Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Some healthy looking showers moving onshore. Down to 43, DP 35. Cascades are gonna get walloped tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Interesting Seattle Zone Forecast for tomorrow night: Sunday NightBreezy. Rain at times in the evening. Snow in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Snow level near sea level. Snow accumulation of 1 to 5 inches. Lows near 30. Southwest wind 15 to 25 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 more than just the c-zone...the Arctic outflow. Seems like there's not a real consensus on how quickly the cold air will arrive. Euro especially Seems delayed. Seems like the euro has a much different idea of how its going to play out versus the gfs or the other models...the c-zone will probably never be able to be 100% accurately modeled though you are right about that. I can see it. 100 years in the future weather models have been perfected and are always right except the bloody c-zone! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What is the c-zone? The Puget Sound convergence zone. SW winds come around the south end of the Olympic Mountains and NW winds come around the north end of the Olympics and meet over the Central Puget Sound. There are dozens of variations depending on many factors. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The NAM (FWIW) shows a classic sliding c-zone tomorrow night. Everett to Tacoma gets snow. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just another animation of tomorrow CZ setting up between 1pm--4pmLooking forward to see how this develops along with game action. I’m back home in my nest for whatever falls from the sky! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 12, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George. -54 at one station in the southern Yukon. Nice numbers and will get better. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for. 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What is the c-zone?You used to live right in the heart of it... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Pretty easy to see why the NAM thinks the CZ will slide south so easily. Nice northerly flow down the Sound by Sunday night. Euro doesn't even start outflow until around this time. Here's the link to monitor the Fraser gradient tomorrow for anyone interested. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link_pdiff.shtml?choice=KBLI+CYWL And great reason to discount anything it shows. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 You used to live right in the heart of it...Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George. -54 at one station in the southern Yukon. Nice numbers and will get better.Would be awesome if that airmass was getting pushed down here a little more effectively. But...at least it still stands to give many of us snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 You used to live right in the heart of it... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was.How would you know it doesn’t happen there if you don’t even know what it is? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for.Would be an interesting little guy . . . 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The NAM needs to be taken out in the back yard and shot. 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Avalanche warning has now been posted for backcountry areas around Mt. Hood. Already three feet of drifting snow in some spots, with an additional 1-2’ expected through tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Would be an interesting little guy . . . namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_fh69-84.gif I think it could be (at least I thought so before this run), Portland's biggest chance to score a little snow (in the lowest elevations). We'll see, feeling more dubious but the NAM isn't exactly the most accurate... Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was. if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked . Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 .54” of rain here just from that convergence. Let’s see a repeat tomorrow night with snow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 NAM is just way to aggressive with the cold air and its push south. It is a known bias the model has. It shows 516 thickness getting to about SLE on Tuesday. It also has the Monday low down near the CA border, when the EURO had it about 150 miles north. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Andrew. Posted January 12, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 TIM! I lost my meditation tool! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What Did It Cost Everything 11012020184704.jpg I never bought into the 15+ inch madness-- but I'm hoping for 2-5 inches in our general area (I assume we live pretty close by). 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The 0z GFS is going to be great for Portland. I can't wait to celebrate! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I never bought into the 15+ inch madness-- but I'm hoping for 2-5 inches in our general area (I assume we live pretty close by).Yes you did, we all did! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Rainy out! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Do I post in Part 1, or Part II? Do I wait for Part III? I'm more confused than a retarded virgin in a whorehouse! 00z GFS in 17 minutes! Root for the low Wednesday-Thursday to stay south of PDX! Envision the Gorton's Fisherman using a magic lasso(presumably made out of fish sticks) pulling the low towards Newport or even Yachats. C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 PDX was not THAT far above average today. Something to keep in mind moving forward... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 How would you know it doesn’t happen there if you don’t even know what it is?Because it was just described to me. No mountains where I am from. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked .I am from Brownsville. I'm not sure what this outing stuff is? I'm just here for weather talk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 You used to live right in the heart of it... What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Temp down to 37. With lumps!!!! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here?Beats me but it is pretty ridiculous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 You used to live right in the heart of it... And now he's full of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00Z ICON not on board with the arctic blast or snow through at least Tuesday. But tomorrow is a long way off yet. Plenty of time for things to change. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here?It’s DomeBuster. And he did a lot to earn it. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00Z ICON not on board with the arctic blast or snow through at least Tuesday. But tomorrow is a long way off yet. Plenty of time for things to change.Rain for everyone! ICON says so. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Rain for everyone! ICON says so.Not for you of course. You still win on the ICON. Actually true. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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