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February 2020 Wx Obs and Model Discussion


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Coldest GFS ensemble yet...Go figure .

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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It looks like the fact I was abstaining in protest really got some legs! I just couldn’t log in for several days after the sealed indictment was handed down.   Prison really changes a man, though. I

1 year ago. This is the night we had thunder snow and about 4 inches in 1 hour. Very cool moment with my son as we were standing outside watching the lightning light up the snow flakes. I really made

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Snow turning to rain here... probably picked up 2 inches this afternoon.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Da-mm-it, Randy! haha.... Keep your snowy posts coming! IF you do not, that would be a ban worthy offense!

 

00z GFS in 3 hours 43 minutes

Okay I unbanned myself! Here you go!

Still snowing moderately but temp up to 32.9.

3B94AC09-5411-40A1-99E8-8C9B1C205551.jpeg

CF82CC52-413E-4A5B-B15B-55C014D44B69.jpeg

70147F0A-5DD8-4A48-ACCA-4AF71EF9D97E.jpeg

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Guess I need to ban myself.

 

Did you share an unbelievable snow map that may have gotten the irrational hopes and dreams up of some on this forum? If so, then yes, you can be banned.

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Surprised to get a text from my wife saying it is snowing up at our house. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Did you share an unbelievable snow map that may have gotten the irrational hopes and dreams up of some on this forum? If so, then yes, you can be banned.

Posting a weather map on a weather forum...That is just crazy talk!!
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Could be one of those surprise storms over here. Its dumping and they said a slight chance with a quick changeover.

Burns, OR is reporting clear skies and 30 degrees.

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I know what he is doing. Winter wonderland here. And windy.

If you are going to make a reputation for yourself here with beer-fueled, racist/sexist/ageist rants, eventually get banned, and then pop back up again with multiple sock puppet accounts over the last few months, expect people to talk about it. :)

 

I haven’t really had much to say on the subject all things considered.

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I actually picked up about a quarter inch of snow here today.  It's nice to score when you have zero expectation.  If the snow had fallen during the part of the day with less insolation it would have easily topped 1 inch.  36 / 30 for the temp range so far today.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 10

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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If you are going to make a reputation for yourself here with beer-fueled, racist/sexist/ageist rants, eventually get banned, and then pop back up again with multiple sock puppet accounts over the last few months, expect people to talk about it. :)

 

I haven’t really had much to say on the subject all things considered.

Cheers. This is a weather forum. Let us all talk about the weather.

 

I dont care about your personal life, nor should you care about mine.

 

 

I am talking about a surprise snowstorm over here at the moment.

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Cheers. This is a weather forum. Let us all talk about the weather.

I dont care about your personal life, nor should you care about mine.

I am talking about a surprise snowstorm over here at the moment.

I don’t care about your surprise snowstorm. I really don’t like hearing from people who talk about women like you have on a frequent basis. Hopefully Fred eventually finds a way to ban you for good.

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So here is the score for the day.

 

GFS = Decent come back on the 18z in the believable range.

 

GFS Ensemble = Steady improvement on each run (18z coldest yet with this possible event).

 

EPS = Steady improvement on each run (12z coldest yet with this possible event).  By far the best teleconnection forecast in days.

 

GEM = Very decent 12z after a so so 0z

 

All in all very acceptable.  At this point the EPS seems to have the strongest indication of this being a long lasting event.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 10

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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In the midst of all that's going on we have a major SSW in progress with the epicenter being over Eastern Asia.  Shades of last winter!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 10

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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I don’t care about your surprise snowstorm. I really don’t like hearing from people who talk about women like you have on a frequent basis. Hopefully Fred eventually finds a way to ban you for good.

Talk about women??

 

28.7 degrees and snowing. You have weather to talk about?

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Long time follower, first time poster. Surprised at those who get upset about people posting long range "fantasy" maps. We're all here because we enjoy this stuff and the anticipation is half (or more) of the fun. You can follows NWS or Cliff Mass if you'd like the dulled down version :) 

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Just got a call from WSU emergency management... they are going to be closed tomorrow.   They almost never close there.  

 

My son is pretty stoked... I assume this means campus wide parties tonight.    :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SSW is still on? What do you consider a long lasting event?Jan was about a week.

 

I would think if it gets cold next week and lasts at least 10 to 15 days from the time it begins.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 10

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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While some of you are virtue signaling... Meanwhile...

37 degree light rain in Ridgefield. The same scenario that will play out next week.

No...just my actual beliefs. Are you virtue signaling when you can’t go for more than few posts without making some sort of disparaging reference to me? ;)

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Can’t post pics now due to satellite being covered in snow. Approaching 3” all of a sudden with heavy snow.32.7 degrees. Wow!

Pouring rain here... and windy. Roads are a slushy mess now which is worse than snow.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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