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2/24-2/26 Snow (Ring the doorbell so the big dog wakes up!!!)


Madtown

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There are still significant differences between the models with regard to upper low track, surface low track, phasing timing, etc.  I'm not counting on anything, yet.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I'm not feeling great about this.  There is still way too much variance among the models.  Cedar Rapids could still get 10 inches or nothing.

 

00z UK

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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One thing I notice about the 00z Euro is the lead wave is a bit faster and the trailing wave a bit slower... not a good combo for phasing.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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If there is any further spreading of the distance between the waves, the Euro will look exactly like the UK and Iowa will be done.

 

We just can't count on anything phasing properly this winter.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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There is a reason why I've only had four 8" snow events over the last decade.  It is incredibly difficult to get all the pieces to come together just right.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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There is a reason why I've only had about four 8" snow events over the last decade.  It is incredibly difficult to get all the pieces to come together just right.

What irritates me is that Chicago, in the same climate(more or less) has absolutely no trouble putting together 10-12” snows and this one(as of 00z and especially if trends continue) will be yet another for them. Unbelievable. No one has anything on eastern Iowa when it comes to getting screwed out of 10”+ snowfalls.

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2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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What irritates me is that Chicago, in the same climate(more or less) has absolutely no trouble putting together 10-12” snows and this one(as of 00z and especially if trends continue) will be yet another for them. Unbelievable. No one has anything on eastern Iowa when it comes to getting screwed out of 10”+ snowfalls.

Ummm. Our biggest snow this year was 3.4". Not sure how you think we're stealing all the storms. Lol

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Look at your record since 2010 and get back to me. Thanks.

 

Too freaking funny. Chicago regularly scores 12-18" storms. The average snowfall at ORD is just exponentially increasing.... 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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so you think the nam cmc and euro all cave to the great gfs?

EXACTLY what is happening.

The EURO is a shell of itself from years back. For as much bashing the GFS gets it's time to trash the king as it has been abysmal the last 6 weeks or so.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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That is a LARGE jump SE on 06NAM for this range. SE trend continues and if so- only E.IA has a chance at 4-6' when it's all said and done with maybe 1-2" in C.IA

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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3K NAM is not as far south

it's not- but big changes from 54 to 60 (06Z - 00Z). Wagons E and N. Once it gets in range in about 24 hours it will have shifted SE -- just my .02 but really nothing is bucking that trend other than the last 6 hrs of 3km NAm of which i put no hope in.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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