Jump to content
The Weather Forums

February 2020 (It's cold at the end of the run!)


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 929
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

I went out to DeSoto on Saturday this past weekend and caught a couple of good shots. Saw at least 1/2 a dozen of Bald Eagles and several other large hawks. My favorite shot is probably the first one

Happy Valentines Day to my weather buddies!   Thanks for all your friendship.  

Ft. Worth is clear, brilliant skies, and 26 very chilly degrees   We expect to see a high of 47* and a low of 32*.   The snow and ice remained just west of me...of course, but this image is very muc

Posted Images

I completely agree with this. This winter has been good, but nothing extreme in terms of cold or snowfall. The difference this winter compared to the last few is that it’s been seasonably cold (for the most part) and we’ve had snow on the ground all winter. We haven’t had a consistent winter like this in a while. I’m ready for some warmth this weekend too, even if it dents the snowpack. Warm sun in late Feb is twice as strong as in December. It’s going to be a nice break. We still have a ways to go with winter, so we gotta enjoy it!

 

Sorry I'm a few days late on this response! We went up north to take advantage of the awesome snowmobile trails this winter has given us, and getting the last of tip-up/spearfishing in for the season, while starting to look for sheds.  Can't believe it's that time of year already where fishing seasons are beginning to shut down until Spring! But goodness, what an awesome weekend to be outside enjoying the weather.  Things were starting to melt fast, and while the snowmobile trails weren't too bad, the ditches going through towns were getting horrible. You are correct though, it has been a nice consistent winter.  Not too warm, not too cold.  Like you said, the snow has stuck around for a long time! I've actually enjoyed this winter.  It's been quite perfect :)

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Glad you enjoyed the time up north. Sounds like a blast! Pretty crazy to think that winter fishing season is quickly coming to an end. I got out on our lake exactly one time all winter. Pretty soon we’ll be talking about ice out dates. This winter has been enjoyable like you said. Not too cold, and a good amount of snow. But I’m looking forward to spring after this past weekend. Thoughts of rolling the dock into the water and planting the garden.....ahhh! But, there’s another decent snow storm or two to deal with first. As long as we don’t get 30” in April like we did 2 years ago. Not sure I’m interested in that again so soon.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

I went out to DeSoto on Saturday this past weekend and caught a couple of good shots. Saw at least 1/2 a dozen of Bald Eagles and several other large hawks. My favorite shot is probably the first one where this hawk was taking off from the tree. I've always loved these "action shots".

Awesome captures! I see bald eagles every day. I’ve already seen a few today. Many of the eagles will probably be migrating north before long. Yesterday there were at least 3 robins hopping around on the lawn and I saw a few huge groups of geese flying.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Awesome captures! I see bald eagles every day. I’ve already seen a few today. Many of the eagles will probably be migrating north before long. Yesterday there were at least 3 robins hopping around on the lawn and I saw a few huge groups of geese flying.

Thanks! I’ve seen a handful over the years in the part of Omaha I live in. I’m on the northern edge of town. Driving home on Saturday I noticed multiple flocks of geese way up high flying north so you knew they were going somewhere a ways away!

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Anyone else’s perennials starting to poke through? Just saw quite a few of mine. Hopefully a sign that true spring is near and here to stay.

 

Yeah, daffodils are popping up.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Without any new snow, temps this week will not be as cool.  With fresh snow, we would have been stuck in the 20s.  Now, the Euro has one day of low 30s (wednesday), but then quickly back to mid to upper 30s and then several days of 40s and even 50s.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

GFS and other long range data showing winter is ending quite abruptly. Lot of spring like days showing up.

 

Winter was okay here in KC, would have been a wild winter had temps been much colder. We had way more rain storms this year compared to last year as last winter was much colder.

 

We had the storms this winter, just couldn’t get the thermals to match up. JAN. by far was the best winter month here, ice and snow totaling 5-8 inches around town. Only had one winter event in DEC. and FEB. officially we had 15.4 inches of snow during the winter season. 1.9 fell during the fall months. So, if we don’t see any more snow, KC will finish below average on snow and way above on temps. We had a wet winter here so spring should start with a bang.

 

Looking forward to spring and baseball!!

