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February 2020 (It's cold at the end of the run!)


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Can't wait for Tuesday, might get to see some sun and blue sky.  

Aside from those downstream of the great lakes, its a cruel twist of irony that the most active winter weather patterns seem to bring the most clear skies as well.  The storms and fronts roll through so quickly, as opposed to the endless bank of gray skies over the region most of the last couple weeks/month.

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I went out to DeSoto on Saturday this past weekend and caught a couple of good shots. Saw at least 1/2 a dozen of Bald Eagles and several other large hawks. My favorite shot is probably the first one

Happy Valentines Day to my weather buddies!   Thanks for all your friendship.  

Ft. Worth is clear, brilliant skies, and 26 very chilly degrees   We expect to see a high of 47* and a low of 32*.   The snow and ice remained just west of me...of course, but this image is very muc

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Nice long-duration rain/slop-fest on the GFS during the second week of February.   :(

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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GFS and EC have been showing rather consistantly our next big event to track 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_47.png

 

I think the pattern setting up around the 10th will feature a multi-day, multi-wave event and therefore producing a potpourri of precip types across our Sub.  The thermal boundary coupled with an active STJ is going to be an eventful week of weather the following week.

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GFS and EC have been showing rather consistantly our next big event to track 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_47.png

I like that low down south positioned in Mexico.

 

My extended forecast is very snowy. February looks like it will be proving the goods (hopefully). Next week and the following week looks very interesting.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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After the early to midweek system, the entire rest of the Euro run is a dud.

 

At day 10, the GFS and Euro are very different.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I’m kind of excited for the brief warm spell this weekend with highs approaching 60. It’s going feel like summer, especially with the lack of sun lately.

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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I’m kind of excited for the brief warm spell this weekend with highs approaching 60. It’s going feel like summer, especially with the lack of sun lately.

 

I'm worried we miss out on a lot of the warmth here in Omaha. Might be too far east on Saturday to get real warm, and then on Sunday the models have been showing the front slipping through pretty early in the day where we might be too far north to get very warm.

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Wow, cant believe that our last month of Meteorological Winter is almost here (tomorrow).

 

Could be some chilly air paying a visit in a couple weeks if this is close to correct:

 

20200131 18z GFS h306 2m Temps.png

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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:rolleyes:  Just popped over to NOAA/CPC's outlook pg, and whoa! Complete back-flip on Feb with every time-frame above normal in the Lakes and eastward. 

 

What gives?

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Attm, temps are really starting to drop as clouds are actually departing (holy crap...clearing is taking place), but bad timing. Would have liked it during the day to see some sunshine. At 24F.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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This piece of energy for Saturday is weak, but, could lay down 0.5" to an inch at the most in spots.

Might just be the craft beer talking but I think this over achieves, even with marginal temps. Plus, most models showing a band of WAA snow pre-dawn Sunday. Granted it will be gone late afternoon.

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Might just be the craft beer talking but I think this over achieves, even with marginal temps. Plus, most models showing a band of WAA snow pre-dawn Sunday. Granted it will be gone late afternoon.

I agree. It looks impressive on radar, doesn't it. I would not be surprised at all if it does.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Might just be the craft beer talking but I think this over achieves, even with marginal temps. Plus, most models showing a band of WAA snow pre-dawn Sunday. Granted it will be gone late afternoon.

 

I agree. It looks impressive on radar, doesn't it. I would not be surprised at all if it does.

 

Temps look soooo close for here. Gonna play my weenie mulligan card and hope rates over-achieve and get the 1 or 1.5 deg's I need, haha

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Temps look soooo close for here. Gonna play my weenie mulligan card and hope rates over-achieve and get the 1 or 1.5 deg's I need, haha

If we do get an inch or more, it will be the "Appetizer" for next weeks potential snowstorm.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Temps look soooo close for here. Gonna play my weenie mulligan card and hope rates over-achieve and get the 1 or 1.5 deg's I need, haha

To something you mentioned earlier about daytime heating fizzling out your snow, I've been wondering for quite some time now if a low level nocturnal jet is also a factor in a lot of these micro/mesoscale features. I have no data to back it up...but it sure seems like it is a real thing.

