Madtown Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I’m so hungover. That storm was cool for like 2 hours but it wasn’t really anything to brag about, by any means. I know it’s January, but I’m going to be in Houston Texas for all of February, so I hope I can snag some severe wx while I’m down there and hopefully come back to Chicago and all of you guys under a foot of snow! I think we all deserve it this yearGood luck with the storms down here ere. It's been a dry winter except for this one recent front that had a nice squall line. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Currently it is 22F under mostly cloudy skies w a few flurries flying around. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Well one things for sure models are having one hell of time with storms this year. It sees them but then they change constantly. Next week's storm looking like a major icing event. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Well one things for sure models are having one hell of time with storms this year. It sees them but then they change constantly. Next week's storm looking like a major icing event.Yep, slopfest continues. But, its still a couple of days away. Let the fun begin. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Gfs and icon both with that storm yet Gfs 10-12+ across IA and MN/WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 GFS back to a colder solution across Iowa. LOL. I trust nothing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Latest trends for the late week system are not looking friendly down here as that dang GOM ridge blossoms which has been a part of this pattern. I recall posting and commenting about this ridge in Nov and Dec when it shunted storms to the north. There is some blocking, however, that forms over the Archipelago/NE Canada regions during this period that may help "press" some colder air initially to provide a "thump" snow scenario to some of us before the SLP tracks over head and switches precip over to rain/snow mix scenario. This storm is still 6-7 days away and will likely be thread worthy, but we can wait maybe another day or so to fire one up. 00z GEFS... Based on this winter's track record, I will go with #4, 5, 7 or 19 being most likely for snow distribution. The most northerly solutions basically. Warmth wins this year. Those amounts always seem overly zealous so I'd suppose we could trim them a bit. I'll be honest and say after yesterday I'm squarely back to skepticism mode. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Probably should make a thread so it can turn into a dakotas special. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Awfly bold for an office that just face-planted: 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Awfly bold for an office that just face-planted: 2020012 10 am KRMY gridcast.PNGNeva thought I'd see a forecast for us like that this Winter........ Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 FWIW: GFS went south per last recent runs. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 12z GFS with quite the beast for Friday. Only 5 days away, what could go wrong lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 ^^^ we just saw what/how they go wrong Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 For my area, I'm just expecting an inch or two of snow followed by mix and maybe even a bit of rain at the end of the week. The bigger snow should be well north 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 12z GFS with quite the beast for Friday. Only 5 days away, what could go wrong lolThe same thing that happened with the snow on Wednesday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Neva thought I'd see a forecast for us like that this Winter........ We shouldn't be seeing that ofc, especially from this range! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 LOLz at 12z GFS already trolling mby 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 LOLz at 12z GFS already trolling mby 2020012 12z GFS Snow Troll-job.PNG :lol: :lol: 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We shouldn't be seeing that ofc, especially from this range!I know right, kinda looks like a teaser tbh. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Gfs and icon both with that storm yet Gfs 10-12+ across IA and MN/WILooking good. Best looking pattern in a while for sure. You’re in a good spot with the potential late week storm. Best stuff may shoot east of here. We’ll see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man that storm looking so crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 @St Paul Storm, how you looking today? Advisory close to ya Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 GFS has the storm moving into IA Thursday night already Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 @St Paul Storm, how you looking today? Advisory close to yaNah, we won’t get advisory level snows here. Better forcing in S MN. Looks like a 1-2” refresher here. You should get about the same or maybe a bit more no? Edit: I didn’t even realize the advisory was just south of here. Whoops. Still looks like 1-2”. Current radar looking like what the models are showing. That’s a positive sign. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nah, we won’t get advisory level snows here. Better forcing in S MN. Looks like a 1-2” refresher here. You should get about the same or maybe a bit more no? Edit: I didn’t even realize the advisory was just south of here. Whoops. Still looks like 1-2”. Current radar looking like what the models are showing. That’s a positive sign.DMX has 2-3" for me but holding off on advisory Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro looks good for mn/wi/mi/ia on Friday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 12z Euro is colder with a farther-south low track. My area doesn't get into the rain this run.... snow to mix. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro looking good for the late week system. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Euro 24-hour snowfall... would be a pretty heavy front-end thump. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I think Tom’s idea back in Nov. of a crazy winter with the potential of epic runs of winter was right on track, the one thing that has messed this up is the cold. It just won’t lock into place! Look at Thanksgiving week, several more storms in Dec. and then of course, our most recent storm. Just imagine cold air in place? It would have been epic! Here in KC, it’s been crazy warm the last 8 weeks, but, I have scored two big winter storms wrt snow removal services. So, I have caught lighting in a bottle in what is an overall warm winter so far. Another big storm due in late this week that may very well have the same problem, cold weather in place. We’ll see as there is cold air in the pattern, maybe the latest GFS is on to something. There are signs of a back loaded winter with storms and cold, let’s see what happens. Total of 1.51 inches of rain, . 3/10’s ice coating, half inch of sleet and then 2-3 inches of snow at my place in KC. What a storm!!! Go Chiefs! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 whats the timing on it compared to GFS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 whats the timing on it compared to GFS? GFS is about 6 hours ahead of the Euro. GFS has heavy snow into Cedar Rapids early morning Friday while the Euro is mid morning. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Radar looking pretty good for me today. Can anyone tell me how any of the short term models look for today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Radar looking pretty good for me today. Can anyone tell me how any of the short term models look for today?Widespread 2-3” north of I-80. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Sunny and 35°@1pm. Snow and sleet will all but be a memory by sunset tonight. Back down to a low of only 31° and back up to near 60° on Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Widespread 2-3” north of I-80.Appreciate it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Looking into the future, it's starting to look like a longer-term reoccurring ridge is going to try to flare back over Oklahoma and TX. This should once again keep Andie and I on the warm side of things with exception of what looks to be a cool-down next weekend or shortly thereafter. The northern tier looks to get wintry the next 6-10 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I'm thinking more like 1" down here in the CR/IC area today. Recent HRRR runs are focusing the best snow farther nw where 2-3" could fall. The HRRR only has a 2-hour band of snow moving through this area. It's a thicker, longer-lasting band up by Waterloo and Mason City. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 **** see my post in yesterday's storm thd, the dead thd, lol **** Due to the parallel winter proposition, I've decided this one will have legs here for mby, since last Jan 17-18 was my first real storm of 2019. This one's coming in right on target.. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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