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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


snow_wizard

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The ECMWF is much more bullish with the PV split/SSW potential than the GFS (which re-consolidates the vortex quickly).

 

I think the “blocky” outcome might hinge on the degree/timing of the wave driving/PV split..can it really be knocked out? Been a behemoth all winter.

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Helicopters suck.

To think I flew on one across cloud obscured mountains to get to Hippa island on multiple occasions..argh. Nope nope nope nope nope.

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I know it should go into the banter thread but the NBA needs to postpone tomorrow’s games. This is unreal.

  • Like 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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The sun is actually shining here. Feels like I haven't seen it in weeks.

 

Wind's gusting close to 40 mph though.

not much wind here...but sunny! Should last a couple hours.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Some are reporting that three on board who also died were his daughters (the fourth being Rick Fox). Unconfirmed, but I really, really hope it isn't true.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Really liking the EPS mean in the longer range (as well as the earlier stuff).  Another cold February is very possible.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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This is going to turn out very poorly for me...And Snowmizer.

 

It almost never turns out bad for you guys.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Wow helicopter crash...41 years old.

 

The one time I flew in a helicopter it was hard to not think...what if this thing stops running or something.  No wings to glide to a graceful landing.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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No matter what Mossman gets snow. If Bernie gets elected that will end. #spreadthewealth

 

If Bernie could really do that I would vote for him.  That fact makes me realize how selfish I am.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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BTW...I will do my several times annual apology for being a di-ck at times.  I just get so into this stuff!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I’m out of town the 3rd week of February...That timing would turn out bad!!

 

Oh.....

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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You got married?

 

Nice catch!  I didn't know he was either.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Queue the Jaws music!  The EPS has both the PNA and EPO going solidly negative this time.  The last cold snap was all - PNA and those are notriously precarious as Jan 2005 will also attest to.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Wow!  You know the Kobe story is big when CNN breaks away from its endless Trump bashing.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Wow! You know the Kobe story is big when CNN breaks away from its endless Trump bashing.

Or when Fox News doesn’t say something about Hillary’s emails or the liberal agenda for a couple minutes. I think you know that a figure was big when literally the whole news cycle freezes for him.

  • Like 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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There's a possible weather angle on the Kobe crash (though of course nothing has been confirmed by the relevant authorities)

 

Satellite imagery showed a thick low cloud deck in the area at the time https://weather.us/satellite/ventura/satellite-color-superhd-5min/20200126-2025z.html with cloud bases observed at LAX around 1000ft https://weather.us/observations/ventura/cloud-base-feet/20200126-1800z.html. Visibility at the closest ASOS to the crash site was around 2-2.5 miles at the time https://weather.us/observations/ventura/visibility-miles/20200126-2000z.html#obs-detail-KVNY

 

(couldn't figure out how to add images)

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Or when Fox News doesn’t say something about Hillary’s emails or the liberal agenda for a couple minutes. I think you know that a figure was big when literally the whole news cycle freezes for him.

 

No doubt. Quite a tribute for sure.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Share on other sites

There's a possible weather angle on the Kobe crash (though of course nothing has been confirmed by the relevant authorities)

 

Satellite imagery showed a thick low cloud deck in the area at the time https://weather.us/satellite/ventura/satellite-color-superhd-5min/20200126-2025z.html with cloud bases observed at LAX around 1000ft https://weather.us/observations/ventura/cloud-base-feet/20200126-1800z.html. Visibility at the closest ASOS to the crash site was around 2-2.5 miles at the time https://weather.us/observations/ventura/visibility-miles/20200126-2000z.html#obs-detail-KVNY

 

(couldn't figure out how to add images)

 

Are you from Maine or do you still live there?

 

That is one state I have thought would be good for me weather wise.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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live in Maine but am at college in NY. Our weather is awesome!

The one thing besides the great winters in Maine that sounds appealing is the summers are much cooler than the rest of the Eastern US.  Those muggy / wet summers are a deal breaker for me.  In the West we can go for weeks with nothing but sunshine which makes it possible to work on projects outside without having to protect anything from getting wet.  I know Maine isn't like that, but at least it's not oppressive.  

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Share on other sites

The one thing besides the great winters in Maine that sounds appealing is the summers are much cooler than the rest of the Eastern US.  Those muggy / wet summers are a deal breaker for me.  In the West we can go for weeks with nothing but sunshine which makes it possible to work on projects outside without having to protect anything from getting wet.  I know Maine isn't like that, but at least it's not oppressive.  

for sure, with the ocean so close it's hard to get super hot. I live right at the shoreline, we rarely get above 85 unless it's on a strong westerly wind. I suspect it's similar in WA/OR!

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