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If we do get an inch or more, it will be the "Appetizer" for next weeks potential snowstorm.

 

Most of my snows this winter have been "surprise developments". Especially the LES during the week prior to Christmas. Perhaps this will be another?

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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To something you mentioned earlier about daytime heating fizzling out your snow, I've been wondering for quite some time now if a low level nocturnal jet is also a factor in a lot of these micro/mesoscale features. I have no data to back it up...but it sure seems like it is a real thing.

Might not be the best example but this event was most memorable. Certainly a surprise snow though. I'm certain Niko remembers this one last year. Snow started right around sunset, got INTENSE shortly thereafter. DTX radar was down for a portion of the storm which really downplays how hard it was snowing, easily 2" if not 3" per hour, something not seen around here very often.

 

https://www.weather.gov/dtx/snow190217

 

Right place, right time I guess, but that was my favorite snow of last season, if not the last several seasons.

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Are "Trends Our Friends"???  If you are to believe the EPS, the model is seeing some fascinating trends and it has strikingly turned bolder with cold throughout the next 5-15 days.  If your in the snow removal business, I think mother nature is about to provide some "white gold" for ya'll over the next couple weeks.  The forthcoming pattern is about as beautiful as I've seen all season long for a lot of us that have struck out this season.  

 

 

First off, the 00z EPS is trending towards a stronger NE PAC/NW NAMER ridge in the following week which, if right, will unload the "Arctic Express" that has been bottled up all month long in Alaska/N Canada.  A very active southern stream pattern is to evolve during the week of the 10th with multiple systems that are showing up on the GFS op runs and the GEFS/EPS ensembles.  I'm starting to feel more confident that my original call of a pattern reminiscent to last year's spectacular Feb run may be on the right track.  The Big difference this year, however, will be the -EPO/-WPO and slightly (-) PNA.  Take a look at the model trends of both the EPO/WPO below as they are cold signals in the aforementioned period.

 

Taking a look at the 00z GEFS precip anomalies, it basically lines up with the 00z EPS and suggesting a very wet/active STJ along with plenty of cold to tap.  Giddy up my friends, Ol' Man Winter may be serving up the best signal for snow lovers of the Winter season thus far.

 

 

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png

 

GEFSUS_prec_meansnacc_384.png

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Are "Trends Our Friends"???  If you are to believe the EPS, the model is seeing some fascinating trends and it has strikingly turned bolder with cold throughout the next 5-15 days.  If your in the snow removal business, I think mother nature is about to provide some "white gold" for ya'll over the next couple weeks.  The forthcoming pattern is about as beautiful as I've seen all season long for a lot of us that have struck out this season.  

 

 

First off, the 00z EPS is trending towards a stronger NE PAC/NW NAMER ridge in the following week which, if right, will unload the "Arctic Express" that has been bottled up all month long in Alaska/N Canada.  A very active southern stream pattern is to evolve during the week of the 10th with multiple systems that are showing up on the GFS op runs and the GEFS/EPS ensembles.  I'm starting to feel more confident that my original call of a pattern reminiscent to last year's spectacular Feb run may be on the right track.  The Big difference this year, however, will be the -EPO/-WPO and slightly (-) PNA.  Take a look at the model trends of both the EPO/WPO below as they are cold signals in the aforementioned period.

 

Taking a look at the 00z GEFS precip anomalies, it basically lines up with the 00z EPS and suggesting a very wet/active STJ along with plenty of cold to tap.  Giddy up my friends, Ol' Man Winter may be serving up the best signal for snow lovers of the Winter season thus far.

 

 

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png

 

GEFSUS_prec_meansnacc_384.png

 

The GFS sure has turned snowy and cold in the extended.  Even has a nice clipper right on the heels of this next storm!

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Might not be the best example but this event was most memorable. Certainly a surprise snow though. I'm certain Niko remembers this one last year. Snow started right around sunset, got INTENSE shortly thereafter. DTX radar was down for a portion of the storm which really downplays how hard it was snowing, easily 2" if not 3" per hour, something not seen around here very often.

