Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Requiem]

Nothing here in PDX but if we happen to dip below 32 in the hills tonight it could be a real mess. Doubt it though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8-14 day analogs...Talk about a list of crap.

 

19950119
19580117
19580126
19810123
19530209
19610205
20010115
19800206
19780212
19600119

[TT-SEA]

Think some areas will need to be concerned about flooding on Friday into Saturday. Very significant rise in snow levels. May even rain at Snoqualmie unless that east wind keeps it cold enough.

No.

 

Flooding is not even close to being a concern.  

 

And there is still lowland snow on Saturday morning.

[Prairiedog]

Meanwhile Salem has popped to 46 with south winds gusting to 33mph. 

44f and blustery here. 

[FroYoBro]

Mid levels are way too warm at this point.

 

Ah yeah. Didn't even check that. They were reporting a snow/rain mix an hour ago, but that may be inaccurate. 

[Thurston Howell III]

We’re doing everything we can South Sound to keep this week a none event so Portland doesn’t feel left out. We’ve done a pretty good job at accomplishing that goal but today i was very worried  with the intrusion of moisture and seeing a few snowflakes.  Anyhow, East winds figured it out and created a nice hole around us.  Good to know we have the Olympics to our west and dry wind from East protecting us at all times.

36.4*

26* dp

Lived west of Port Orchard for most of my life and only 4th winter in NE Gig Harbor.  The East winds really effect GH, don't remember that issue in Port Orchard, in fact I think it was the opposite and caused upslope snow like they are getting today.  Still haven't got used to missing school for snow days in SK when GH has next to nothing.  It used to be, "why are we cancelling school?", "because we have 6" of snow on the west side of town."

[MossMan]

Just got home, what a wild drive from Everett to Lake Goodwin to home! 1” new snow here, very windy and 31.8 degrees.

[Omegaraptor]

Still a bit of snow left on the grass in Sandy

[Deweydog]

8-14 day analogs...Talk about a list of crap.

 

19950119

19580117

19580126

19810123

19530209

19610205

20010115

19800206

19780212

19600119

Nice breather after PDX’s 15 minutes at 32.1 degrees.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3.2 new still snowing light and 30 degrees.

[Blizzard777]

Nice cell west of PDX

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Friday is going to be a huge dump of snow here then massive rain. Trees are going to take a toll.

[TT-SEA]

Winds picked up on 202 in North Bend around 1 PM, has been consistently getting windier since then. Lost power for 5 minutes a bit ago. Lots of blowing snow on 202. Peak gusts around 40 mph. 

 

 

I need to go down to the valley and check it out... there is very little wind up here.   Nothing is going on here... its a quiet afternoon.  The NB cam does not show much going on down there either.    Power went out here for a couple minutes too.    That happens for short times when there are issues elsewhere but it comes back quickly.  

[TT-SEA]

Friday is going to be a huge dump of snow here then massive rain. Trees are going to take a toll.

 

 

I don't see massive rain on Friday.  This is total precip that day...

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snow.

[TT-SEA]

It does show more rain into Saturday morning... this looks like easterly upslope on the Olympics and downslope out here.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I don't see massive rain on Friday.  This is total precip that day... friday night through Saturday according to gfs. Talk of flooding already on nws.

 

[TeacherLori]

Oh my goodness! I got stuck in the snow! After all the hype regarding the snow we were supposed to get the last few days, I figured any snow that came our way this afternoon (if it even came at all) would pass quickly, not stick, and/or turn to rain. I drove north from downtown Seattle at 1:30 in a flurry of snow (the kind that makes me feel like I'm flying in hyperdrive ). Got to Lynnwood around 2 and decided to do a little grocery shopping. Came out at 2:30 and the parking lot was covered with a good inch of snow and accumulating FAST. (I think we ended up with an additional 2 inches this afternoon) My car is pathetic and I couldn't control it enough to get around the lot, and I was actually wondering if I needed to put on chains (which seemed so silly since it's just going to turn to rain, right??) Anyhow, I gritted my teeth, made it out to the main road, and about a mile from home, bailed at the local Starbucks and walked the rest of the way home in a Winter Wonderland. I was laughing because I totally got caught in it - earlier today I was ragging on the school district for not calling a 2-hour delay, and it turns out there is no way they could have managed getting kids home with the slick, slippery streets.

 

Anyhow, I just wanted to share my little story. I'm so tickled that we got more snow. I'm staring at 5 inches in my backyard. It's sooooo beautiful!!! =)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It does show more rain into Saturday morning... this looks like easterly upslope on the Olympics and downslope out here.

