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2/8 - 2/9 Upper Midwest GL Snow System


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00z UK is north a bit, too.

 

sn10_024h.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I hadn't shoveled the multiple rounds of fluff stuff the past 3 days and decided I'd just wait and collect what remained with today's event. First time doing the entire property since slab-fest 3 wks

Ended up with around 8 or so here   Euro was pretty much right on the money. Gfs//NAM too low

Fluff pound town. About 3.5” so far. Looks like we’ll hit at least 6” based on current radar trends. Points north of here won’t get nearly as much. Visibility 1/4 mi.

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00z Euro south a bit again.  There is good model agreement tonight.

 

sn10_024h.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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My parents are one county south of the WSW. I’m going to go visit this weekend. I wouldn’t be surprised if they at least get an advisory where they live. GFS remains steadfast on the track. Gives areas further south some decent snow. Hopefully they get at least 4”

Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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3-5” in the point. Going to Top Golf in Minneapolis on Sunday morning. Could be fun to hit some balls into snow drifts.

My cousin works for Top Golf! He holds a manager position and travels around the country setting up events. I’m told that company is growing and may go public in the future.

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My cousin works for Top Golf! He holds a manager position and travels around the country setting up events. I’m told that company is growing and may go public in the future.

Nice! I haven’t been to the one in Minneapolis yet, but I’ve been to the one in Vegas. That was a rowdy good time. Definitely not a cheap place, but golf in general in expensive.

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12z NAM is about the same and is on the northern side of the model spread.

 

sn10_024h.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I’d say the winter storm watch area looks good. Areas around the perimeter look good for 1-4”. Won’t meet my 4” requirement for snow blowing. But I might fire it up anyway. Need to make sure it’s in working order for all the snowstorms we’ll get in March/April/early May...

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My cousin works for Top Golf! He holds a manager position and travels around the country setting up events. I’m told that company is growing and may go public in the future.

They're opening a new one here in Omaha right off the interstate. Looks like a cool place.

Cool little tidbit of information: last I heard Omaha has the highest number of golf courses per mile(or some other measurement) in the country. All over the place here in town....

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Green Bay didn't issue any watches but LaCrosse issued for county to my west and south.

 

Do we even have any active posters in the small winter storm watch?

I’m going to go with 1.25” of snow for mby. Razor sharp cutoff and dry air to the north aren’t getting me very excited at this point.

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WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin

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12z UK is the same, but a bit drier.

 

sn10_024h.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Is there rain on the backend for anyone?

Maybe some drizzle if you believe the GFS during the tail end of the event but it won't matter to much as the majority of the precip falls when temps are cold enough tp support SN.

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Yep... the system is fading for MSP, but looking great for Decorah.  There may even be an inch here in Cedar Rapids.  It's hard to know how this kind of system will perform on the southern edge.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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This is one of those systems that reminds me of a PAC Hybrid that will have some intense west/east banding.  I could see someone getting those higher totals.  Nice dynamics showing up with this potent wave.

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I'm excited that I'll be heading north for the weekend.  My parents house looks to be in a great spot, just on the southern edge of the heavier bands on most guidance, but still solidly 4+" on all models except the NAM.  

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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As mentioned y-day, thermals are a concern over here. While acknowledging WAA has over-performed this winter, I like this from IWX. Verbatim it's looking decent for a 2-3" front-end hit, a warm-ish lull or snizzle, followed by possible SHSN or LES. I like wetter snow so I will gladly go for this option. 

 

Issued at 324 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2020


An 850-mb low from the Northern Plains broadens Sunday morning as it
tracks through our area. 30-45 knot winds at 850 mb are nearly
perpendicular to the isotherms in both the GFS and ECMWF through
much of Sunday, indicating strong warm air advection. A look at
cross sections from Monticello, IN to Hillsdale, MI reveals that
despite this WAA, the thermal profile for much of this event looks
to be conducive for mainly snow, especially at onset.
This is part
because of the existing cold dome (reinforced by the
aforementioned clipper). It is not until later in the event (Sunday
afternoon/evening) that profiles show a warm layer nosing into
the southwest 1/4 of the CWA to accommodate some rain/mixed
precip. But, even this is short-lived as cold air advection
returns as the low pulls away.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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