 

https://www.weather.gov/dtx/snow190217

 

Right place, right time I guess, but that was my favorite snow of last season, if not the last several seasons.

 

Per your radar loop, I got fringed N and S with the better waves of moisture leaving me with "only" 3" total (an amt I'd be thrilled about attm). Certainly looks like it was a SEMI special by that snow fall map. Nice score for you guys over there! We really need some more of those. 

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Most of my snows this winter have been "surprise developments". Especially the LES during the week prior to Christmas. Perhaps this will be another?

Yep, I've noticed that. Hopefully, this storm will hit your area nicely. ;)

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Are "Trends Our Friends"???  If you are to believe the EPS, the model is seeing some fascinating trends and it has strikingly turned bolder with cold throughout the next 5-15 days.  If your in the snow removal business, I think mother nature is about to provide some "white gold" for ya'll over the next couple weeks.  The forthcoming pattern is about as beautiful as I've seen all season long for a lot of us that have struck out this season.  

 

 

First off, the 00z EPS is trending towards a stronger NE PAC/NW NAMER ridge in the following week which, if right, will unload the "Arctic Express" that has been bottled up all month long in Alaska/N Canada.  A very active southern stream pattern is to evolve during the week of the 10th with multiple systems that are showing up on the GFS op runs and the GEFS/EPS ensembles.  I'm starting to feel more confident that my original call of a pattern reminiscent to last year's spectacular Feb run may be on the right track.  The Big difference this year, however, will be the -EPO/-WPO and slightly (-) PNA.  Take a look at the model trends of both the EPO/WPO below as they are cold signals in the aforementioned period.

 

Taking a look at the 00z GEFS precip anomalies, it basically lines up with the 00z EPS and suggesting a very wet/active STJ along with plenty of cold to tap.  Giddy up my friends, Ol' Man Winter may be serving up the best signal for snow lovers of the Winter season thus far.

 

 

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png

 

GEFSUS_prec_meansnacc_384.png

 

Hey Tom, the charts for the EPO/WPO show green for the GEPS in the legend, but I don't see them on there? Thx

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Might not be the best example but this event was most memorable. Certainly a surprise snow though. I'm certain Niko remembers this one last year. Snow started right around sunset, got INTENSE shortly thereafter. DTX radar was down for a portion of the storm which really downplays how hard it was snowing, easily 2" if not 3" per hour, something not seen around here very often.

 

https://www.weather.gov/dtx/snow190217

 

Right place, right time I guess, but that was my favorite snow of last season, if not the last several seasons.

Yes sir! I most certainly do. My area was in the bullseye zone. Snow was so intense, I couldn't even see the car in front of me.

 

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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I like that low down south positioned in Mexico.

 

My extended forecast is very snowy. February looks like it will be proving the goods (hopefully). Next week and the following week looks very interesting.

 

(guess I missed this yesterday, lol) Per that map posted above, it should look like a mixy mess around these parts. 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Hey Tom, the charts for the EPO/WPO show green for the GEPS in the legend, but I don't see them on there? Thx

Ya, for some reason the GEPS doesn't have data for these teleconnections and only for the AO/NAO.

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Per your radar loop, I got fringed N and S with the better waves of moisture leaving me with "only" 3" total (an amt I'd be thrilled about attm). Certainly looks like it was a SEMI special by that snow fall map. Nice score for you guys over there! We really need some more of those. 

This storm was a doozy. As Matthew mentioned in his above statement, snow was so intense, that driving in it was nearly impossible. Some streets were also almost impassable as well (especially secondary roads). Great storm. You came very close w that one. Just a little more west and you woulda been included in the very heavy snow band that Matthew and I were experiencing.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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So, my office finally puts 70% Snow Likely in my grid for today. There is snow on the radar, but mostly N, and a little bit S. Looks like mood flakes heading this way if that. Roger that, I see a coating of granules on the neighbor's driveway. Hope my other Mitt Peeps get more than that. 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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(guess I missed this yesterday, lol) Per that map posted above, it should look like a mixy mess around these parts. 

