February 2020 (It's cold at the end of the run!)

[jaster220]

Refs handed them the game. NFL is rigged

 

You're Tom Brady lurking under an alias, aren't you? I KNEW it all along! 

[Stacsh]

You're Tom Brady lurking under an alias, aren't you? I KNEW it all along!

I wish!

[Niko]

Man, its so mild outside now. Current temp at 43F. Norm high is 30F. Unreal!

[Clinton]

Congrats KC faithful on a great Superbowl victory and season. First in 50 yrs for the Chiefs! 

Long time coming!  Very happy for Andy Reid.

[Niko]

Broke a record high today btw. Forgot to post it. It was 53. Old record was 52, set back in 1983. Mind you, sunshine w it as well. Wow. Nice combo for this time of the year. Speaking of sunshine, it felt so good having the sun just hit your face for a bit. It has been so long.

[Mi_Matthew]

Broke a record high today btw. Forgot to post it. It was 53. Old record was 52, set back in 1983. Mind you, sunshine w it as well. Wow. Nice combo for this time of the year. Speaking of sunshine, it felt so good having the sun just hit your face for a bit. It has been so long.

As much as I don't want warm this time of year I gotta admit it gave me a hint of spring fever especially since my seed order for my garden arrived yesterday morning! I guess I'm one of the weird ones who think it is never too late for some good winter but not too early for a spring planting.

[james1976]

Congrats Chiefs and their fans! And to Andy Reid!

[Snowshoe]

Felt like spring this morning. Sunshine and birds chirping.

[Snowshoe]

What a gorgeous day yesterday. Usually when we have records highs in the winter it's because of a strong storm pumping heavy rains and southerly winds ahead of the cold front. Yesterday was unique with clear sun and breezy west wind.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI

718 PM CST SUN FEB 2 2020

 

...RECORD HIGHS TIED OR ESTABLISHED THIS AFTERNOON...

 

 

 NEW                  OLD

LOCATION         RECORD(F)   RECORD(F)     YEARS

-------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY         47          45           1992

MANITOWOC         48          44           1876,1992

MERRILL           46          45           1931

OSHKOSH           48          46           1992

WIS. RAPIDS       49          48           1987

 

 

TIED                   OLD

LOCATION         RECORD(F)   RECORD(F)     YEARS

-------------------------------------------------

WAUSAU            45          45           1992

[Clinton]

Congrats Chiefs and their fans! And to Andy Reid

Thanks, I am so tired going to need a nap after work today.

[westMJim]

The coldest it has gotten so far this winter is +7.  If this holds for the next 2 months this will tie the winter of 1930/31 for 2^nd place for warmest lowest temperature for a winter. In first place is the winter of 1920/21 with a low for the season of +8. Some other years with a mild coldest low are 1938/39 +6. 1938/37 +6. 2011/12 +4. Now while one can not say for sure but in the above years the following summers were all warmer then average with 1921 and 2012 both having a very hot July.

[Niko]

Busy day today w meetings, but real brief, its 35F w some fricken sun out there. Finally man! So pissed w this cloudy B.S weather we have been having.

[KCSmokey]

Congrats Chiefs and their fans! And to Andy Reid!

Woohoo! What a super night. So many fireworks.

[Tom]

Woohoo! What a super night. So many fireworks.

1/4 sticks or shells???

[Tom]

Big differences in the MJO forecasts from the GFS & EURO which have big implications to how strong the SER will end up being.  The Euro takes it barely into the warm phases (5/6) with minimal amplification.  On the other hand, the GFS amps it up into the same phases and prob the reason why it's -PNA forecast is reaching -3 standard deviation.

 

 

[gimmesnow]

Think winter's done. There's still way too many birds and squirrels out there. I hate to sound too Farmer's Almanac, but that's not a good sign.

[CentralNebWeather]

The GFS has been showing a storm or storms next week for several days.  I know, their track record is not great.  Now the Euro is flashing the same type of big storm next Wednesday, Feb. 12 and Thursday Feb. 13th in the Central US.  Being 9 days away is not great to trust, at least it isn't the fantasy 384 hours.  With now the Euro showing something, maybe there is hope for many of us who have been missed lately.  Not predicting anything or taking the models exactly, just going to be watching the trends in the coming days and see what materializes.  Really that is all we can do. 

[jaster220]

Think winter's done. There's still way too many birds and squirrels out there. I hate to sound too Farmer's Almanac, but that's not a good sign.

 

Sure feels like it here..scorching at 50F and sunny again today! 

[Stacsh]

Sure feels like it here..scorching at 50F and sunny again today!

It’s glorious. Really can change a mood.

[Tom]

The GFS has been showing a storm or storms next week for several days.  I know, their track record is not great.  Now the Euro is flashing the same type of big storm next Wednesday, Feb. 12 and Thursday Feb. 13th in the Central US.  Being 9 days away is not great to trust, at least it isn't the fantasy 384 hours.  With now the Euro showing something, maybe there is hope for many of us who have been missed lately.  Not predicting anything or taking the models exactly, just going to be watching the trends in the coming days and see what materializes.  Really that is all we can do. 

