Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 NAM trying to do the phase...... Has big hit potential for ya bud. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 3km NAM sure wish this snow would fall at night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Has big hit potential for ya bud.Hopefully...... Otherwise, it will be another small event. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Hopefully...... Otherwise, it will be another small event.I like the direction the 12z ICON is headed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Sure would be nice if this could phase just a touch quicker. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 I like the direction the 12z ICON is headed. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 12z ICON looks good for many 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 I like the direction the 12z ICON is headed.Not a bad look, that's for sure..... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Will need the snow cover but strongest cold of the year for me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 ICON qpf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 GFS not as good as the ICON, doesn't quite phase in time for Iowa to get much of anything. Looks a little better over by Chicago, but not super strong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 We're getting baby steps from the GFS, but Iowa needs toddler steps. I would like to see a few inches of insulation for the garden before the cold arrives. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 eh, not too bad I guess. Nothing major, but a solid snowfall for some areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Though it will only last a day or two- this is some serious cold with some serious temp gradients that I don't think guidance will catch on until HRRR/RAP with 6-8 hours. (as far as squeezing out snow) Near 50F gradient from DSM to SW MN- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 and looks these Wind Chills- ouch for even mid JAN--- 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 12z GFS... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 That's actually quite a step in the right direction (N and W) -- compared to previous runs but likely to little too late for IA folk.eh, not too bad I guess. Nothing major, but a solid snowfall for some areas. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 6z and 12z guidance looks good! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 The Canadian is just holding steady and not inching nw like some other models. It has little if anything for Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 The UK is trending in the opposite direction. It barely has a storm this morning. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Uk for the win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Euro coming in stronger 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looks a lot better for KC folks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Doesn't get quite as far north this run, but qpf is increased in most areas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Clinton and TOl_Weather are looking very good I think w this run! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looks a lot better for KC folks. Sure does, but snow below the 540 line does make me a little nervous. Even though last year that worked out several times. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Clinton and TOl_Weather are looking very good I think w this run!6 in mby this run that would be great. The 12z Euro and 12z ICON are very similar. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Euro has temps in the mid to upper 30s with some of this snowfall. Obviously temps look to crash quickly once precip gets really going, but that will significantly cut into snow totals if that is the case. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 6 in mby this run that would be great. The 12z Euro and 12z ICON are very similar.Congrats bud! Hope ya score bigly w this and others as well. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 12z GEFS...trending in the right direction... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Liking the trends today. Still have 2 days for some more changes (hoping for the better). 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 12z Euro...some big totals near the RN/SN line with temps hovering near freezing...N IL temps are primarily colder than 30F when the SN starts falling as temps drop into upper 20's/. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looking good for those just south of my area. Jaster and Niko looks like you guys win this one, I won the last one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looking good for those just south of my area. Jaster and Niko looks like you guys win this one, I won the last one. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 EURO and ICON look great for K.C. and other parts of Missouri per the snowfall maps, but, if temps are 33-35, snowing during the day, you just can’t buy those amounts. The most frustrating thing might be the fact that 6-8 hours after the slug of moisture, temps crash. As a snow contractor, my hope is that it comes in faster Wednesday morning, say 3am and maybe the cold comes in fast enough tomorrow night to freeze up the slush and water on the pavement??? Nonetheless, trends are better today. Hopefully the data is 4 degrees too warm!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 12z EPS mean trending better 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 EC with a big jump in totals today due to the fact it's colder than the op. Good trends! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 EC with a big jump in totals today due to the fact it's colder than the op. Good trends!Yup, I was just gonna say...looking a lot better than just 24-48 hours ago...the King for the win??? This is prob the best set up for Chicago all season long and not having to deal with marginal temps, storm track, RN/SN line, etc...then again, we have seen dramatic shifts inside 3 days so I'm not getting to excited yet. More importantly, it looks to stay cold post storm so anyone who does get snow will get to enjoy #realwinter for a couple days! LOL 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Looking good for those just south of my area. Jaster and Niko looks like you guys win this one, I won the last one. Don't worry, the office has already decided. WWA for 1-3" (maybe we'll get a Warning next winter) 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 10, 2020 Report Share Posted February 10, 2020 Don't worry, the office has already decided. WWA for 1-3" (maybe we'll get a Warning next winter) Story of this Winter amigo eh! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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