1/22 - 1/25 Cut-Off ULL

[Minny_Weather]

Rain/snow line that far South? Are they high?

[snowstorm83]

0.6 at LNK. Sounds about right, I didn’t bother measuring. OAX is saying 2-3” tomorrow. If I actually finally get 2”+, I’ll roll in the snow in my underwear.

[Stormhunter87]

This wet snow washed the salt away. About took a nose dive putting my dog in the back of my car. Yikes!

[Hawkeye]

I am up to 1.4".  The solid light snow is definitely accumulating better this evening.

[james1976]

Measure where it's sticking.

Obviously. What I meant to saw is its sticking more on top of the thicker snowcover and only a lil on the patio table and somewhat on the driveway. I measured on the part of driveway that had a thin layer of crust from last storm. Tried to measure just the fresh snow on top of it. Bare cement was really not sticking yet.

 

After the sun went down it started sticking on patio table. Had a good burst around suppertime. All that being said I measured 1.4" a while ago.

[jaster220]

As the 18z Euro back-pedaled hard, this looks to be a snoozer loser for SCMI. My office earlier was giving me a glimmer of hope indicating that there was at least one snowy option on the table. I'm sure that's now been yanked off the table. Oh well, temps under-performed today so winter was 5 days this year. 

[Plowguy-dupage county]

Look like maybe a few inches. Lol. Not exactly a great storm. Hopefully i get some work out of it. We in the snow industry are not having a great year so far.

[St Paul Storm]

Pound town band sitting overhead. Approaching 1”. Not even snowing 10 miles to the northwest.

[Niko]

Rain/snow line that far South? Are they high?

Thats a little too far south.....I think R/SN line will be border of OH/MI, if not slightly more north

[Clinton]

Here is the forecast from my office.

 

https://twitter.com/NWSKansasCity/status/1220106124419977216

[jaster220]

     Pretty much sums up our winter

 

[jaster220]

Look like maybe a few inches. Lol. Not exactly a great storm. Hopefully i get some work out of it. We in the snow industry are not having a great year so far.

 

Trade you in a heartbeat for 3-5" 

[Niko]

Here is the forecast from my office.

 

https://twitter.com/NWSKansasCity/status/1220106124419977216

[james1976]

Nice burst again. Up to 1.7" now

[Plowguy-dupage county]

Trade you in a heartbeat for 3-5"

With the way all the past storms have gone. Im gonna say that 3-5 ends up being 2 or 3. Over the coarse of three days. And with snow falling during the daytime hours. Im not optimistic it amounts to very much.

[jaster220]

With the way all the past storms have gone. Im gonna say that 3-5 ends up being 2 or 3. Over the coarse of three days. And with snow falling during the daytime hours. Im not optimistic it amounts to very much.

 

This is the official map.

 

 

 

Would you rather have mine with

[snowstorm83]

Short range models actually look lame for tomorrow and not the usual outrageous totals. I figured the RAP would show like 7" for Lincoln but it only has a dusting, which is the likely outcome. 

[Hawkeye]

My total is at 2.2".  The HRRR and NAM suggested light snow may continue to redevelop over us for much of the night, but it seems the snow has largely pushed north and east of CR.

[Stormy]

I just came back indoors from taking a snow measurement and I'm up to 2" or a tad less attm.

[Hawkeye]

Evening models have generally shifted the main low's defo band south and east.  

[Tom]

As of 3:28am this morning, I have not seen a flake...

[Tom]

00z GEFS....

 

 

[Tom]

00z EPS/Control...seems like the trend is for the models taking the defo band right through MO/IL/WI...like I said before, 4-6" with local 8" is what I'm going with as a grand total for N IL.  Hopefully some of those higher end totals transpire since most of the heavier snows will fall Friday night into Sat am.

 

 

[Tom]

Just took a peak out the window and I have a coating of fresh snow OTG...let it snow...

[Tom]

LOT just posted their AFD and targeting the Friday night period for the best snows....

 

 

 

Models continue to
indicate the potential for deformation band to develop late
Friday/Friday night, which looks to enhance precipitation rates
especially across northern IL. Thermal profiles start to cool late
in the afternoon as low level flow backs north and northwesterly
into Friday evening. Precipitation, which mixes or changes to rain
during the day Friday will then trend back toward snow Friday
night as the column cools from the west. Some evidence is noted in
guidance of vort energy wrapping cyclonically around upper low
across the cwa overnight, which may further aid precipitation
rates. While surface temps are still progged to be near freezing,
the cooling column should allow for a trend back to more snow
overnight, with the potential for several inches of accumulation.

 

[Tom]

06z GEFS...literally the "Perfect Pivot" for N IL....might be an all-nighter for this "guy" if the models continue to show a slow & strong defo band across IL Friday night.

 

 

 

[Clinton]

3z SREF looks like I'm still on track for a 2-4 in snow that I will gladly take.

[Clinton]

06z GEFS...literally the "Perfect Pivot" for N IL....might be an all-nighter for this "guy" if the models continue to show a slow & strong defo band across IL Friday night.

 

 

 

I hope you get it man, the models actually look better this morning than they did yesterday evening.

[Clinton]

6z NAM may be a bit over done but feel that it's a good thing that it trending snowier compared to the last couple of runs.

[jaster220]

6z NAM may be a bit over done but feel that it's a good thing that it trending snowier compared to the last couple of runs.

Gone much snowier for SWMI too. Keep going east lol

[Clinton]

Gone much snowier for SWMI too. Keep going east lol

East has been the trend, hope you can score a nice one.

[Clinton]

6z Euro

[Clinton]

6z EC looks more realistic for mby.

[james1976]

2.1" so far. Drizzle and light fog now.

[Hawkeye]

The second wave of these 2-wave events sure aren't panning out too well for Iowa.  They keep whiffing southeast after days with us in the bulls-eye.  I should still get something, though.

[Niko]

NOAA:
 

The best shot for snow comes late Friday night into Saturday as the
thermal profile becomes slightly modified and cools. Saturation will
be favorable as the column should be moist through the lowest 500mb.The broad
cyclonic low will be very slow to shift east Saturday night as the
longwave feature pivots significantly more than it translates. This
lends at least chance PoPs for most localities through Sunday
morning with assorted p-types.

[East Dubzz]

Not sure on the exact amount, but got something around 2"... actually slightly exceed my expectations. Hopefully get a couple more inches here these next few days.

[Hawkeye]

12z NAM is actually back nw a bit, even throws some snow back into central Iowa.

[Clinton]

12Z NAM and 3km NAM Tom smasher

[Madtown]

2in here last night. looks great outside!