Jump to content

Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


snow_wizard

Recommended Posts

I almost wonder if we got hacked.  The forum acted really weird for a bit.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hmm...weird. Anyways, hoping that both Seattle and Portland do well!

  • Like 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

At any rate...

 

I noticed a big flaw in the ECMWF.  Monday evening it has Bellinham at 14 degrees while Seattle is just around freezing with northerly surface pressure gradients and winds.  That will not happen.  If Bellingham is really that cold and winds are blowing down the Sound Seattle would be much colder.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I could kick myself for not thinking more about the Bellingham to Seattle connection in these things.  I've been so focused on the big picture that I totally forgot to take it down to a more focused level when looking at the question of cold.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Currently 43F.  Going to be a +2.2F departure which will actually bring our avg down from the +6.1F it's currently at.

 

Now 16 straight days without a negative temp departure.  I feel like that's somewhat uncommon.

 

Probly several more in the pipe down this way as we will be too far south to get in on any action.  I expect us to get to 40F every day for the remainder of the cold season.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

iFred works in mysterious ways.

 

Could have been a botched attempt to perma-ban Tim.

 

The thread was getting big and bogged down anyway.  Just as well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Currently 43F.  Going to be a +2.2F departure which will actually bring our avg down from the +6.1F it's currently at.

 

Now 16 straight days without a negative temp departure.  I feel like that's somewhat uncommon.

 

Probly several more in the pipe down this way as we will be too far south to get in on any action.  I expect us to get to 40F every day for the remainder of the cold season.

 

We have fared a lot better up here.  Sounds awful.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

iFred works in mysterious ways.

 

Could have been a botched attempt to perma-ban Tim.

Jesse should be perma-banned. Spends most of time obsessing about other members.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I could kick myself for not thinking more about the Bellingham to Seattle connection in these things.  I've been so focused on the big picture that I totally forgot to take it down to a more focused level when looking at the question of cold.

 

Yes, but Seattle doesn’t always get a share of the arctic goodies that Whatcom County gets.

It's called clown range for a reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z 3km NAM through 8PM tomorrow...

 

This is a little further south than where the 18z had it at the same time.

Goes to show you how things keep changing. Now shows my old place getting more snow than me. Might have to just wait until the first flakes fly!
  • Like 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rooting for you guys to all get a couple inches of snow up there. Hopefully the CZ and the arctic front offers some pleasant surprises.

 

Feeling a little better about our chances too!

  • Like 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

42 here in Tacoma. 0.03" of rain today. Been breezy this afternoon and evening...gusting 35-40mph out of the SW. Funny that the nws was predicting windy conditions yesterday and it's actually a lot breezier today than yesterday.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z 3km NAM through 8PM tomorrow...

 

This is a little further south than where the 18z had it at the same time.

 

Looking better.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Per 00z NAM..

CZ starts off the Strait around 2PM and makes its way to the King/Sno border around 5PM. It intensifies there until it starts dropping south again around 11PM, albeit in a weakened form, and fizzles in Pierce around 7AM.

Seems like a reasonable progression to me, if we can get the north wind going. Monitoring the Fraser outflow gradient will be one of the keys for tomorrow.

Seems like none of the models have the details figured out and it's a little less than 24 hours out.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest LaPineLurker

Temps running a good 4-6 degrees colder over here as opposed to last night. Upper levels are most likely colder. Bodes well for spots 500-1000'for Sunday night over there I would think.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, but Seattle doesn’t always get a share of the arctic goodies that Whatcom County gets.

 

That's why I clarified the surface winds will be northerly.  A direct connection to the cold pool.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems like none of the models have the details figured out and it's a little less than 24 hours out.

I'm not sure if we'll ever get to the point where models can nail down the exact location and strength of small scale features like the CZ.

 

Large scale synoptic storms are are a completely different animal.

  • Like 1

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not sure if we'll ever get to the point where models can nail down the exact location and strength of small scale features like the CZ.

Large scale synoptic storms are are a completely different animal.

more than just the c-zone...the Arctic outflow. Seems like there's not a real consensus on how quickly the cold air will arrive. Euro especially Seems delayed. Seems like the euro has a much different idea of how its going to play out versus the gfs or the other models...the c-zone will probably never be able to be 100% accurately modeled though you are right about that.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We have fared a lot better up here. Sounds awful.

Yep. We call it fallspring since we never have sub-freezing highs anymore. We also almost never have any January snow. I think Jan 2017 is the only one this decade.

  • Like 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...