Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Prairiedog]

I would guess it did in Dec 2013.  That's the only way they pulled off that -10 low.

It was.  I had two mornings of 8.  Couple days with highs 23-24f.  Had a couple inches of snow at the onset and it hung around over a week.  My creek froze over and locals said it had been a long time since that had happened. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Headed home now...think I might see some snowflakes at home tonight too.

[bainbridgekid]

[seattleweatherguy]

I saw some mixed percip earlier in bothell at my elevation hopefully a cz can get over me

[Requiem]

Why are you teenagers so moody and stressed out these days? My daughter is 14 and , d**n, easily does well in school but stresses herself out for no reason.

 

Speaking for myself, usually because of school issues.

[Perturbed Member]

Mark has a new post https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/

 

"Beyond Tuesday?  Of course we’re talking 7 days out in time, but models are hinting we could see a classic snow/ice storm setup somewhere west of the Cascades.  ALL models agree that an approaching system from the west will pull cold/dry arctic air south & west from Washington and through the Gorge.  Then moisture rides over that cold air…a classic!  But will it be a relatively brief snow/ice event after Tuesday or a historic drawn-out snow storm?  It’s too far out in time and both are possible.  Luckily we have many days to figure it out.  The reason I have confidence that we’re going to see at least SOMETHING is the ensembles from the different models.  43 of 51 ECMWF ensemble members show at least 2″ snow around Wilsonville (I chose a location along I-5 corridor) by next Friday.  You don’t often see such good agreement among the ensembles, clearly a spike around next Wednesday/Thursday."

[jcmcgaffey]

Yeah....it looks insane. The gradient is much weaker once you get south of Bellingham, but the Puget Sound region should still see some good north winds. Bellingham could be in top tier territory for sure.

The north winds with last February’s event were pretty crazy in north Seattle.

trim.B0D155CC-7292-4EBB-A587-0EA7AB7CC9AC.MOV

[SilverFallsAndrew]

There was a well defined arctic boundary on 12/14/08 in the Willamette Valley. There also was with the November 2010 frontal passage, not as crazy as in the Seattle area, but there was a decent temp drop and a period of snow with it in the mid-valley at least. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Picked up a surprise 1/3" of snow this evening. Currently 32 with some flurries. 

[Weiner Warrior]

Splat test positive south Seattle

[Jesse]

I would guess it did in Dec 2013.  That's the only way they pulled off that -10 low.

 

Doesn't count since he wasn't living in the area and/or didn't look outside the entire time.

 

[Jesse]

Down to 38 with light to moderate rain here. Wintery!

[Timmy Supercell]

Picked up a surprise 1/3" of snow this evening. Currently 32 with some flurries. 

 

Been sitting at a trace amount since midnight.

[Deweydog]

KING TIDES this weekend at the coast. Kinda bummed I’m gonna miss it as they’re coinciding with some decent swells.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Doesn't count since he wasn't living in the area and/or didn't look outside the entire time.

 

 

There was not really a defined arctic boundary with that. It was a slow bleed of cold air into the region. I was reading the December 2013 archives the other day and people were kind of losing it over how slow the cold air was moving in.

 

The coldest air surged in behind the low on the 6th, but the arctic air started seeping in on the 4th. 

[Jesse]

Mental illness stemming from social media use

 

Yes because adolescents have never been stressed or moody in the entire history of time before this generation.

[Jesse]

KING TIDES this weekend at the coast. Kinda bummed I’m gonna miss it as they’re coinciding with some decent swells.

 

What is a king tide? We were actually considering going to the coast this weekend.

[GHweatherChris]

What is a king tide? We were actually considering going to the coast this weekend.

Yuge

[Front Ranger]

Euro tide.

[MossMan]

Sunday could very well be one epic day!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yes because adolescents have never been stressed or moody in the entire history of time before this generation.

 

It has reached a fever pitch.

[Deweydog]

There was not really a defined arctic boundary with that. It was a slow bleed of cold air into the region. I was reading the December 2013 archives the other day and people were kind of losing it over how slow the cold air was moving in.

 

The coldest air surged in behind the low on the 6th, but the arctic air started seeping in on the 4th.

