snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure why the other thread got locked. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Ya. What happened? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I almost wonder if we got hacked. The forum acted really weird for a bit. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Hmm...weird. Anyways, hoping that both Seattle and Portland do well! 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I had to put everyone on lock down. The non-snow event and talk of spring was getting out of control Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 At any rate... I noticed a big flaw in the ECMWF. Monday evening it has Bellinham at 14 degrees while Seattle is just around freezing with northerly surface pressure gradients and winds. That will not happen. If Bellingham is really that cold and winds are blowing down the Sound Seattle would be much colder. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure why the other thread got locked. Not sure but sure hope the 00z shows good & health CZ over King County. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The impending snowstorm locked it up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure why the other thread got locked.iFred works in mysterious ways. Could have been a botched attempt to perma-ban Tim. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I could kick myself for not thinking more about the Bellingham to Seattle connection in these things. I've been so focused on the big picture that I totally forgot to take it down to a more focused level when looking at the question of cold. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Currently 43F. Going to be a +2.2F departure which will actually bring our avg down from the +6.1F it's currently at. Now 16 straight days without a negative temp departure. I feel like that's somewhat uncommon. Probly several more in the pipe down this way as we will be too far south to get in on any action. I expect us to get to 40F every day for the remainder of the cold season. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 iFred works in mysterious ways. Could have been a botched attempt to perma-ban Tim. The thread was getting big and bogged down anyway. Just as well. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Currently 43F. Going to be a +2.2F departure which will actually bring our avg down from the +6.1F it's currently at. Now 16 straight days without a negative temp departure. I feel like that's somewhat uncommon. Probly several more in the pipe down this way as we will be too far south to get in on any action. I expect us to get to 40F every day for the remainder of the cold season. We have fared a lot better up here. Sounds awful. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Great c-zone setup on the NAM 00z starts up north shifts down to Seattle maintaining intensity. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Looks like the front is moving in faster than modeled. Maybe a shift in the next 24-36 hours coming? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 iFred works in mysterious ways. Could have been a botched attempt to perma-ban Tim.Jesse should be perma-banned. Spends most of time obsessing about other members. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Did a db cleanup for a future forum merge. I guess it locked an active thread during the merge Thanks for all you do to keep this forum running! 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Overperformance with snow on the table now! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Did a db cleanup for a future forum merge. I guess it locked an active thread during the mergeDoucche Bag Cleanup? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00z 3km NAM through 8PM tomorrow... This is a little further south than where the 18z had it at the same time. looks like it is right over U District and NorthGate. Would be nice to see that continue dropping south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Take it to PMs, ladies.I don't constantly bring up his name. I never do actually. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I could kick myself for not thinking more about the Bellingham to Seattle connection in these things. I've been so focused on the big picture that I totally forgot to take it down to a more focused level when looking at the question of cold. Yes, but Seattle doesn’t always get a share of the arctic goodies that Whatcom County gets. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00z 3K NAM appears to drop the CZ south until it hits northern Pierce and than fizzles out. I'm not sure though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00z 3km NAM through 8PM tomorrow... This is a little further south than where the 18z had it at the same time.Goes to show you how things keep changing. Now shows my old place getting more snow than me. Might have to just wait until the first flakes fly! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We have fared a lot better up here. Sounds awful. Rooting for you guys to all get a couple inches of snow up there. Hopefully the CZ and the arctic front offers some pleasant surprises. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Rooting for you guys to all get a couple inches of snow up there. Hopefully the CZ and the arctic front offers some pleasant surprises. Feeling a little better about our chances too! 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Did a db cleanup for a future forum merge. I guess it locked an active thread during the mergeReset.....all ahead winter mode! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I haven't seen any mention of GFS MOS guidance so I thought I would post some locales.(Notice the sharp temp diff between Kelso and Olympia) (Also, Bremerton is colder than at Olympia hours earlier) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 42 here in Tacoma. 0.03" of rain today. Been breezy this afternoon and evening...gusting 35-40mph out of the SW. Funny that the nws was predicting windy conditions yesterday and it's actually a lot breezier today than yesterday. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00z 3km NAM through 8PM tomorrow... This is a little further south than where the 18z had it at the same time. Looking better. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I think I should see 0-15" of this coming week! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Per 00z NAM..CZ starts off the Strait around 2PM and makes its way to the King/Sno border around 5PM. It intensifies there until it starts dropping south again around 11PM, albeit in a weakened form, and fizzles in Pierce around 7AM.Seems like a reasonable progression to me, if we can get the north wind going. Monitoring the Fraser outflow gradient will be one of the keys for tomorrow. Seems like none of the models have the details figured out and it's a little less than 24 hours out. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 New thread, same shitty models! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Temps running a good 4-6 degrees colder over here as opposed to last night. Upper levels are most likely colder. Bodes well for spots 500-1000'for Sunday night over there I would think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Yes, but Seattle doesn’t always get a share of the arctic goodies that Whatcom County gets. That's why I clarified the surface winds will be northerly. A direct connection to the cold pool. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Seems like none of the models have the details figured out and it's a little less than 24 hours out.I'm not sure if we'll ever get to the point where models can nail down the exact location and strength of small scale features like the CZ. Large scale synoptic storms are are a completely different animal. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I'm not sure if we'll ever get to the point where models can nail down the exact location and strength of small scale features like the CZ.Large scale synoptic storms are are a completely different animal. more than just the c-zone...the Arctic outflow. Seems like there's not a real consensus on how quickly the cold air will arrive. Euro especially Seems delayed. Seems like the euro has a much different idea of how its going to play out versus the gfs or the other models...the c-zone will probably never be able to be 100% accurately modeled though you are right about that. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 233 pages for the 1st topic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 We have fared a lot better up here. Sounds awful.Yep. We call it fallspring since we never have sub-freezing highs anymore. We also almost never have any January snow. I think Jan 2017 is the only one this decade. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What is the c-zone? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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