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

This march looks like worst case for me. Warm start to ruin my ski hill, then cool off so I can't go out on the lake.

 

EDIT: Also, this winter doesn't seem like it was that bad looking at snowfall totals. It just felt really bad because December was a big fat nothing and we got ahead in average so fast because of the Halloween storm.

 

I think this winter is a good lesson in trusting models too much. An early snow is almost always a bad sign for winter being snowy and cold. And this one would have ended up below average if it weren't for the early one giving the stats a big boost.

 

In my gut I knew we were in trouble when we got an early snow, but the models kept teasing us.

msn-sts-2019-20.gif

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

This march looks like worst case for me. Warm start to ruin my ski hill, then cool off so I can't go out on the lake.

 

EDIT: Also, this winter doesn't seem like it was that bad looking at snowfall totals. It just felt really bad because December was a big fat nothing and we got ahead in average so fast because of the Halloween storm.

 

I think this winter is a good lesson in trusting models too much. An early snow is almost always a bad sign for winter being snowy and cold. And this one would have ended up below average if it weren't for the early one giving the stats a big boost.

 

In my gut I knew we were in trouble when we got an early snow, but the models kept teasing us.

Some good observations.  Yea, I've heard it too, and from some "old school" meteorologists, that early snow and cold are not a good sign for a cold and snowy winter.  Also, after this winter, I have come to the conclusion that computer models just suck!  Unfortunately, I'm of the opinion that the field of meteorology is in a very bad state right now due to it's over reliance on computer modeling.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Some good observations.  Yea, I've heard it too, and from some "old school" meteorologists, that early snow and cold are not a good sign for a cold and snowy winter.  Also, after this winter, I have come to the conclusion that computer models just suck!  Unfortunately, I'm of the opinion that the field of meteorology is in a very bad state right now due to it's over reliance on computer modeling.

There is a old weather saying that "ice on a pond that can bare the weight of a duck in November the rest of the winter will be rain and mud" and yes there is way too much reliance on computer modeling and not enough old school meteorology of course now the meteorologists can point a finger at the models and now take as much blame 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Had gone to California to visit my niece at the university (UCLA) for a couple of days. Came back earlier this afternoon. Excellent campus.

 

 

 

Attm, light snow w temps at 33F. Looks like I will be adding in the snow dept. ;)

  • Like 1

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Tonight's Euro has 53º here Saturday and 61º Sunday.   B)

 

Unfortunately, it also has no precip for the next ten days, so it could get a bit boring.

  • Like 4

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Were sitting at 38* at 8 am and very windy. Gusts to 32-35 mph.

Should see a High around 48*.

 

Worst part of this NW wind is it's killing my allergies.

Mt. Cedar from the Rockies blowing in.

 

Windy the next few days. And very chilly.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to post
Share on other sites

The snow here has lighten up and now is just a few flurries and it has melted on the road, driveway and even the roofs. Also the snow plow went by (more likely than not to drop salt) but the snow was already melted. Here are the stats for February so far at GRR the mean temperateness is  27.9° that is a departure of +1.5° for the month 14.0" (14.8" is average for February)  of snow fall has been reported for meteorological winter the total is 39.8" and for the season the total is now at 46.6" the meteorological winter and the total seasons total are both well below average for Grand Rapids and unless there is a massive snow storm in March or April Grand Rapids will end both well below average in the snow fall department. And yes meteorological winter will end up much warmer that average.

Link to post
Share on other sites

End of the 12z GFS (I know lol) has a massive cutter. 60s and rain here, maybe even some thunder. If this February isn't already the start of Spring, then there it is. 

  • Like 4

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"  

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" 

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Highs this weekend keep getting bumped up with every new forecast package the last couple of days. Now low 60s for both Saturday and Sunday. Hello spring!!

If you don't get snow, may as well have it warm. I'm about ready for Spring.