February 5, 2014 sticks out to me as one of the more pure advection dynamics. Sunny skies with temps dropping into the mid 20’s by peak heating in February was super impressive.

[Cloud]

Speaking for myself, usually because of school issues.

Unfortunately wishing for snow doesn't make these issues goes away. It only delays it. Stay focus. 

This is an issue that is well within your control. Weather isn't, remember that. However, if seeing incredible weather makes you happy, then I hope for best for ya, it's within range. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Anyone check out the NAM yet?

[Jesse]

Yuge

 

Yeah, looks to be an exceptionally high spring tide. Hadn't heard the term before.

[seattleweatherguy]

Sunday could very well be one epic day!!

Going to start snowing before the game or after?

[GHweatherChris]

It has reached a fever pitch.

It is alot more drastic now than when I was an adolescent.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snow falling here and 34 degrees.

[Jesse]

It has reached a fever pitch.

 

Kids these days!!!

[Esquimalt]

Anyone check out the NAM yet?

Looks a bit like the icon

[Deweydog]

What is a king tide? We were actually considering going to the coast this weekend.

The biggest tides of the year always land around Xmas and New Years but every once in a while the celestial bodies create exceptionally large ones. It’s not rare, but with combination of the big system this weekend there should be some crazy wave watching opportunities.

[markjb]

Here it is!

 

Dang....I don't laugh out loud to myself very often but this is just so funny I can't help it. I need to find my way to urgent care now, I think I cracked a rib and might have a punctured lung from laughing so hard !!! Thanks for re- posting this video. Hey, there was another video a couple of winters ago that was very funny also. It was two collage age students sitting in front of a monitor waiting for the model update to roll out... very funny !  If anyone still has that video maybe they can put that one up also.  Thanks again..Mark

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The biggest tides of the year always land around Xmas and New Years but every once in a while the celestial bodies create exceptionally large ones. It’s not rare, but that with combination of the big system this weekend there should be some crazy wave watching opportunities.

Where do you like to go and watch waves? The south Jetty at ocean shores is pretty good and the long beach jetty.

[Requiem]

I think all models are looking wonderful. GFS is a little concerning for snow down here in PDX, but no use in looking at details this far out I guess

 

Offshore flow and some wintry weather/cold looks likely next week.

[Deweydog]

Where do you like to go and watch waves? The south Jetty at ocean shores is pretty good and the long beach jetty.

Ocean Shores or Westport are probably the best but I have local ties to Ilwaco so we usually go to Fort Canby or North Head. South Jetty at Fort Stevens on the Oregon side is good too.

[GHweatherChris]

Ocean Shores or Westport are probably the best but I have local ties to Ilwaco so we usually go to Fort Canby or North Head. South Jetty at Fort Stevens on the Oregon side is good too.

Westport gets stupid ridiculous at the Jetty at the end of the docks by the water tower, major flooding!!

[Front Ranger]

I'd love to be at the OR coast for a major storm one day.

 

Definitely saw some storms there during the years growing up we went there for Thanksgiving, but nothing major.

[Deweydog]

I'd love to be at the OR coast for a major storm one day.

 

Definitely saw some storms there during the years growing up we went there for Thanksgiving, but nothing major.

12-2/3-07 was insane. Even after growing up down there it was at a level that was at times pretty unnerving. Definitely the biggest weather spectacle I’ve been exposed to.

[GHweatherChris]

12-2/3-07 was insane. Even after growing up down there it was at a level that was at times pretty unnerving. Definitely the biggest weather spectacle I’ve been exposed to.

Growing up in Westport during strong windstorms was awesome, we would run and jump off small dune hills with the wind and fly well over 20 feet without much effort.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12-2/3-07 was insane. Even after growing up down there it was at a level that was at times pretty unnerving. Definitely the biggest weather spectacle I’ve been exposed to.

The power of the ocean is nothing short of incredible. I was talking to one of the people at the museum at the lighthouse above Cape disappoint near long beach and he told me the waves crash on that big cliff and will hit the windows on the museum during the big storms and it's over 200 feet above the water.