January 2020 Observations & Discussion

[CentralNebWeather]

18z GFS 10 day snow totals for entertainment purposes only.

[Madtown]

[CentralNebWeather]

[Stormhunter87]

I was just about to say a big storm starting to show up.

[jaster220]

I was just about to say a big storm starting to show up.

 

No joke. Even from this range it's showing 30 hrs of flakes flying over my way, and it's not even that well developed. Could be our dream big or go home bowling ball for the heart of the Sub

[CentralNebWeather]

No joke. Even from this range it's showing 30 hrs of flakes flying over my way, and it's not even that well developed. Could be our dream big or go home bowling ball for the heart of the Sub

I like your thinking

[Niko]

Have to watch for possible storm late next week as well. More on that after this storm.

[Andie]

Well, if you don't like Texas weather, just hang around, it'll change.

 

High of 81 freakin' degrees today. (If that won't kill ya, nothing will!)

Mt. Cedar pollen is off the hook! Just a misery.

 

Cold front will come through tonight, Low mid 40's. High mid 50's and Rain.

Rain Friday as well but late in the afternoon. 1-2" over the 2 day event.

 

Then rain and chilly temps return early next week. So, yeah. That should keep things interesting.

Everyone is struggling to stay healthy through this.

[Thunder98]

I found winter.

 

[snowstorm83]

It's a chilly one tonight, already down to a breezy 6. Coldest it's been since mid November (wow that's sad  ) Maybe flirting with zero by sunrise? 

[Tom]

Morning temps out in the Plains/MW are Subzero this morning!  Brrrr....this is quite the punch of arctic air out W & NW of here, esp those in NE/KS with no snow OTG.  Many places with snow OTG in IA are subzero this morning.  Better get acclimated quick, imagine how cold it's going to feel later this weekend post storm when a strong HP invades the region on top of a fresh snow cover.  Easily, the coldest air of the season is on the way and I'm sure many spots in IA/WI/MN will see double digit Subzero readings.

 

Once we get past this weekends system, we set our sights on the next big ticket storm coming out of the central Rockies and ejecting out into the central Plains/MW later next week into the following weekend.  This system is taking on a look you typically see in March/April as it slowly migrates eastwards towards the Lower Lakes/OHV.  Seasons first CO Low/Bowling Ball???  Spread the wealth???  It's certainly looking very interesting over the next 10 days with storm systems lining up in sequential order.  Who said this Winter is a dud???  The storms are coming and the 500mb pattern over the next 2 weeks will undoubtedly provide a much more conducive pattern for "Southern Stream Storms".

 

IMO, the 06z GFS is showing what I think will happen...maybe even a bit farther south than this but the general idea is for our southern members to get in on the action.

 

 

 

[Clinton]

Morning temps out in the Plains/MW are Subzero this morning!  Brrrr....this is quite the punch of arctic air out W & NW of here, esp those in NE/KS with no snow OTG.  Many places with snow OTG in IA are subzero this morning.  Better get acclimated quick, imagine how cold it's going to feel later this weekend post storm when a strong HP invades the region on top of a fresh snow cover.  Easily, the coldest air of the season is on the way and I'm sure many spots in IA/WI/MN will see double digit Subzero readings.

 

Once we get past this weekends system, we set our sights on the next big ticket storm coming out of the central Rockies and ejecting out into the central Plains/MW later next week into the following weekend.  This system is taking on a look you typically see in March/April as it slowly migrates eastwards towards the Lower Lakes/OHV.  Seasons first CO Low/Bowling Ball???  Spread the wealth???  It's certainly looking very interesting over the next 10 days with storm systems lining up in sequential order.  Who said this Winter is a dud???  The storms are coming and the 500mb pattern over the next 2 weeks will undoubtedly provide a much more conducive pattern for "Southern Stream Storms".

 

IMO, the 06z GFS is showing what I think will happen...maybe even a bit farther south than this but the general idea is for our southern members to get in on the action.

 

 

 

The EPS is beginning to juice up.  If enough cold air can mix in this one could go big.

[james1976]

-7 this morning. Definitely woke me up when I walked out the door!

[james1976]

DMX already mentioning the possibility of a winter storm next weekend ☺

[St Paul Storm]

-8F with a chill of -27. High today of 3F before the storm tomorrow bumps us up to the low 20s.

[Niko]

Light snow falling w a balmy temp of 31F.

