hlcater Posted February 21, 2020 Report Share Posted February 21, 2020 Yup, the pattern may finally be setting up to produce a lengthy period of wintry weather around these parts. The 12z EPS is looking might good today...one of the best slow pivoting systems of the season for our region. Good thing about this system is it reaches maximum intensity near the GL's with plenty of cold air to tap. Lengthy? I honestly doubt it. Calendar date + AO should recover to at least +4. EPO looks positive as well 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaWX82 Posted February 21, 2020 Report Share Posted February 21, 2020 Yup, the pattern may finally be setting up to produce a lengthy period of wintry weather around these parts. The 12z EPS is looking might good today...one of the best slow pivoting systems of the season for our region. Good thing about this system is it reaches maximum intensity near the GL's with plenty of cold air to tap.You have been saying this since October Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 21, 2020 Report Share Posted February 21, 2020 18z GFS doesn't get it's act together as early as the 12z. Heavier snow just clips Iowa City. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2020 Report Share Posted February 21, 2020 You have been saying this since October24-36 hrs of snowfall is consider a lengthy period of wintry wx in my book from one storm system. Not sure why you think otherwise. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2020 Report Share Posted February 21, 2020 24-36 hrs of snowfall is consider a lengthy period of wintry wx in my book from one storm system. Not sure why you think otherwise.He's either a borderline troll or a generally miserable person, check out his post history. 5 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 18z GEFS... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 ^^^ #15 please. I wouldn't ask the snow gods for any other favors for at least three seasons! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Not overly optimistic for this system. Although the 60 degrees tomorrow I won't be upset. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 ^^^ #15 please. I wouldn't ask the snow gods for any other favors for at least three seasons!Now, wouldn't that be something......but, too far away still. Dont get too excited. Its good that the models see a big storm next week though. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Not overly optimistic for this system. Although the 60 degrees tomorrow I won't be upset.Near 50F for mby on Sunday. It will feel awesome! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 22, 2020 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 18z GEFS... All but 3 look good for wisco Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 anybody got the 18Z Euro? It's not loading on AccuWX. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 anybody got the 18Z Euro? It's not loading on AccuWX. Terry Swails posted this 18z Euro image to his blog. I forget what the significance of the ensemble C (control?) member is. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 ^^^ looks quite similar to the 18Z GEFS Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 That’s probably 14-16+ in the heaviest band with kuchera ratio 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Still not buying into those heavy amounts with the 18Z ensemble runs. Seems 18Z was the first ens run to show them. If 00Z continues it's getting interesting as DMX has pretty much written it off and only expects widespread light snows with the CAA midweek. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Teleconnections may not be negative- but they are forecasted to fall off which is not bad. One thing I have observed over the years is the NAO (want it going down or negative for storms) is a bigger player on the field later in the winter / early Spring. Epo going down is a good sign also. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 00z ICON is shifting north. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 00z ICON is shifting north.Yeah, looks like an earlier phase on this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 00z ICON... big north shift.... instead of the trailing energy diving down to the south, it now turns more eastward like other models are showing now. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Nam looks pretty far north also Gfs looks like it’s going to be much different than the Icon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Nam looks pretty far north also Yeah, it is. The snow band is just beginning to get enhanced by the trailing energy at the end of the run. It's too bad the deep moisture has been pushed to the east coast at this point. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Boy, the GFS is way north with the energy, a big north jump from the 12z and 18z runs. This run should hit Minnesota. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 MN gets blasted 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Ha ha this is funny stuff 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 The GFS is north, but the snow band is rather disorganized and generally weak. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Man Minnesota really does get blasted on the 00z GFS. Gonna take a few days for everyone to dig out if it comes true. If anything, this really does outline the high end, big dog potential on this thing if all the piece fall into place just right. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Looks like someone will get blasted by 2 maybe 3 inches! Better prepare if you live in MN IA SD IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stratosjeff Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 You seem like a miserable prick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Canadian model has a dream snowstorm for KC!...plus many more people. However, had the CMC been right all winter, KC would be right around 105 inches of snow by now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 CMC crushes iowa and northern IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 CMC pretty steady with 12Z run Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 It's just amazing how hard it's been for a strong, organized winter storm to affect Iowa this winter. All of our snowfalls have come from weak, disorganized storms. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 00z Canadian 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Ukie no good for Iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 It's really shows the variables involved when all four major (EURO 12Z- GFS, CMC and UKMET) all have basically much different solutions at 3-5 day range though the GFS and CMC are somewhat close with placement of precip just varies on type and amoumt. I have no clue what so ever what the Euro is about to show but I had to guess ; similar to it's 12Z run but further N and W and not based on mby but based on the warmth of the weekend and time of year. It's getting close to Dakota special season. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Ukie no good for Iowa It's better than 12z, but it still dives the trailing energy south and east around Iowa. I'm sure this will continue to evolve this weekend. Even if every model showed Cedar Rapids getting a foot of snow, I wouldn't get excited this far in advance. 00z UK 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Euro coming in good for eastern IA/Wi/N IL 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 I love the way the trailing upper energy grabs the lead energy and pulls the surface low back. It's kinda neat. The UK is not really doing that. This scenario is about as good as it's going to get for Cedar Rapids. I still wouldn't put any money on it. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2020 Report Share Posted February 22, 2020 Gfs ensembles are much farther north and wetter than the OP run Several big wound up storms yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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