Clinton Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Topeka radar looks great. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 I was just getting ready to post the same thing, I just transitioned over to sleet which is a good thing cause I have about 1/4in of ice. I think we are good for 2-5in of snow today, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Look at KC’s radar, you can see SE to NW rotation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 What a disappointment so far. Yesterday, ski hill was mostly ice until around noon, when it turned to slush. Felt more like a march day of riding. Then, we got anything but snow in SE Wisconsin, Lake Geneva area. I really hope this second wave comes through. Glad I didn't bother with my snowmobile pass yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 i like the looks of this on radar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 It hardly snowed anything so far even though radar is showing a nearly stationary small patch of snow overhead. I picked up 0.80" of rainfall yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 i like the looks of this on radarLooks like most meso and Weather future casts dissipates that big band near KC through the morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 I have been in the newly forming comma head this morning but it already looks to be shifting east of me soon. I think you guys down stream are looking good, but after all the hype it looks as though I am destined to receive the proverbial dusting to 1/2". So maybe next time...or the time after that...or the time after that... 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Good to see the models coming around. I feel much better about receiving several inches of snow today. The radar is showing some heavy snow developing just south of Wichita, that is a great spot for me. I have a nice glaze of ice with frz drizzle falling and winds are gusty. I would expect Chicago land to do very well today, hope you get a WSW. I'm pretty sure he will. Even my office concedes there's a potential for the defo part to over-perform. All those SR maps are a mixed result for here tho. Some show a few inches whiles others are almost a whiff so it's hard to be pumped. Gonna be a now-cast but I have my doubts it can come through. More amped will push the forcing NW of here leaving me in a zone of dry subsidence. I'm in a let's see mode.. So far, the rainer part has verified here with 2.1" since yesterday evening. The CF finally came thru here this morning and I've heard/seen some nice gusts already. Temp went from 54F at 7:30 down to 38F at 9:30. Best of luck today bud! Agree with you on that blossoming snow shield in E KS 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 2.5 with the first wave and likely shutout with the second Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 I'm pretty sure he will. Even my office concedes there's a potential for the defo part to over-perform. All those SR maps are a mixed result for here tho. Some show a few inches whiles others are almost a whiff so it's hard to be pumped. Gonna be a now-cast but I have my doubts it can come through. More amped will push the forcing NW of here leaving me in a zone of dry subsidence. I'm in a let's see mode.. So far, the rainer part has verified here with 2.1" since yesterday evening. The CF finally came thru here this morning and I've heard/seen some nice gusts already. Temp went from 54F at 7:30 down to 38F at 9:30. Best of luck today bud! Agree with you on that blossoming snow shield in E KS Mixing here now in Grand Rapids. Won't be long be you get to 32 or below. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Since it's been such a long time coming I have to post my headline (while I've got it) URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Grand Rapids MI406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020MIZ071>074-111715-/O.EXT.KGRR.WS.W.0001.200111T1800Z-200112T1200Z/Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-Including the cities of South Haven, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek,and Jackson406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO7 AM EST SUNDAY...* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected beginning later thisafternoon and particularly tonight. Total snow accumulations ofup to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to threetenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.* WHERE...Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson counties.* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday.* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.Travel will be difficult to potentially impossible due toicing on roadways. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 The CAM's are confirming what I am seeing outside right now and that being, Lake Michigan is going to be my friend today. To my utter surprise this morning, it has been intermittently snowing and I already have a coating on the ground. Once temps aloft cool even farther later this afternoon, I would imagine the Lehs will be on the increase. The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system. It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. When the snow picks up, it looks like a mini-whiteout with the extremely strong winds whipping it around. Can't wait to see what it will look like outside when the defo band approaches. There are branches, some large and many small ones, scattered all over the neighborhood. Some of the trees that had leaves on them are being ripped off and blown all over the place. In fact, I may clean up some of the piles that have built up before the snow arrives. I definitely under estimated the powerful winds today. It's wild out there! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Crazy how little we’re going to get out of today, but at least we have some snow on the ground. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 How many times during snowstorms have we seen this?? Clear evidence of how 2 offices can look at the same data set and draw significantly different conclusions. I would argue that my office will always lean conservative (especially down my way), and I suppose IWX could be leaning the other way, tho I've found their calls (last Jan's hybrid for a prime example) to almost always be more accurate in the end. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Wow! If one looks closely and parses all those hatched regions, it would appear WPC/NOAA has extend the "Heavy Snow Possible" line south across a good chunk of SMI including here. Might have a nice surprise coming yet tonight 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SE Wisconsin Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 How many times during snowstorms have we seen this?? Clear evidence of how 2 offices can look at the same data set and draw significantly different conclusions. I would argue that my office will always lean conservative (especially down my way), and I suppose IWX could be leaning the other way, tho I've found their calls (last Jan's hybrid for a prime example) to almost always be more accurate in the end. 20200111 am IWX snow map.PNGWow! Very interesting. Just goes to show how subjective weather forecasting can be. It is an art as well as a science. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Crazy how little we’re going to get out of today, but at least we have some snow on the ground. What's your official forecast calling for attm?? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 2.5 with the first wave and likely shutout with the secondDid you get more mixed precip than expected or what? Pretty big bust from what the models showed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Heavy rain and thunder. 56.7°F. Lansing, 90 minutes away from me, is currently 32°F and expecting a half inch of ice. