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1/10 - 1/11 Plains/Lower Lakes Major Winter Storm


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About 2 inches of snow total here as the snowfall has pretty much ended in my backyard.   This likely qualifies as the biggest snowfall event I have seen yet this Winter- this “amazing” snow event fi

OMADOME will not be penetrated...    

ended up with an even 4.0" just W of DSM about 20 minutes. Didn't think it was going to be much over 3" but the last  band was high in ratios--- since 6pm I had 1.7" ; melted down was .10. So 17:1 and

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Nothing but rain and ice here overnight. Everything looks like a mess outside. Fortunately, there doesn't seem to be a significant ice accumulation but my driveway looks very slick.   NWS has now dropped my snow totals for this storm to around 4 inches or so.  Right now, I'd be happy if I end up getting an inch of snow out of this dud!  This winter is just breaking my heart.  I had such high expectations after our cold and wet October.  I know the LR looks cold and snowy but I'm not getting my hopes up just to be disappointed again.  

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I’m cruising to the gym to crush legs and there is a heavy mist blowing sideways. Radar looks like this may even be enhanced by the lake. Could this be a sign for later today?

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Some of the higher rez models are coming in hot for N IL/SE WI...

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

 

Last, but not least, the 06z GFS...

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

Good to see the models coming around.  I feel much better about receiving several inches of snow today.  The radar is showing some heavy snow developing just south of Wichita, that is a great spot for me. I have a nice glaze of ice with frz drizzle falling and winds are gusty.  I would expect Chicago land to do very well today, hope you get a WSW.

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Well it looks as most of our area will not have a major ice storm this go around (ice storms are kind of rare in Michigan) And that this time it looks like this will mostly be a sleet to some snow event. I say some as it look like maybe a total of around 2 to 4 inches may be what we are looking at. So while a inconvenience it does not look like there will be a historic event this time. At this time I have 35 with light rain falling.

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Good to see the models coming around. I feel much better about receiving several inches of snow today. The radar is showing some heavy snow developing just south of Wichita, that is a great spot for me. I have a nice glaze of ice with frz drizzle falling and winds are gusty. I would expect Chicago land to do very well today, hope you get a WSW.

Thanks Clinton! This storm is full of surprises. On the way to the gym it was a heavy mist and now it’s snowing! This is fantastic!

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I'm nothing but a rank amateur when it comes to predicting the weather, but I'm concerned that the second wave of this storm may have issues getting its act together.  The severe weather and that squall line to the south seems very intense and may be stealing some of the moisture and energy from the second wave.  The severe weather is the real deal though.  Very impressive to see so many watches and warnings on a morning in mid January!  Don't see that very often. 

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New NAM that just started is wrong already. Has the snow very light in far eastern KS and moves out of KC quickly. If you look at Topeka radar, the echoes have grown big time and are much farther west then what the HRRR/NAM show on the most recent runs.

 

KC looks to go into the comma head. Beautiful!!

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New NAM that just started is wrong already. Has the snow very light in far eastern KS and moves out of KC quickly. If you look at Topeka radar, the echoes have grown big time and are much farther west then what the HRRR/NAM show on the most recent runs.

 

KC looks to go into the comma head. Beautiful!!

I was just getting ready to post the same thing, I just transitioned over to sleet which is a good thing cause I have about 1/4in of ice.  I think we are good for 2-5in of snow today,

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What a disappointment so far. Yesterday, ski hill was mostly ice until around noon, when it turned to slush. Felt more like a march day of riding. Then, we got anything but snow in SE Wisconsin, Lake Geneva area. I really hope this second wave comes through. Glad I didn't bother with my snowmobile pass yet.

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I have been in the newly forming comma head this morning but it already looks to be shifting east of me soon.  I think you guys down stream are looking good, but after all the hype it looks as though I am destined to receive the proverbial dusting to 1/2".  So maybe next time...or the time after that...or the time after that... ^_^ 

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  • 20-21 snowfalls >= 3":  none                       Season total: 0.6"
  • 19-20 snowfalls >= 3":  Dec 15/16: 4.5"      Season total: 11.7" (66% of normal 17.8")
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Good to see the models coming around.  I feel much better about receiving several inches of snow today.  The radar is showing some heavy snow developing just south of Wichita, that is a great spot for me. I have a nice glaze of ice with frz drizzle falling and winds are gusty.  I would expect Chicago land to do very well today, hope you get a WSW.

