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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


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Some views of the cabin we’ve been staying at. About 12 miles west of Bend. Definitely getting my snow and cold fix out here.        

Max depth was around 19” 

A lot of thoughts tonight. First the weather. Absolutely gorgeous day in NE Oklahoma today. Awoke to dissipating high clouds and a heavy frost up in Nowata County. Skies completely cleared by mid-morn

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No East winds

 

Um...there are lol

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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GFS still quicker than the Euro to bring the north winds down the Sound.

We've seen the models duke it out over the last 2 weeks on how to handle this pattern. Along with some various members on here as well. 

30 hours out and they're still fighting. 

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Pretty noticeable southward shift with the midweek system on this run. You love to see it!

 

We'll see....could either be very bad or very good haha

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Remember in Poltergeist when the mom is running down the hallway trying to save her kids from the living dead and the hallway kept extending and getting longer the faster she ran in her bath towel and it took her forever to get to bedroom door...She finally did it and saved her kids just in the nick of time...That scene reminds me of what we have had to endure!

Lol

exactly how this past two weeks felt!

nailed it....too funny 

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Weaker this run which isn't particularly good for anyone. 

 

Weaker (to my knowledge, at least) typically means less tendency to curve northwards early. Meaning that it stays more southward.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Because of the southern shift for the midweek system, cold air is probably locked in place a little bit longer, which would allow the next system to come in as a big overrunning event before turning to rain. W e'll see. 

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Things are much colder by Friday as a result of the weaker low with a southern track.

 

I thought the warm up was written in stone?  ;)

 

Snow or not, anything that delays the return of split flow I will gladly take. Please no more.

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Down to 39 here...couple of areas above 500' reporting mixed rain and snow currently apparently around western WA.

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-16

Monthly rainfall-0.82”

Cold season rainfall-32.91”

Snowfall-15.5”

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GFS miracle.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 10.5"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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We’ve lost the gfs

 

Told you time and time again to never trust any model but the ICON. See?

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Because of the southern shift for the midweek system, cold air is probably locked in place a little bit longer, which would allow the next system to come in as a big overrunning event before turning to rain. W e'll see. 

Hour 150, very much an overrunning signature for Puget Sound-north. 

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Weaker (to my knowledge, at least) typically means less tendency to curve northwards early. Meaning that it stays more southward.

 

What he meant was it wasn't as good for the Santa Catalina mountains east of Tucson. C'mon everyone should know that.

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Wet evening. Moderate rain/splats and 34 degrees. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 10.5"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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