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 The CAM's are confirming what I am seeing outside right now and that being, Lake Michigan is going to be my friend today. To my utter surprise this morning, it has been intermittently snowing and I already have a coating on the ground. Once temps aloft cool even farther later this afternoon, I would imagine the Lehs will be on the increase. The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system. It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. When the snow picks up, it looks like a mini-whiteout with the extremely strong winds whipping it around. Can't wait to see what it will look like outside when the defo band approaches. There are branches, some large and many small ones, scattered all over the neighborhood. Some of the trees that had leaves on them are being ripped off and blown all over the place. In fact, I may clean up some of the piles that have built up before the snow arrives. I definitely under estimated the powerful winds today. It's wild out there! Good luck bud. You're sittin' pretty imho. You've been too patient with Nature haha so I think you deserve this one. None of those maps look good for here tho, so it's a wait-n-see game I'm forced to play. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Go get some today Jaster! Good luck buddy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Heavy rain and thunder. 56.7°F. Lansing, 90 minutes away from me, is currently 32°F and expecting a half inch of ice. Yeah, this is more like your old locale! We don't usually see such dramatic temp contrasts over a very short distance. Bare tree tops are swaying in the stout northerly winds here west of that front. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SE Wisconsin Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 What a disappointment so far. Yesterday, ski hill was mostly ice until around noon, when it turned to slush. Felt more like a march day of riding. Then, we got anything but snow in SE Wisconsin, Lake Geneva area. I really hope this second wave comes through. Glad I didn't bother with my snowmobile pass yet.Yea, very frustrating winter. Things looked so promising back in October. Hopefully, we'll still end up getting a least a few inches today. And if the LR forecast does indeed verify, maybe we'll get to have some fun in the snow through early March. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Good luck bud. You're sittin' pretty imho. You've been too patient with Nature haha so I think you deserve this one. None of those maps look good for here tho, so it's a wait-n-see game I'm forced to play. Thanks bud! I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change. I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back. 06z Euro... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system. It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. This is about 3-4 hrs ahead of schedule here as well fwiw 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Since it's been such a long time coming I have to post my headline (while I've got it) URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Grand Rapids MI406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020 MIZ071>074-111715-/O.EXT.KGRR.WS.W.0001.200111T1800Z-200112T1200Z/Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-Including the cities of South Haven, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek,and Jackson406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected beginning later thisafternoon and particularly tonight. Total snow accumulations ofup to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to threetenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.Travel will be difficult to potentially impossible due toicing on roadways.Glad things are looking good for you, a couple days ago they didn't hope this means your luck is going to change. Good luck buddy! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Looks like that band of snow is gonna move mostly East from where it’s at. HRRR keeps gettting worse and worse each run around here. Massive bust of a snowstorm here but not surprising once we knew warm air was going to play a factor. We did get an impressive amount of ice though so winter storm warnings were certainly warranted. I can’t even open my passenger side door on my car it’s so caked with ice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Thanks bud! I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change. I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back. 06z Euro...Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Thanks bud! I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change. I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back. 06z Euro... Euro (ensembles) continue to "smooth" that southern snowfall boundary while the SR/CAMs are jagged and biased NW. Not sure what's more accurate tbh? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today? Wouldn't that be a last-minute come-back win for the ages? Rainer whiff NW trends back to bliz warn 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 12z GFS... Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today?Gosh, that's a good question bc once the party starts, LOT may consider raising it to a Warning at least. I'm not sure of a Blizzard Warning but the winds certainly would constitute for having one esp if the viz is below 1/4 mi. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Go get some today Jaster! Good luck buddy. Thx bud, sure gonna try! Temps are a positive trend so there's that Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Wouldn't that be a last-minute come-back win for the ages? Rainer whiff NW trends back to bliz warn That would be one to remember for a long time! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 12z GFS... Gosh, that's a good question bc once the party starts, LOT may consider raising it to a Warning at least. I'm not sure of a Blizzard Warning but the winds certainly would constitute for having one esp if the viz is below 1/4 mi.I think it will be close for ya, at least enough to get them to talk about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 What a huge bust! Only two inches of snow here. Truly laughable. Yet another bust for Cedar Rapids! I am hoping wave 2 can somehow sneak up here. With snow in southwest Iowa now, it is possible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Did you get more mixed precip than expected or what? Pretty big bust from what the models showed.First wave was supposed to be 2-4 I believe Second wave we were forecasted for 4-7 but models keep trending SE with it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 12z GFS... Gosh, that's a good question bc once the party starts, LOT may consider raising it to a Warning at least. I'm not sure of a Blizzard Warning but the winds certainly would constitute for having one esp if the viz is below 1/4 mi. GFS has been the most consistent good hit down my way for the past couple of days now. IF it can lead the way and deliver it may just have a new fan of it's longer range outlook. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Earlier switch-over to flakes in the cards?? 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 11, 2020 Report Share Posted January 11, 2020 Everything that could go wrong, did. My snow total is 1" and it appears that's going to be it. Even the consistently-nw HRRR has given up. Shoveling this crusty stuff was a pain. It helped there was only an inch or less on the pavement. I know this was a complicated forecast, but the locals and NWS did a lousy job. Some of the totals they were forecasting were way too high, and they kept the high totals even when it was pretty obvious the storm wasn't playing out favorably. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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