Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Weiner Warrior]

That low looks to be a bit north?

[Omegaraptor]

Just a couple days ago Meadows had a 55" base. Now it has a 74" base.

[FroYoBro]

Euro for 4 pm Monday shows Portland at 35 with a rain/snow mix. 

 

Drops a couple inches of very wet snow in the north valley. 

[TT-SEA]

Just getting kissed by the purple!

 

 

That is what she said.   

[seattleweatherguy]

Looks a little weaker but same general placement. By 5AM Monday...

 

According to this map I get black or blue in bothell either way i will take it!

[Weiner Warrior]

Snow into puget sound hanging around!! Hr 60!

[GHweatherChris]

Alrighty, on to Wed/Thurs Euro, bring it!!

[HighlandExperience]

Shows very light snow generally hanging around through 4AM Tuesday.

 

At least will have flakes flying in the air

[FroYoBro]

It might be like February where I see a lot of flakes in the air, but not much accumulation. 

[Requiem]

It might be like February where I see a lot of flakes in the air, but not much accumulation. 

 

I think the way EURO handles that first system is very reminiscent of a mostly-West Hills snow event, with slushy accumulation on the floor. Thursday's our chance, I think.

[MossMan]

JAYA!

[TacomaWaWx]

JAYA!

snow hole over my house...toss it.

[HighlandExperience]

Why bother posting kuchera maps? Almost never seem to verify around here. Would be nice though!

[TacomaWaWx]

38 and rain here.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows persistent light snow all of Monday and Tuesday for the Seattle.   But only adds up to maybe half an inch to an inch total... and high temps are in the mid to upper 30s on Monday and mid 30s on Tuesday.     I can't remember seeing that set up before.

[Weiner Warrior]

He's all in to the extreme with the kuchera maps

[HighlandExperience]

ECMWF shows persistent light snow all of Monday and Tuesday for the Seattle. But only adds up to maybe half an inch to an inch total... and high temps are in the mid to upper 30s on Monday and mid 30s on Tuesday. I can't remember seeing that set up before.

Can you post total through Tuesday !

[Weiner Warrior]

Why bother posting kuchera maps? Almost never seem to verify around here. Would be nice though!

Especially with highs in the mid 30's

[TT-SEA]

Assuming the snowfall over Snoqualmie Valley shown is just it catching the 2000'+ sticking snow of tonight through tomorrow for the surrounding mountains? Makes estimating difficult for Preston eastward..

 

Yeah... its almost impossible.

 

But you are right that its picking up snow tonight that is really above at least 1,500 feet.   There just happens to be lots of areas around higher than 1,500 feet so it all blends together.

[TT-SEA]

He's all in to the extreme with the kuchera maps

 

 

He was downplaying and now he is over-hyping.   That is just a ridiculous map based on the actual details of the GFS run.    Tell me when Seattle gets almost a foot of snow.   Run the loop.   Its not there.  Dumb.

[bainbridgekid]

Euro snowfall Wednesday and Wednesday evening!

 

[wxmet]

ECMWF is further south with the low than 12z at 108 hr.

[Skagit Weather]

A little bit of north sound snowfall Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. I'll take all that I can get.

 

[HighlandExperience]

The only nice thing about Monday thru Wednesday is that it looks like it’s going to lightly snowing most of the time. That’s special

[TT-SEA]

Can you post total through Tuesday !

 

 

Unfortunately most of that probably melts for the Seattle area.   A little comes on Sunday night and Monday morning but temps are well above freezing Monday... then a little more Tuesday and its above freezing again that day.    It might be lots of snow in the air and its gets more overstated in the snow map over a long period of time.

[bainbridgekid]

00z Euro really only shows a little break in the very light snowfall around Western WA that happens early Wednesday.

 

Otherwise, it shows snow at least flying in the air Monday, Tuesday, and later Wednesday.

Really pays to be along the boundary in situations like this.

[TT-SEA]

The only nice thing about Monday thru Wednesday is that it looks like it’s going to lightly snowing most of the time. That’s special

 

Unique set up.   I am curious what it will look like on radar.

[HighlandExperience]

 

Unfortunately most of that probably melts for the Seattle area. A little comes on Sunday night and Monday morning but temps are well above freezing Monday... then a little more Tuesday and its above freezing again that day. It might be lots snow in the air and its gets more overstated in the snow map over a long period of time.

This might be the best recent run.

[GHweatherChris]

 

 

 

Unfortunately most of that probably melts for the Seattle area. A little comes on Sunday night and Monday morning but temps are well above freezing Monday... then a little more Tuesday and its above freezing again that day. It might be lots snow in the air and its gets more overstated in the snow map over a long period of time.

Cmon man, he only asked for a map total, not your analysis.

[bainbridgekid]

Major Seattle snowstorm Thursday on the Euro

[Weiner Warrior]

Bammmmm overrunning time

[HighlandExperience]

Unique set up. I am curious what it will look like on radar.

Light snow for several days would make this special

[wxmet]

ECMWF track of the surface low on Thursday looks better for Seattle. 

[bainbridgekid]

[TT-SEA]

Thursday is much cooler on this run around Seattle... and a band of snow moves in during the day. 

 

[Weiner Warrior]

Hope that happens. Heads northwest at the sweetspot

[MossMan]

 

Unfortunately most of that probably melts for the Seattle area. A little comes on Sunday night and Monday morning but temps are well above freezing Monday... then a little more Tuesday and its above freezing again that day. It might be lots of snow in the air and its gets more overstated in the snow map over a long period of time.

Could you post high temp maps for western Wa each day this coming week?

[TT-SEA]

Cmon man, he only asked for a map total, not your analysis.

 

She.

 

And I am perplexed by it too.

[Requiem]

Far better run for Seattle. I'm sure Portland eeks out a dusting for the Thursday storm but far less than earlier. Shows how we're far from finding out where the models will take this thing.

[Weiner Warrior]

Still right around freezing on friday