Jump to content

1/10 - 1/11 Plains/Lower Lakes Major Winter Storm

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Bryan1117
Bryan1117

About 2 inches of snow total here as the snowfall has pretty much ended in my backyard.   This likely qualifies as the biggest snowfall event I have seen yet this Winter- this “amazing” snow event fi

Hawkeye
Hawkeye

The 500 mb flow pretty much shows the foundation for everything.  I watch the shape/sharpness/vigor of the waves, their speed, their tilt, the interaction between the northern and southern streams, et

FarmerRick
FarmerRick

OMADOME will not be penetrated...    

Posted Images

Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

So we are at the morning of the storm, but I still don't know what to expect for snow.

 

In general, models have gone nw with wave #1.  The NAM continues to show mostly sleet here tonight, which would suck.

 

Wave #2 is still a mystery.  Global models have gone southeast and weak in general, although the 06z GFS did spread snow farther nw.  Meanwhile, the NAM and HRRR insist the deformation zone snow will track well northwest of the surface features and drop the best snow right through Iowa.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

Unfortunately, I am thinking the all-sleet NAM will be right for wave #1.  Even the HRRR is trying to push the snow to the northwest of Cedar Rapids now.  It just seems like these these snow/mix lines tend to end up farther north.  Vinton to Waterloo looks like the best spot to be for wave #1.

 

It's nice to see the NAM showing some nice snow during the day Saturday, though, so we could get a few inches from that.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

RGEM also showing a sleet fest for IC/CR.  But 2nd wave is better defined this run.  

 

If the cold-biased GEM is so widespread and north with sleet, that's likely the nail in the coffin for wave 1.  If Cedar Rapids was going to get snow, the RGEM would be showing snow.   :(

 

The ICON is another model that is all sleet for wave 1.  Fortunately, it has gone nw and stronger for wave 2.

 

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_11.png

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

Just read this from DVN..... pretty much nails it.

 

The next 36 hours, will be dominated by a storm system offering
enough challenges to supply a winter`s worth of MEMEs.

  • Like 3

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Stormy Mentor

Stormy

Posted
Posted

How ironic is it that our first major snowstorm of the season looks to occur during the second weekend of January, just like it did back in January 2019. After January 12, 2019, the snowfall quickly added up and we finished with 50" by April, with no snow falling in November or December of 2018. I hope this is a sign that there are more snowstorms on the horrizon that will allow us to bulid up a big snowfall total for this winter.

 

Yes this winter so far sure reminds me of of our previous winter although I had a big snowstorm in late November of 2018.

 

Yep I'm still around. Just trying to keep up with all of the comments is a challenge, so figure it's not necessary to add more! Lol I'm still a few pages behind just on this thread.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

12z GFS slightly southeast from the 06z, so CR is on the nw edge of wave 2.

 

 

Hows MSN looking with sleet?

 

Looks better than Cedar Rapids, but Dane county is more into the sleet on the models than a few runs ago.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
gimmesnow Rising Star

gimmesnow

Posted
Posted

Second wave starts tomorrow evening, right? Think I'm going to enjoy the soft snow with temps in the 30s today, then get out Sunday morning for the snow. Hope there's enough. Other option is to go tomorrow evening, but it's better when there's more snow on the ground, not when it's snowing. Some models have me getting hardly anything too, so it's a toss up. Wish me luck and hope I chose wisely!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 7313

      Polite Politics

      I'm not the one who constantly uses that phrase as if you're the spokesperson of every person who works. Aka a fraud, just like that senate candidate.
      SnarkyGoblin in Off Topic
    2. 7313

      Polite Politics

      Who cares. He grew up around rural folks and hasn’t forgotten where he came from. I understand you can’t relate to that. To you and other democrats “working people” is code for criminals, welfare recipients, and illegal immigrants. To the rest of us it means people who actually move this nation forward.
      SilverFallsAndrew in Off Topic
    3. 1830

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

      Cloud seeding is a form of public relations to say “at least we’re trying” to end droughts. Throwing some silver iodide in a cloud isn’t going to do anything to a storm that is large enough to produce appreciable precipitation. It might cause a few sprinkles from a cumulus cloud that otherwise wouldn’t have rained. There are also legal ramifications since it had been argued that cloud seeding is a form of theft — you are stealing the water from areas downstream of where you seeded. The ironic thing is that project Stormfury got axed in the late 60s after they seeded a hurricane and it happened to make a left turn to the Eastern seaboard shortly thereafter. It would be funny if this makes them think twice about seeding in the UAE, although it’s a bummer that they didn’t seed this storm (or at least they claim to have not seeded it LOL).
      • 1
      • Like
      the_convergence_zone in West of the Rockies
    4. 7313

      Polite Politics

      Huh? What do lunch breaks have to do with anything? You think that’s an actual workers rights issue. Hahahaha.
      SilverFallsAndrew in Off Topic
    5. 11

      Volcano Reports

      https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/04/17/indonesia-volcano-eruption-ruang/ Paywall, but WP says ash got up to 70k feet. That would probably impact the climate a bit the next 1-3 years. Maybe counteract the warming from the other volcano.
      Black Hole in Climate, World Weather, and Earth Sciences
×
×
  • Create New...