1/10 - 1/11 Plains/Lower Lakes Major Winter Storm

[GDR]

[dubuque473]

I am going to have to wear shorts going through Chicago today...49 deg at 430am?

[jcwxguy]

92163303-6534-4BB7-BF2A-F0FFD9FC54A1.jpeg

includes Sunday

[Tom]

I am going to have to wear shorts going through Chicago today...49 deg at 430am?

Feels like Spring...CF will start making its way through this morning, however...how long are you here for??

[GDR]

Looks like a heavy dose of rain followed by a good amount of frozen precipitation in the Chicago area

[Tom]

Looks like a heavy dose of rain followed by a good amount of frozen precipitation in the Chicago area

Not a dull moment here over the next 36 hours...

[dubuque473]

Feels like Spring...CF will start making its way through this morning, however...how long are you here for??

I have to drop my daughter off in Valparaiso and then return to Iowa so just passing through. Leaving at 6am.

[dubuque473]

Normally I make a few stops to hit some shops but not today!

[Tom]

I have to drop my daughter off in Valparaiso and then return to Iowa so just passing through. Leaving at 6am.

Safe travels!

 

Meantime, 06z GEFS have come in...

 

[Clinton]

WSW issued my second of the year.

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
329 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Dangerous Travel Conditions Likely Friday Afternoon through
Saturday...

MOZ044-053-102100-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WS.A.0001.200111T0300Z-200112T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.200111T0000Z-200112T0000Z/
Johnson MO-Bates-
Including the cities of Warrensburg, Butler, Adrian,
and Rich Hill
329 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
CST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of one
tenth to two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35
mph.

* WHERE...Johnson MO and Bates Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will drop rapidly after sunset
Friday which could cause a flash freeze of any liquid water on
roads and elevated surfaces in combination with the wintry mix
already falling.

[Clinton]

6z Euro is a solid hit for a lot of us. Scary ice totals for Michigan.

[MIKEKC]

Game time!

 

Down to 36 degrees here at my house in KC after a high of 66 yesterday.

 

Our accumulations all depends on how strong the 2nd piece is, it appears the track looks good for KC.

[Madtown]

looks to be falling apart...someday a storm will wrap up again

[Tom]

6z Euro is a solid hit for a lot of us. Scary ice totals for Michigan.

Sliding farther south over N IL...liking the last min trends...I’d imagine the SREF’s start showing this today.

[GDR]

First wsw for my area calling for 8-12

[Money]

RAP with 6+ in the first band and still snowing over much of WI

[Clinton]

Sliding farther south over N IL...liking the last min trends...I’d imagine the SREF’s start showing this today.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the 12z juice up a little more the storm looks good on satellite.

[KCSmokey]

The Rain Machine has kicked off in my neck of the plains and the thunder was LOUD this morning on this Red Friday.

[Madtown]

surprised all the locals this am sticking with 8 to 12

[Clinton]

6z EC and mean

[East Dubzz]

Tonight sure is going to be interesting.

[mlgamer]

I'm sitting at 36F and hearing rumbles of thunder in the area. So it begins...

[BMT]

12z HRRR - First wave tonight:

 

[Stormhunter87]

Banding is the new of game for us. Models have a hard time with it and it could be great or terrible.

[james1976]

Des Moines NWS mentions thundersnow possibility. I managed to score a long duration WWA from 3pm today to 6pm tomorrow for 2-6" and 35mph wind.

[GDR]

Nam hot and heavy further west first wave

[GDR]

Huge ice storm for eastern ia on nam 12z snow heaviest more nw in Iowa

[FarmerRick]

right on the edge as usual...

[james1976]

@GDR if you can post total for both waves much appreciated

[GDR]

[East Dubzz]

Tonight is just a wait and see approach from me at this point. Honestly, who know what will happen. 

[Madtown]

Iowa getting love on the NAM

[james1976]

Yeah definite nowcast

[westMJim]

The NWS here in Grand Rapids there is a winter storm warning with 3 zones of precipitation types in the forecast. With freezing rain (about .10 ice) to heavy snow (6 to 10"" form around M 20 to the north (US 10 is the northern limit for GRR) Rain to freezing rain (about 0.50" of ice) to sleet (1 to 3") and then snow (about 1/3" and of course winds of up to 45 MPH can not forget that. to the south the forecast is for rain (2.00 to 3.00") ice (0.75") and sleet (1")  If the power stays on I will do updates as to how this all plays out. I an scheduled to work both tonight and tomorrow night  but like I said I will up date (depending on if the power stays on) as to if this storm is historic or just a big bust.

[GDR]

Smoke job for central ia

[james1976]

NAM keeps wanting to push the Saturday defo band back into C. IA

[GDR]

[james1976]

B8D0BD7E-3122-4ED8-8991-A37F3E95E008.jpeg

I'll take whatever the NAM is smoking!

[Stormhunter87]

So my buddy just sent me a video he is north central Kansas of the ground covered in hail. Dime to quarter size. Said they had to drive through hail, sleet, heavy rain.

[bud2380]

Sure hope the HRRR is right and the NAM is wrong