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Not a fan of radar trends here. Out in Indiana the ZR/snow line looks to be North of where models had it this morning. It's going to start as snow but I'm worried about an early changeover to rain in the morning. And the overnight snow is pointless if rain is just gonna melt it all tomorrow.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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3.8 to 4.0" and puking snow.

About 3.5".  

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My snow total is 4.5".  It is freezing drizzle now.

 

My guess was 3-4", so a little above that is a good total.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Looks like I'm gonna sleep thru most of the snow portion of this storm. Leading moderate band is moving in now, just flurries atm. Hope I wake up to 6" as I want at least some of this to survive thru the 40° rain tomorrow.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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If it’s not snowing in Toledo it’s coming ground covered over by Hillsdale

No obvious flakes yet in Holland.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The little pockets of precip moving over us on radar are sleet showers.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Just cleared 3.6" of powder which surpassed the highest snowfall of the season and counting.  Hopefully, we can inch our way up to, or surpass the 4" mark....which was the number I had in mind for this storm system.  The wind is rather gusty (SE 20mph G 29mph) which is a peculiar wind direction during a snowfall event.  Overall, I'm pleased with the performance of this system thus far.  The snowfall rates and winds have made it a pleasure to enjoy.  Gosh I miss having these type of systems!

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Man its hard to get an official measurement but i did a bunch and my average is 4.3" so im going with that. Im happy with how this storm panned out. Maybe I can score some wrap around. Biggest storm of the season so far!

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Yeah the 8-10 the models were showing here won’t come close. WWA was the right call.

I'm hoping that doesn't translate east...I'm still expecting big things over here, gotta believe at least 6". Radar trends west and south looking good. Just hoping the changeover tomorrow morning won't eat into totals too much.

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4.5” so far on the driveway, but hard to get a good measurement with the wind. Looks like things will taper off a bit and then pick back up overnight.

I think your prediction of 4.5” is going to end up being pretty spot on. Light freezing drizzle outside at the moment. MSP says we might get an inch or two overnight. I think that may be optimistic by the looks of the radar.
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I'm hoping that doesn't translate east...I'm still expecting big things over here, gotta believe at least 6". Radar trends west and south looking good. Just hoping the changeover tomorrow morning won't eat into totals too much.

Eh I’m just being negative. I’m under the heaviest returns and they are not impressive. I was expecting bursts of heavy snow. This is not that.

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I think your prediction of 4.5” is going to end up being pretty spot on. Light freezing drizzle outside at the moment. MSP says we might get an inch or two overnight. I think that may be optimistic by the looks of the radar.

Yeah that dry slot is WAY further north than any model showed. It’s almost to Bemidji. Regardless of the dry slot, I still didn’t see any reason to believe the totals being shown. The setup just wasn’t there. A wound up storm can dump 7-10” easily. An open wave....not so much. Not when you’re on the western edge at least.

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Are you sure no part2? :blink:

NOAA:

All in all, most of SE MI can expect up to a half inch of accumulation

during the day Sunday but there is potential for some in the I94 to

M59 corridor to exceed 1 inch if the initial eastern moisture surge

is stronger.

 

No, lol, I'm not sure. That's good news bud. Hopefully it plays out for both of us. They extended our WWA an additional 12 hrs to 7 am Sunday now. Verbatim in my headline the official forecast is 5-11" which will depend on how much we can keep snow going vs "other" or "nada" and how robust the backside transition is? Surprisingly windy from the east when this set in around 8:30 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Eh I’m just being negative. I’m under the heaviest returns and they are not impressive. I was expecting bursts of heavy snow. This is not that.

 

And per GRR's products, that all say "heavy wet snow" as well as DTX's disco saying larger fluffy flakes, I was expecting wet "fatties". Instead, it's another pour-down of dry-ish pixies. Seems like that's the only type of snow around here anymore. Let's see what the morning brings. Some SR models have some interesting looking cellular "squalls" or something early tomorrow. That'd be a huge plus to see.  

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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After I shoveled the driveway and walkways, I muscled enough energy to take a LONG walk around the neighborhood and soak it all in.  There was a heavier pocket of snow that was heading my way and I couldn't let that moment go by without taking a stroll.  Glad I did because at times it was coming down rather heavily with fatty flakes mixed in.  I enjoyed watching the snow blow off the top of the roofs and the smell of burning wood from someones fireplace made it even more enjoyable. 

 

As a result of that heavier burst of snow, I picked up an additional 0.8" which brings my total to 4.4".  Not sure how the heck ORD is only at 2.5" as of 9:00pm.  Local reports as of 8:00pm in my hometown were already at 3".  

 

Just as I was approaching my street towards the end of my walk, I started to feel sleet pellets hitting my face mixing in with the snow.  Hopefully we don't get as warm as the models suggest and are able to keep a deep enough base around.  This was no doubt the best storm of the season so far and reminded me of the Good Ol' Days of having a powdery, wind driven, snow storm.  Good luck to those of you to my East!

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No, lol, I'm not sure. That's good news bud. Hopefully it plays out for both of us. They extended our WWA an additional 12 hrs to 7 am Sunday now. Verbatim in my headline the official forecast is 5-11" which will depend on how much we can keep snow going vs "other" or "nada" and how robust the backside transition is? Surprisingly windy from the east when this set in around 8:30 

Good luck bud!!! Hope you score big! ;)

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The nice radar returns moving through my area now is no longer sleet... it's freezing rain.  My snow is now/sleet is now solidly encased in ice.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Gonna be a mess around here. Its changed over from snow to sleet to freezing rain now. And by the looks of radar we are going to be in for z long night of freezing rain. We did end up with what looks like a good 3" maybe 4"of snow.

 

 

By the way hello. Ive been on here for a few years but had to make a new account.

Welcome!  Glad to hear we have another member in N IL.  I woke up to the sound of rain drops hitting my sky light not long ago and ventured outside and there is a thick crust of ice that has formed from the heavy freezing rain.  I did a couple of quick measurements and the snow has compacted down to 3.5" which is more than I thought it would be.  This stuff is going to be frozen solid once temps plunge later today.  It reminds me of a winter storm when I was a young lad and remember seeing a thick sheet of ice on top of a deep snow pack.  I must have been like 5 or 6 years old at the time.  It's been a while since I've seen anything similar to what we have going on now.

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@ James/Grizz, did you get included in the Blizzard warnings that were expanded in N IA?  If I missed anyone else, let me know...would be a neat to see if some of our members to be effected by Blitz conditions.

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It does not appear the backside snow will amount to much around here, so there shouldn't be a major blowing issue.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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