 

That's when I ment. I was trying to remember the time period. Yes this will be the big event here before the rain. There will still be cold air over here.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Strange to see such a massive storm and then it comes onshore like a scared little girl. I figured the wind would be going at least. Had some good wind for about 20 minutes and since it has been calm. Almost feels like the wind is not coming at all. How the hell can this happen with the gradient I see???

[kokaneekidz]

[jcmcgaffey]

Never showed none... but it always looked limited.

but was enough to drop more snow than Seattle has seen this entire week.

[TT-SEA]

but was enough to drop more snow than Seattle has seen this entire week.

 

 

Yeah... I guess all of this is a matter of perspective.  

[Requiem]

Um....I know it's not much but I saw some snow! It was enough to make me really happy, even though we didn't get as much as we could have. I'm still really happy I got to see some!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Colder air already working onshore. Camas summit in SW Douglas County was in the mid-40s a couple hours ago.

 

[jcmcgaffey]

Yeah... I guess all of this is a matter of perspective.

this morning i said this afternoon might be interesting and could see a period of heavy snow and you said it would be shredded by the east wind. I just thought it odd that our best snow was the one time the NWS didn’t issue any heads up.

[Randyc321]

I don't see massive rain on Friday.  This is total precip that day...

 

 

What do the next 6 hours show?  The 18z GFS is wet during that period right into the Metro area.  If it is really snow like shown on the GFS it would be a crappy commute.

 

Here is 4-10 pm 

[Blizzard777]

The end is near!

 

[Blizzard777]

this morning i said this afternoon might be interesting and could see a period of heavy snow and you said it would be shredded by the east wind. I just thought it odd that our best snow was the one time the NWS didn’t issue any heads up.

It shredded it down here! 

Glad you scored though! 

[snow maniac]

Snowing hard here.

[TT-SEA]

this morning i said this afternoon might be interesting and could see a period of heavy snow and you said it would be shredded by the east wind. I just thought it odd that our best snow was the one time the NWS didn’t issue any heads up.

 

Well... it was definitely shredded by the east wind in the EPSL.   We were under green on the radar out here for 2 hours and had no accumulation at all... which is in stark contrast to earlier in the week.    But as often happens with rain in these offshore flow situations... the precip is heavier as you go west towards the Olympics.   So Seattle is wetter than North Bend and Kitsap is wetter than Seattle.  

 

Hard to account for every location in these posts... but the models were right in showing the precip being eaten up by the east wind.   

 

This was the ECMWF this morning...total precip for this afternoon.

 

[MossMan]

Just got done plowing again! So fun!

[Jesse]

Wow. Looks like the WV totally torched today despite hitting freezing before midnight last night.

 

Glad to see PDX managed to score a sub-40 high at least. FOR NOW.

[snow_wizard]

Actually a very realistic shot at snow in SW King County tomorrow night.  A few GFS runs have shown it and the last couple of ECMWF runs as well.  The ECMWF is going for 1" to 1.5" for my back yard.  As usual this area is far from being the big winner, but hasn't gotten totally shafted either.  I do like how cold the east wind has been here today.  Everything has frozen up pretty solid.

 

It just kills me how close this came to being great for everyone.  At least we will probably get one more chance this winter.

[seattleweatherguy]

Actually a very realistic shot at snow in SW King County tomorrow night. A few GFS runs have shown it and the last couple of ECMWF runs as well. The ECMWF is going for 1" to 1.5" for my back yard. As usual this area is far from being the big winner, but hasn't gotten totally shafted either. I do like how cold the east wind has been here today. Everything has frozen up pretty solid.

 

It just kills me how close this came to being great for everyone. At least we will probably get one more chance this winter.

None for central?

[snow_wizard]

None for central?

 

It looks like the moisture hooks around the south end of the Olympics which is not good for Seattle in a case like this.  Wish I had better news.

It also looks like the north interior will get hit again. As if they need it.

[Randyc321]

Well... it was definitely shredded by the east wind in the EPSL.   We were under green on the radar out here for 2 hours and had no accumulation at all... which is in stark contrast to earlier in the week.    But as often happens with rain in these offshore flow situations... the precip is heavier as you go west towards the Olympics.   So Seattle is wetter than North Bend and Kitsap is wetter than Seattle.  

 

Hard to account for every location in these posts... but the models were right in showing the precip being eaten up by the east wind.   

 

This was the ECMWF this morning...total precip for this afternoon.

 

 

 

That's really close to the truth for my location.  I've gotten another inch so far.  We will see if that's it.  But, I am encouraged by this because you just posted tonight's for me and it is about the same amount it was right about this morning.

[FroYoBro]

Pretty stormy out there as this line passes through.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Tim can you post a 18z euro snow map for that late friday night saturday time frame please.

[TT-SEA]

This is the map for the event that Jim mentioned... late tomorrow night into Friday morning.

 

I think its really important to mention that Randy will finally get in on the action!