[westMJim]

Currently there is some  light snow falling with a temperature of 25. To the west and NW of here there are temperatures that are now below zero. After last weekends “Winter Storm Not!” I wonder how many of the NWS offices will be a little more cautious (maybe) in handing out their headlines. But then if the weather is bad or good do we really need to be “warned?” or “advised” for that matter?
 

[Stacsh]

Next week looks interesting.  Bowling ball of a system weakening and transferring energy to the east coast and it moves through the lakes. 

[Andie]

Woke to loud claps to thunder this morning accompanied with heavy rain.

Still raining for awhile.

Flash flooding complicated rush hour that saw 2 dozen wrecks.

 

We're at 49* and have hit the high for the day.

This and next week will remain in the high 40's- low 50's.

 

Rain again tonight.

[MIKEKC]

GFS shows we lose the cold air after early in the week and the next storm is rain late in the week for most.

 

Still having problems with locking in the cold...dang it.

 

Hopefully that trends colder, looks like a nice storm.

[Niko]

A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LAPEER...NORTHEASTERNOAKLAND...MACOMB AND NORTHEASTERN GENESEE COUNTIES...At 1141 AM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending fromHadley to near Macomb Township to 9 miles south of Harsens Island.Movement was southeast at 35 mph.Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this dangeroussnow squall. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roadsare likely to lead to accidents in very heavy snow. Consider delaying travel until thesquall passes your location.

[OmahaSnowFan]

12Z Euro looks warm in the extended after this weekend/beginning of next week.

[Niko]

Plenty of time to iron out the storm next week, but would not worry about temp profiles this early, as there will be a deep snowcover ground around and will tend to keep temps colder.

[jaster220]

Next week looks interesting.  Bowling ball of a system weakening and transferring energy to the east coast and it moves through the lakes. 

 

That's the part that would blow chunks if this indeed becomes a decent storm. Right now, it wants to blow it's load west of us and give us it's left-overs. We need it to go like GHD-2 and or Dec 2000 bliz, strengthening as it heads east. I guess the good news from this range is there's a system showing and the seasonal trend has favored storms getting amped around the GL's

[Tom]

According to the Euro Weeklies, the following week should see an uptick in the snow dept for those farther south/east and more broad based coverage with  continuation of the general storm track this season.

 

First 10 days of February continue the theme???  #SWFlow

[Niko]

Its currently at 23F under mostly clear skies and its windy as well. Wcf is at 4F. Lows dropping tanite into the low to mid teens.

[Niko]

Attm, getting some light snow w temps at 23F.

[jaster220]

Its currently at 23F under mostly clear skies and its windy as well. Wcf is at 4F. Lows dropping tanite into the low to mid teens.

 

 Yep, gonna build some pond ice for the snow to lay on! With this week's originally torchy look getting tamped down to mostly 30's, about half the ponds/rain puddles kept their ice, so they should have no trouble recovering quickly with this onset of arctic air. 19F attm with a low of 11F in the grid 

[Niko]

 Yep, gonna build some pond ice for the snow to lay on! With this week's originally torchy look getting tamped down to mostly 30's, about half the ponds/rain puddles kept their ice, so they should have no trouble recovering quickly with this onset of arctic air. 19F attm with a low of 11F in the grid 

Also, I like the fact that arctic air is in place b4 the snowstorm hits.

[Niko]

The "SnowSqual Warning that was posted for my area today gave me this scenery afterwards y'all.............

 

[Madtown]

[SE Wisconsin]

^Nice!

Looks like a bigtime rainer next Fri...540 line all the way up to the UP on the gfs.

Lovely, I guess the message here is to enjoy this weekend's storm while we can because it's back to the "same old same old" after this. 

[Clinton]

GFS mean getting a good feel for the storm due in late next week.  Nice totals for this far out.

[Clinton]

The CMC and EPS mean also.

[Wxmidatlantic]

Fun times.

[Andie]

Still in the 40's-50's.

 

Still light rain.

 

We need it and another round in a week. Gotta love winter.

[Niko]

Attm, its 17F under partly cloudy skies. A few clouds are starting to show up.

[CentralNebWeather]

GFS, Canadian, and ICON all have a storm for next Thursday in the Central US.  Locations and precipitation types not that important yet, but there does seem to be some model consensus of storminess on the 23rd and 24th.  

[MIKEKC]

We lose the cold air when that storm hits, likely resulting in yet another system that isn’t a slam dunk snow storm for all.

 

The Canadian model has snow from Wednesday morning through Friday afternoon..48+ hours with 8-12 in KC.

 

Yeah...okay

[BrianJK]

Yikes - we might string 3 consecutive days below normal here before finally getting back to upper 30s/lower 40s