 

I'm pretty sure he will. Even my office concedes there's a potential for the defo part to over-perform. All those SR maps are a mixed result for here tho. Some show a few inches whiles others are almost a whiff so it's hard to be pumped. Gonna be a now-cast but I have my doubts it can come through. More amped will push the forcing NW of here leaving me in a zone of dry subsidence. I'm in a let's see mode..

 

So far, the rainer part has verified here with 2.1" since yesterday evening. The CF finally came thru here this morning and I've heard/seen some nice gusts already. Temp went from 54F at 7:30 down to 38F at 9:30. 

 

Best of luck today bud! Agree with you on that blossoming snow shield in E KS  ;)

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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I'm pretty sure he will. Even my office concedes there's a potential for the defo part to over-perform. All those SR maps are a mixed result for here tho. Some show a few inches whiles others are almost a whiff so it's hard to be pumped. Gonna be a now-cast but I have my doubts it can come through. More amped will push the forcing NW of here leaving me in a zone of dry subsidence. I'm in a let's see mode..

 

So far, the rainer part has verified here with 2.1" since yesterday evening. The CF finally came thru here this morning and I've heard/seen some nice gusts already. Temp went from 54F at 7:30 down to 38F at 9:30. 

 

Best of luck today bud! Agree with you on that blossoming snow shield in E KS  ;)

 

Mixing here now in Grand Rapids.  Won't be long be you get to 32 or below.  

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Since it's been such a long time coming I have to post my headline (while I've got it)

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

MIZ071>074-111715-
/O.EXT.KGRR.WS.W.0001.200111T1800Z-200112T1200Z/
Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of South Haven, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek,
and Jackson
406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected beginning later this
afternoon and particularly tonight. Total snow accumulations of
up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three
tenths of an inch.
Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.
Travel will be difficult to potentially impossible due to
icing on roadways.

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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The CAM's are confirming what I am seeing outside right now and that being, Lake Michigan is going to be my friend today.  To my utter surprise this morning, it has been intermittently snowing and I already have a coating on the ground.  Once temps aloft cool even farther later this afternoon, I would imagine the Lehs will be on the increase.  The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system.  It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. 

 

When the snow picks up, it looks like a mini-whiteout with the extremely strong winds whipping it around.  Can't wait to see what it will look like outside when the defo band approaches.  There are branches, some large and many small ones, scattered all over the neighborhood.  Some of the trees that had leaves on them are being ripped off and blown all over the place.  In fact, I may clean up some of the piles that have built up before the snow arrives.  I definitely under estimated the powerful winds today.  It's wild out there!

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

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Crazy how little we’re going to get out of today, but at least we have some snow on the ground.

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2019 Statistics (Starting 3/23/19)

Total rainfall: 34.84"

September rainfall total: 11.92"

Largest 24-hour rainfall: 3.21" (9/15)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3

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:rolleyes:  How many times during snowstorms have we seen this?? Clear evidence of how 2 offices can look at the same data set and draw significantly different conclusions. I would argue that my office will always lean conservative (especially down my way), and I suppose IWX could be leaning the other way, tho I've found their calls (last Jan's hybrid for a prime example) to almost always be more accurate in the end. 

 

20200111 am IWX snow map.PNG

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Wow! If one looks closely and parses all those hatched regions, it would appear WPC/NOAA has extend the "Heavy Snow Possible" line south across a good chunk of SMI including here. Might have a nice surprise coming yet tonight  ;)

 

20200111 NOAA-WPC d1 Surf Map.gif

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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:rolleyes:  How many times during snowstorms have we seen this?? Clear evidence of how 2 offices can look at the same data set and draw significantly different conclusions. I would argue that my office will always lean conservative (especially down my way), and I suppose IWX could be leaning the other way, tho I've found their calls (last Jan's hybrid for a prime example) to almost always be more accurate in the end. 

 

attachicon.gif20200111 am IWX snow map.PNG

Wow!  Very interesting.  Just goes to show how subjective weather forecasting can be.  It is an art as well as a science.

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Crazy how little we’re going to get out of today, but at least we have some snow on the ground.

 

What's your official forecast calling for attm??

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Heavy rain and thunder. 56.7°F.

 

Lansing, 90 minutes away from me, is currently 32°F and expecting a half inch of ice.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The CAM's are confirming what I am seeing outside right now and that being, Lake Michigan is going to be my friend today.  To my utter surprise this morning, it has been intermittently snowing and I already have a coating on the ground.  Once temps aloft cool even farther later this afternoon, I would imagine the Lehs will be on the increase.  The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system.  It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. 