  • Like 3

Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 1 (Last: 6/7)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 1 (Last: 6/7)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

I listened to JB's Saturday Summary last weekend and something he mentioned I just can't get out of my head.  According to his research, years that had a cold November then a mild to neutral mid-winter often times had a cold March.  As of now, that doesn't seem to be the case, but might be something to keep an eye on.  The way this winter is behaving it wouldn't surprise me to see the MJO and all of the various indices finally give us a decidedly cold signal in late March and early April.  Just when all of us are ready for spring Mother Nature decides to throw us one last curve.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I listened to JB's Saturday Summary last weekend and something he mentioned I just can't get out of my head.  According to his research, years that had a cold November then a mild to neutral mid-winter often times had a cold March.  As of now, that doesn't seem to be the case, but might be something to keep an eye on.  The way this winter is behaving it wouldn't surprise me to see the MJO and all of the various indices finally give us a decidedly cold signal in late March and early April.  Just when all of us are ready for spring Mother Nature decides to throw us one last curve.

Man ... crazy that JB is looking for ways to predict a cold March. Who could have seen that coming?

 

Guy is a HACK!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Highs this weekend keep getting bumped up with every new forecast package the last couple of days. Now low 60s for both Saturday and Sunday. Hello spring!!

This is great news! We have been treated with some amazing weather for the past two weekends, and the streak will move to three straight gorgeous February weekends around here it looks like this weekend. 

 

I am officially done with the Winter of 2019-2020 and could care less if we get any more snow this year. Last Winter was exciting and amazing, this Winter has been pretty much a dud, it happens. 

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

3rd driest February on record so far in Omaha

Outside of a very slight chance of light rain showers tomorrow afternoon, it appears that ranking will hold serve (3rd driest February) as the next four days look very dry and warm (for February standards). Amazing that we went from getting 27 inches of snow during February of 2019, to less than an inch of snow this February with virtually no precipitation to be found.

 

Thankfully February is typically one of our driest months around here, however if this trend continues into March and April we might go from epic flooding last year in the spring, to dust storms this year. With the way Mother Nature has been acting lately, it would be right on cue.  

Link to post
Share on other sites

It’s been crazy to see not just the difference between last February and this one but actually the difference in extremes. Greatest snowfall to 3rd driest. I’m hoping we don’t dry out too much but we have been wet for so long so...

 

Outside of a very slight chance of light rain showers tomorrow afternoon, it appears that ranking will hold serve (3rd driest February) as the next four days look very dry and warm (for February standards). Amazing that we went from getting 27 inches of snow during February of 2019, to less than an inch of snow this February with virtually no precipitation to be found.

 

Thankfully February is typically one of our driest months around here, however if this trend continues into March and April we might go from epic flooding last year in the spring, to dust storms this year. With the way Mother Nature has been acting lately, it would be right on cue.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Quite the forecast for Watertown NY the next couple of days, up to 45" in the point forecast

 

This Afternoon
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. High near 28. Windy, with a west wind around 28 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 19. Windy, with a west wind 24 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 11 to 17 inches possible.
Friday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. High near 24. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible.
Friday Night
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 10. West wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

This would be a fun experience...that band is wicked!

 

 

Current conditions at

Watertown, Watertown International Airport (KART) Lat: 43.99°NLon: 76.02°WElev: 325ft.
nsn.png

Thunderstorm in Vicinity Light Snow and Breezy

23°F

-5°C

Humidity 78% Wind Speed W 24 G 36 mph Barometer 29.55 in (1001.3 mb) Dewpoint 17°F (-8°C) Visibility 0.75 mi Wind Chill 7°F (-14°C) Last update 28 Feb 2:56 am EST

 

 

TYX.N0Q.20200228.0844.gif

  • Like 5
Link to post
Share on other sites

Got a light dusting of snow overnight.

 

Yeah, just a light dusting here.  Up to an inch has fallen between CR and Dubuque and that area is getting another decent band now.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

I went out to DeSoto on Saturday this past weekend and caught a couple of good shots. Saw at least 1/2 a dozen of Bald Eagles and several other large hawks. My favorite shot is probably the first one where this hawk was taking off from the tree. I've always loved these "action shots".

 

Had an eagle circling above my car last Sunday during that warm-n-sunny weekend. While there are some very limited nesting sites in SMI, it's rare to actually see them. Always see them in NMI where the habitat is more correct. Some will even winter-over up there, feeding off of dead deer. The flesh remains rather "fresh frozen" in a typical winter up there and apparently that's good enough. They are certainly not scavenger birds that clean-up rotting road kill

  • Like 1

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...