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2/24-2/26 Snow (Ring the doorbell so the big dog wakes up!!!)


Madtown

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The shift north needs to stop ASAP though...

 

It would totally suck if the GFS was onto something with its far north track.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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It would totally suck if the GFS was onto something with its far north track.

 

Well it seems like whenever 12+ is legitimately in the cards for our area it gets yanked away at the last minute in some way or another. And I really do think someone could see 12" out of this. All models are now showing that somewhere. 

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2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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This is pretty good for an ensemble mean three days out.

 

attachicon.gifecmwf-ensemble-avg-mw-total_snow_10to1-2783200.png

 

Probably winter storm watches by this time tomorrow if things hold. That is a really strong mean, especially given the amount of spread. Like I said, I think 10-12+ is more than achievable for someone.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Boy, the Des Moines NWS really doesn't think much of this system.  The overnight shift barely mentioned it.  Now the afternoon shift thinks the strong Euro is suspect and that there may be "up to a couple inches of snow" in central Iowa.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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More sure than a snake on it's belly that DMX will favor the GFS and Ukie and say that the Euro and CMC are outliers along with NAM.

Winner ^

"Models are still quite varied in their solutions with the

GFS further north and faster and the Euro pushing the low squarely

across Iowa and slower...not pulling it out before late Wednesday

morning. The Euro is far more bullish on QPF with this system which

is suspect at this point. "

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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18z GFS

 

Interestingly, the GFS has very little difference between the 10:1 and Kuchera totals.  The Euro is much higher with Kuchera.

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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