 

When the snow picks up, it looks like a mini-whiteout with the extremely strong winds whipping it around.  Can't wait to see what it will look like outside when the defo band approaches.  There are branches, some large and many small ones, scattered all over the neighborhood.  Some of the trees that had leaves on them are being ripped off and blown all over the place.  In fact, I may clean up some of the piles that have built up before the snow arrives.  I definitely under estimated the powerful winds today.  It's wild out there!

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

Good luck bud. You're sittin' pretty imho. You've been too patient with Nature haha so I think you deserve this one. None of those maps look good for here tho, so it's a wait-n-see game I'm forced to play. 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Heavy rain and thunder. 56.7°F.

 

Lansing, 90 minutes away from me, is currently 32°F and expecting a half inch of ice.

 

Yeah, this is more like your old locale! We don't usually see such dramatic temp contrasts over a very short distance. Bare tree tops are swaying in the stout northerly winds here west of that front. 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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What a disappointment so far. Yesterday, ski hill was mostly ice until around noon, when it turned to slush. Felt more like a march day of riding. Then, we got anything but snow in SE Wisconsin, Lake Geneva area. I really hope this second wave comes through. Glad I didn't bother with my snowmobile pass yet.

Yea, very frustrating winter.  Things looked so promising back in October.  Hopefully, we'll still end up getting a least a few inches today.  And if the LR forecast does indeed verify, maybe we'll get to have some fun in the snow through early March.

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Good luck bud. You're sittin' pretty imho. You've been too patient with Nature haha so I think you deserve this one. None of those maps look good for here tho, so it's a wait-n-see game I'm forced to play. 

Thanks bud!  I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change.  I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back.

 

06z Euro...

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The models really did a bad job in terms of the temp profile of this system.  It was supposed to be in the mid 30's still from what the models were showing at 00z last night. 

 

This is about 3-4 hrs ahead of schedule here as well fwiw

 

20200111 10 am KRMY Obs.PNG

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Since it's been such a long time coming I have to post my headline (while I've got it)

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI

406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

 

MIZ071>074-111715-

/O.EXT.KGRR.WS.W.0001.200111T1800Z-200112T1200Z/

Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-

Including the cities of South Haven, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek,

and Jackson

406 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

 

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO

7 AM EST SUNDAY...

 

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected beginning later this

afternoon and particularly tonight. Total snow accumulations of

up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three

tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

 

* WHERE...Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson counties.

 

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday.

 

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.

Travel will be difficult to potentially impossible due to

icing on roadways.

Glad things are looking good for you, a couple days ago they didn't hope this means your luck is going to change.  Good luck buddy!

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Looks like that band of snow is gonna move mostly East from where it’s at. HRRR keeps gettting worse and worse each run around here. Massive bust of a snowstorm here but not surprising once we knew warm air was going to play a factor. We did get an impressive amount of ice though so winter storm warnings were certainly warranted. I can’t even open my passenger side door on my car it’s so caked with ice.

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Thanks bud!  I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change.  I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back.

 

06z Euro...

Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today?

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Thanks bud!  I like waking up the morning of the storm and finally having things looking positive for a change.  I still think you'll be able to score enough to cover the grass (2"+) and remind you that winter is back.

 

06z Euro...

 

Euro (ensembles) continue to "smooth" that southern snowfall boundary while the SR/CAMs are jagged and biased NW. Not sure what's more accurate tbh?

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today?

 

:lol:  Wouldn't that be a last-minute come-back win for the ages? Rainer whiff NW trends back to bliz warn  :huh:

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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12z GFS...

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

Do you have a shot at a blizzard warning today?

Gosh, that's a good question bc once the party starts, LOT may consider raising it to a Warning at least.  I'm not sure of a Blizzard Warning but the winds certainly would constitute for having one esp if the viz is below 1/4 mi.

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Go get some today Jaster! Good luck buddy.

 

;)  Thx bud, sure gonna try! Temps are a positive trend so there's that  B)

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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12z GFS...

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

Gosh, that's a good question bc once the party starts, LOT may consider raising it to a Warning at least.  I'm not sure of a Blizzard Warning but the winds certainly would constitute for having one esp if the viz is below 1/4 mi.

I think it will be close for ya, at least enough to get them to talk about it.

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What a huge bust! Only two inches of snow here. Truly laughable. Yet another bust for Cedar Rapids! 

 

I am hoping wave 2 can somehow sneak up here. With snow in southwest Iowa now, it is possible.

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