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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


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The NAM (FWIW) shows a classic sliding c-zone tomorrow night.  Everett to Tacoma gets snow.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 35

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Some views of the cabin we’ve been staying at. About 12 miles west of Bend. Definitely getting my snow and cold fix out here.        

Max depth was around 19” 

A lot of thoughts tonight. First the weather. Absolutely gorgeous day in NE Oklahoma today. Awoke to dissipating high clouds and a heavy frost up in Nowata County. Skies completely cleared by mid-morn

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Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George.  -54 at one station in the southern Yukon.  Nice numbers and will get better.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 35

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Pretty easy to see why the NAM thinks the CZ will slide south so easily. Nice northerly flow down the Sound by Sunday night. Euro doesn't even start outflow until around this time.

 

Here's the link to monitor the Fraser gradient tomorrow for anyone interested.

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link_pdiff.shtml?choice=KBLI+CYWL

 

And great reason to discount anything it shows.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George.  -54 at one station in the southern Yukon.  Nice numbers and will get better.

Would be awesome if that airmass was getting pushed down here a little more effectively. But...at least it still stands to give many of us snow.

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NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for.

Would be an interesting little guy . . .

 

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_fh69-84.gif

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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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Would be an interesting little guy . . .

 

attachicon.gifnamconus_ref_frzn_nwus_fh69-84.gif

 

I think it could be (at least I thought so before this run), Portland's biggest chance to score a little snow (in the lowest elevations). We'll see, feeling more dubious but the NAM isn't exactly the most accurate...

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was.

if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked .

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.26”

Cold season rainfall-32.08”

Snowfall-15.5”

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NAM is just way to aggressive with the cold air and its push south. It is a known bias the model has. It shows 516 thickness getting to about SLE on Tuesday. It also has the Monday low down near the CA border, when the EURO had it about 150 miles north. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I never bought into the 15+ inch madness-- but I'm hoping for 2-5 inches in our general area (I assume we live pretty close by).

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Do I post in Part 1, or Part II? Do I wait for Part III? I'm more confused than a retarded virgin in a whorehouse!

 

00z GFS in 17 minutes! Root for the low Wednesday-Thursday to stay south of PDX! Envision the Gorton's Fisherman using a magic lasso(presumably made out of fish sticks) pulling the low towards Newport or even Yachats. C'MON!!!!

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Guest LaPineLurker

if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked .

I am from Brownsville. I'm not sure what this outing stuff is? I'm just here for weather talk.

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00Z ICON not on board with the arctic blast or snow through at least Tuesday. But tomorrow is a long way off yet. Plenty of time for things to change.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Guest LaPineLurker

It’s DomeBuster. And he did a lot to earn it.

I assure you I know nothing about whoever you are talking about. Isn't this a weather forum to talk about weather? Or is this a high school clique?

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If only the ICON weren't useless-- it's great for PDX.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Who is DomeBuster, what did he do, and how do you know this new guy is him? I'm bored waiting for the 00z, gimme some details lol.

 

Quick rundown of the drama: DomeBuster, MtScottJosh, CulverJosh, Joshthesnowman, and potentially other handles too was an inflammatory, often-drunk, and very vulgar poster on here. He got personal with quite a few users, and did similar things on the FOX12WeatherBlog (another weather site run by very proficient met Mark Nelsen). He often came back with a different name-- last month he started a campaign of telling people about a mysterious NWS contact that gave him some sort of prophetic information (all the while throwing insults and vulgarity around left and right). Eventually he was banned by iFred, and may or may not be back (we'll see).

  • Like 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Models starting to agree that we'll see precip down here on Thursday, worried about snow levels though since it's going to be a warm system, could be borderline for the ski area which is not good, if it turns out to be all snow above ~7,000 we're in the money. 

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Models starting to agree that we'll see precip down here on Thursday, worried about snow levels though since it's going to be a warm system, could be borderline for the ski area which is not good, if it turns out to be all snow above ~7,000 we're in the money. 

 

Mountains are getting buried-- I wouldn't worry about ski snow right now.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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