Tbh, last time I saw my forecast this snowy was last year (Feb19) :blink:

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI427 AM EST Sat Feb 1 2020MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-020930-Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-427 AM EST Sat Feb 1 2020This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeastMichigan..DAY ONE...Today and TonightLight accumulating snow is expected today, mainly on grassy/elevatedsurfaces, as a trough moves through this afternoon. Snow may changeover to light freezing drizzle overnight, but widespread iceaccumulations are not expected at this time.

Looks like I will be added a little appetizer to the snow dept. :D

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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It's going to be a beautiful weekend here.

 

Sunday is still looking 1f64c.png in KC & surrounding areas.

There is even potential for records to be tied or broken in the weather game on Sunday, February 2. 1f321.png

Current Forecast High for KCI = 66
Record High for KCI = 69 (1992)

So much anticipation & excitement for Sunday!

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So, my office finally puts 70% Snow Likely in my grid for today. There is snow on the radar, but mostly N, and a little bit S. Looks like mood flakes heading this way if that. Roger that, I see a coating of granules on the neighbor's driveway. Hope my other Mitt Peeps get more than that.

Radar trends are our friend! On a side note, got to experience an actual sunrise this morning! Haven't seen one of those in a while.

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Radar trends are our friend! On a side note, got to experience an actual sunrise this morning! Haven't seen one of those in a while.

 

Here's the last one I caught. More than a week ago just before last weekend's ULL system set in with it's rain. Not the best shot as I was driving to work. 

 

20200109_074701.jpg

 

Edit - looking at the date, I think that's actually just before the Major Winterstorm "NOT" as coined by a certain MI member. 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Still haven't seen the sun in over a week here. Looks like I might have a chance at it next week, but until then it's stereotypical GLs cloudy weather. Also getting flurries which has been par for the course this past month. 34.2*F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Radar trends are our friend! On a side note, got to experience an actual sunrise this morning! Haven't seen one of those in a while.

 

I think this comes together for you guys east of me tbh. Snowing decent pixies here tho attm, so it's the most we've seen during day time hours  since Sunday the 19th. Good luck today! 

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Just came back from some shopping and scoring some great early bird deals at the grocery stores (manager specials) and while doing so, I saw peaks of the gorgeous sun! My goodness, does the sun lift your spirits...since then tho, the clouds have filled back in and it’s back to Low stratus, grey and gloomy

 

Yep, we've had peeks of it the past 2 days at KJXN too, but overall Jan was less than half of normal sunny days around here. If we can indeed get some stronger HP's moving thru, that will help imo. Per the txt with this chart, GR had only (4) days of at least 50% sunshine. (9) days would be closer to avg, and that's not saying much. WMI is not known for our winter sun, lol. 

 

GRR Sunlight graphic.png

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Fluffy flakes falling on a SSW wind. Not stacking much but a reminder of the season and not a bad way to kick-off a new winter month  ;)

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Can anyone give me a forecasting FEB/Mar for KC using the LRC?

 

Storm dates

Temps below or above average

Above average snow? Below average?

Above average rain?

Any arctic air masses?

Will spring start soon?

 

Lezak claims the LRC is 59 days each cycle, yet the storm potential in KC Tuesday/Wednesday does not match anything 59 days ago in KC. But, he says the LRC is spot on and offers no evidence. He also offers no Feb. forecast using the LRC. He just claims victory after each event happens and says...the LRC knew this!

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
427 AM EST Sat Feb 1 2020

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-020930-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
427 AM EST Sat Feb 1 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light accumulating snow is expected today, mainly on grassy/elevated
surfaces, as a trough moves through this afternoon. Snow may change
over to light freezing drizzle overnight, but widespread ice
accumulations are not expected at this time.

Looks like I will be added a little appetizer to the snow dept. :D

Literally has snowed decent all day today. Zero accumulation. Think we lost snow. Snowing hard right now. Not sticking.

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