,000' in the North Cascades this weekend and the heat is decimating the modest snowpack we had. It looks more like mid to late June up there than mid May. Melt out happened at Steven's Pass today which is about 2.5 weeks earlier than normal. Oregon (and southern WA) are still looking okay for the moment. 

Screenshot2023-05-21at9_31_46PM.thumb.png.97e8f4d13721c166f70b5f3f1d44d62c.png

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 10" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6", 1/31: 0.25", 2/28: 0.5"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1, 2/26)

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9 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Absolutely loving the weather out there tonight.  It's 49F, raining, windy (I can hear the wind chimes) and all around stormy.  It feels like an autumn or winter stormy evening. 

Completely agree. Sitting out under the covered porch listening to the rain. One of the warmer season weather events I look most forward to. 

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

And privileged yuppies.

Of course you are a privileged yuppy and world traveler.

 

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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29 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Looks like a bit of a convergence just north of Seattle. Starting to rain fairly decently. 

I can tell its raining/drizzling quite well on the Issaquah cams and spreading east.  Radar does not do it justice... its low level precip in the c-zone.

SE_56thELSP_SE (5).jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I know the next run will be different... but that is an incredible trough to the west on the 00Z GFS.

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5815200.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Skagit Weather said:

I was up at 7,000' in the North Cascades this weekend and the heat is decimating the modest snowpack we had. It looks more like mid to late June up there than mid May. Melt out happened at Steven's Pass today which is about 2.5 weeks earlier than normal. Oregon (and southern WA) are still looking okay for the moment. 

Screenshot2023-05-21at9_31_46PM.thumb.png.97e8f4d13721c166f70b5f3f1d44d62c.png

Isn't snowpack percentage a lot less important this time of year, though, compared to winter and early spring?

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A forum for the end of the world.

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58/49 for the day today IMBY. Actually felt cool but nice today.

2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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00Z ECMWF on board with the warm scenario for next weekend... but with daily explosions of thunderstorms from the Cascades eastward across central and eastern WA and OR.   Looks pretty interesting.  

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-t2m_f_max6-5232000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_6hr_inch-5232000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-t2m_f_max6-5318400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_6hr_inch-5318400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Woke up to rain pounding on the roof... picked up .40 overnight which is very welcome.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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