The storm (12th-14th) is showing up in a big way per the latest EPS/GEFS ensembles and I will say, the signal at this range is rather strong.  Could be one of the biggest/bigger storms we have tracked all season long.  Not necessarily a Blizzard, but a far reaching storm system is on the table.  Following this storm, I think an arctic attack is in the works that will first knife down the Upper MW/Plains and eventually bleed east.  We are not done yet with sub zero cold, esp those who will have snow OTG.  Might be harder for us farther east but your region and up towards western GL's sure looks like it.

[Niko]

Absolutely gorgeous outside w temps in the mid 40s. Kinda gets you in the mood for Spring, but then, you think....Wait, its still early Feb. Also, how the heck do I still have snowpiles. W yesterdays warmth, I'd think they be gone today.

 

Btw: last night dipped into the upper 20s w patches of ice from melted snow the previous day.

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS Hastings afternoon disco already mentioning storminess for next week, which is odd for them.

 

 

Saturday and Sunday should be a bit warmer with highs in the 40s.
Another system will be moving into the western CONUS, though.
This system will be one to watch as it cuts off and finally ejects
across the region for the middle of next week. Aside from
tomorrow`s light snow, this looks to be our next shot for
meaningful precipitation.

[jaster220]

The storm (12th-14th) is showing up in a big way per the latest EPS/GEFS ensembles and I will say, the signal at this range is rather strong.  Could be one of the biggest/bigger storms we have tracked all season long.  Not necessarily a Blizzard, but a far reaching storm system is on the table.  Following this storm, I think an arctic attack is in the works that will first knife down the Upper MW/Plains and eventually bleed east.  We are not done yet with sub zero cold, esp those who will have snow OTG.  Might be harder for us farther east but your region and up towards western GL's sure looks like it.

 

  Wouldn't we be included in those with some snow OTG at that point tho? Not that I need sub-zero or anything, just to be clear, lol. I did score that -1F already so that's fine in my book. 

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS North Platte NE afternoon disco.  Always interesting to see what the mets are saying about developing weather patterns.

 

Next big pattern shift looks to come next
weekend as upper low pressure develops across the western states
and creates a large trough that will likely lead to better
widespread precip chances next week - but that is beyond this
forecast period.

[Niko]

Attm, temp at 35F under mostly clear skies. Colder air is now filtering in.

[Madtown]

Found some snow in da nort woods!!!

[Grizzcoat]

OT- but embarrassing night for IOWA DEM Party. An abacus would be quicker. Last time IA goes "first" - that 100% certain.

[Tom]

OT- but embarrassing night for IOWA DEM Party. An abacus would be quicker. Last time IA goes "first" - that 100% certain.

#rigged

[Minny_Weather]

OT- but embarrassing night for IOWA DEM Party. An abacus would be quicker. Last time IA goes "first" - that 100% certain.

The caucus is a poor system and I'm glad to see states shifting away from it.

[GDR]

What an embarrassment! The caucus is a joke but it doesn’t matter anyway...Trump 2020!!

[FarmerRick]

Lock it in... lol 

 

[Hawkeye]

I hope we don't have to ride the mix line again for the Feb 12/13 system.  It's kinda looking like that again.

 

Also, this is a weather forum, not a political forum.  Please stick to the topic.

[Niko]

Its 34F under cloudy skies.

[snowstorm83]

Lock it in... lol 

 

Classic

[Hawkeye]

And, of course, on the 12z GFS all that snow is gone.... the storm is suppressed well south.

[westMJim]

With the way the temperatures and the way it looks outside it feels and looks more like March then February.  That COULD mean that there could be some bigger systems in the next 30 to 45 days. That is especially true if it becomes cold to out north west and warm to our SE. We will have to see where the storm track sets up. At this time it is mostly cloudy and 37 here with just some left over snow piles on the ground.

[CentralNebWeather]

And, of course, on the 12z GFS all that snow is gone.... the storm is suppressed well south.

 

And, of course, on the 12z GFS all that snow is gone.... the storm is suppressed well south.

I just saw that.  Hopefully at this range it will come back in a few days.  If the Euro loses it also, then I'd tend to worry.

[Niko]

Clouds are lowering and thickening w temps at 34F.

[Hawkeye]

I just saw that.  Hopefully at this range it will come back in a few days.  If the Euro loses it also, then I'd tend to worry.

 

Frankly, I wouldn't jump on the 12z run.  The GFS has, for days, been showing a big surge of moisture up over the cold air across the upper midwest.  This is the first run that has suppressed the whole thing, so it's a big change.

[westMJim]

As of this morning there was just 5.3% of total ice cover on the great Lakes. That is a record low amount for February 4th going back to 1973. This beats the 5.64% on this date in 2016 the 6.1% on this date in 2012 as well as the 6.5% in  2002. Here is the ice cover map.

https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?lake=l&ext=ice&type=N&hr=00

 

For more information on Great Lakes Ice coverage here is a web site

 

https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/ice/#historical