Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Jesse]

Euro looks to be moving back toward keeping us chilly through the end of the week as well.

 

Good 00Z trends tonight!

[TT-SEA]

Could you post high temp maps for western Wa each day this coming week?

 

Monday...

 

 

 

Tuesday...

 

 

 

Wednesday...

 

[GHweatherChris]

She.

 

And I am perplexed by it too.

Ok, said member did not ask for your personal analysis, that's all. Not trying to start anything but, your extra bit was unnecessary.

[TT-SEA]

Thursday is not updated yet.

[MossMan]

Our massive weenie meltdown last night and this morning really paid off!!

[GHweatherChris]

Now we are back to a coldish week....

[bainbridgekid]

Total snow through Thursday evening on the Euro.

 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

Ok, said member did not ask for your personal analysis, that's all. Not trying to start anything but, your extra bit was unnecessary.

 

Whatever.   Could be perpetually snowing.   That is pretty unusual.   Its so uniform and spread out on the precip maps.

[MossMan]

Monday...

 

 

 

Tuesday...

 

 

 

Wednesday...

 

Thank you sir!

[GHweatherChris]

Our massive weenie meltdown last night and this morning really paid off!!

I put alot of effort in to it last night and this morning.

[wxmet]

ECMWF still hasn't figured out the mid week system yet. The PV was further south on this run which de-amplified the 500mb ridge ahead of the storm resulting in a track that was further south. The track of this system is clearly sensitive to the position and fluctuation in the PV strength. 

[TT-SEA]

Now we are back to a coldish week....

 

 

Monday - Wednesday are actually warmer on this run than on the 00Z run last night.

 

Everyone just set their expectations to zero so now everything is new and exciting.   It was a good process.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Winter un-cancel?

[GHweatherChris]

Whatever. Could be perpetually snowing. That is pretty unusual. Its so uniform and spread out on the precip maps.

Might end up being awesome!

[MossMan]

I put alot of effort in to it last night and this morning.

Me too!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just got back from a drive, its running 35-37 up in the Barkley Hill/Tweed Twenty area of Bellingham with a little bit of a mix falling.  I took a quick drive up to the Toad Lake area (@ ~1k ft) and it was a very slushy rain.  Temp on my car thermometer (which is pretty accurate in comparison to the weather station at my house) showed 33.7 up there at the water tank on Sapphire Trail.

 

Plenty of areas at just a few hundred feet elevation are getting wet snow tonight just north of the 49th parallel.

 

Bellingham has actually warmed up a degree or two in the past few hours. It's now cooler in Friday Harbor. Which is on an island. Surrounded by salt water on all sides. And further south. Sigh.

[GHweatherChris]

[TacomaWaWx]

Monday - Wednesday are actually warmer on this run than on the 00Z run last night.

 

Everyone just set their expectations to zero so now everything is new and exciting. It was a good process.

kind of reminds me of Feb 2018. Mid 30s with wet snow in the daytime and cold enough for accumulation at night.

[SnarkyGoblin]

ECMWF still hasn't figured out the mid week system yet. The PV was further south on this run which de-amplified the 500mb ridge ahead of the storm resulting in a track that was further south. The track of this system is clearly sensitive to the position and fluctuation in the PV strength. 

wxmet is the MVP of this forum.  every one of his/her posts is legit.

 

Thank you very much!

[Deweydog]

Thursday is not updated yet.

Troll

[Requiem]

Huh. Doesn't look terrible for Portland-- go figure. Probably worse than last run, but small tweaks could mean big improvement. I think 1-3 inches is now possible.

[TT-SEA]

Yay pretty colors are back!

 

Seattle gets like half a foot of snow on Thursday on this run!

[Jesse]

Thanks Tim, can always count on you... I will temper my enthusiasm now.

 

Next week overall looks the coldest it has in a day or so on tonight's 00Z runs. So you were actually correct in your claim. Notice we aren't seeing the maps gleefully showing a warmup on Friday now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Over an inch of rain today.

[Cloud]

wxmet is the MVP of this forum. every one of his/her posts is legit.

 

Thank you very much!

Yup. Always enjoyed his analysis.

[GHweatherChris]

Plenty of areas at just a few hundred feet elevation are getting wet snow tonight just north of the 49th parallel.

 

Bellingham has actually warmed up a degree or two in the past few hours. It's now cooler in Friday Harbor. Which is on an island. Surrounded by salt water on all sides. And further south. Sigh.

Weird post, for tonight.

[Perturbed Member]

EURO, GEM and GFS. GEM is very likely on drugs here but just for fun. Half the euro total is also phantom snow on Monday.

 

 

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Glad things are actually going in the right direction at the home stretch. Yesterday some of y'all were saying it'd be impossible to get better and it'd only get worse

[bainbridgekid]

Seattle gets like half a foot of snow on Thursday on this run!

Widespread 4-6" from Olympia to Everett that day alone this run.

[TT-SEA]

Thursday...

 

 

 

Friday...

 

[Requiem]

Glad things are actually going in the right direction at the home stretch. Yesterday some of y'all were saying it'd be impossible to get better and it'd only get worse

 

Not convinced yet for PDX. But we'll see.

[GHweatherChris]

There it is.

[TacomaWaWx]

Still a 5 day stretch of cold and snow. Could be a very fun few days for a busted event.

[bainbridgekid]

It's going to be a fun week.

[GHweatherChris]

It's going to be a fun week.

Absolutely!!

[TT-SEA]

There it is.

 

 

Randy asked for high temps for the week.

 

I got to Thursday and it has not finished.  Now it finished.  So I posted Thursday and Friday.

 

Good Lord.    I am out to get you all with actual maps from the best weather model available.   Watch out!!   

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Randy asked for high temps for the week.

 

I got to Thursday and it has not finished.  Now it finished.  So I posted Thursday and Friday.

 

Good Lord.    I am out to get you all with actual maps from the best weather model available.   Watch out!!   

 

if I don't see snow at my house I'm blaming you personally!

[MikeInEverett]

There it is.

That’s a bit of a stretch.

[runninthruda206]

Total snow through Thursday evening on the Euro.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw (1).png

sn10_acc.us_city_sea (1).png

 

Freaking beautiful. Right over my place!

[GHweatherChris]

Randy asked for high temps for the week.

 

I got to Thursday and it has not finished. Now it finished. So I posted Thursday and Friday.

 

Good Lord. I am out to get you all with actual maps from the best weather model available. Watch out!!

 

https://media2.giphy.com/media/7tKEfRjktJ2MM/giphif

Why do you get so defensive? It is so weird.