Hawkeye Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Wow, the latest Euro is up to 73º here on Saturday. The models are wrapping the system up pretty good, and slowing it. The GFS isn't quite as warm here, but still gets 70s into southeast Iowa. In addition, the Euro has us no lower than mid 50s for the next ten days. I'll gladly take that. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Local Mets still tracking this storm for Friday and Saturday. They said it is slowing down and has trended stronger. Lots of moisture and probably a changeover to a heavy, wet snow by Saturday morning. Never want to turn down moisture chances and besides, it would melt awfully quickly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Wow, the latest Euro is up to 73º here on Saturday. The models are wrapping the system up pretty good, and slowing it. The GFS isn't quite as warm here, but still gets 70s into southeast Iowa. In addition, the Euro has us no lower than mid 50s for the next ten days. I'll gladly take that.Hope you score some much needed warmth and higher DP's! I love the smell of Spring warmth that has a touch of humidity and esp after freshly cut grass. Taking cruises out in the country side has that "smell" in the air that I yearn for each year while going through the spring shoulder season. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Yeah I'm sick of this gloomy rainy pattern now. Yesterday finally saw some sun and it was great. Got to open the windows and let the fresh air in. Up to 73 today but then flip back again. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 I haven’t checked it out, but is it as prevalent in the tropics?It's every where, but the numbers in the tropics are lower. But the issue is a majority of those countries around the tropics also have terrible health networks. I will note more than anything sun gives our bodies vitamin D which is a huge immune booster. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 At this time the mean here at Grand Rapids for March is at 37.2 that is a departure of +2.9. At Muskegon the mean is 36.6 and that is a departure of +2.8. To the east at Lansing the mean there is 37.6 for a departure of +4.0. While here in our area the snow is all gone. (there may be a few parking lot snow piles yet. The last time I was at the store early last week there were still some parking lot piles left) anyway there is still a lot of snow on the ground in the UP Sault Ste Marie is still reporting 18” and over at Marquette they report 32” on the ground and at Munising they reported 35” on the ground. It looks like the snow on the ground is not very good looking here are the web cams from Munisinghttps://www.exploremunising.com/web-cams/And at Houghton there looks to be a lot of dirty snow with bare spotshttps://www.mtu.edu/webcams/The sun is now out here with a temperature of 37 the grass is now starting to turn green and my crocuses are in bloom. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 For anyone who wants what I have found to be very good up to the minute information on the world wide number of the Coronavirus with out the BS here is a link. Note this in for numbers only no write ups or such and as I said it is updated and no BS https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#news Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 For anyone who wants what I have found to be very good up to the minute information on the world wide number of the Coronavirus with out the BS here is a link. Note this in for numbers only no write ups or such and as I said it is updated and no BS https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#news Really random list there. It will be interesting to see how Britain fares. Last I heard they had decided on "herd exposure" vs quarantine measures. Unless that has changed, you would expect their numbers of infected to be exponentially higher than places like MI where social isolation is in effect. Also, are we to presume that every country no matter how small/backwards has the proper "test kits" to verify cases? If we're having trouble getting enough, how are 3rd world nations doing it? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Really random list there. It will be interesting to see how Britain fares. Last I heard they had decided on "herd exposure" vs quarantine measures. Unless that has changed, you would expect their numbers of infected to be exponentially higher than places like MI where social isolation is in effect. Also, are we to presume that every country no matter how small/backwards has the proper "test kits" to verify cases? If we're having trouble getting enough, how are 3rd world nations doing it?Jaster220 look over all the information there. This is the most up to date information that I have found. As the the the "test" kits that is a question that most of us can not answer. I can say that my youngest son and his wife both work at Spectrum Health here in Grand Rapids and as for getting a test in west Michigan well good luck. as for how the UK is handling this issue well here is some information from the BBChttps://www.bbc.com/news/uk-52014472 As for the information on the site that I posted that is the most up to date information you will find on the numbers if you fine one that is more up to date you should post it. The top counties to look keep track of are the US., Italy, Spain, and of course the UK. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Lotta rain coming for the weekend.......... Some possible severe weather as well as my area will be in the warm sector b4 that CF comes crashing in late 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Tis the season for squinting the second I step outside. 50.4*F. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Hope you score some much needed warmth and higher DP's! I love the smell of Spring warmth that has a touch of humidity and esp after freshly cut grass. While we are obviously in the beginning stage of spring, with slowly-greening grass and daffodils popping, what I really look forward to each year is the first day of both warmth AND humidity. I want to see 70º with a low 60s dew. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 NWS Hastings disco: snowstorm? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNational Weather Service Hastings NE345 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020 ...A Windy Storm Fri Night into Sat with Some Potential for HeavyWet Snow in Some Areas... The big wx maker of this fcst package will affect the CWA Fri night-Sat. Deep sub 990 low pres will eject out of CO... crossing KSinto Ern NEB Sat. Sat will be very windy. Gusts up to 55 mph couldoccur. We need to watch this system. With the deformation zonemoving acrs the CWA during the nighttime and morning hrs...it isvery possible it could become just cold enough to snow. Therecould be a swath of hvy wet snow for parts of the CWA...plasteredonto objects by the strong winds. And it could accumulate...espclyon non-pavement/non-concrete areas. If the snow does notmaterialize...then it`s just a windy/rainy event. Can`t rule outsome thunder on the Srn fringe of the deformation zone close tothe dry slot. The fcst currently does not depict much snow. That is due to thetemps in the fcst. Watch the fcst. If temps trend downward as weget closer...more snow will be in the fcst. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Looks like we'll fall short of the 58F showing in my grid. Still, it's downright pleasant out there so I decided to pull my garden hose out and hand wash my new car on the driveway. A little exercise and sunshine was a nice change after day 4 of homebound conditions. My work-from-home may turn into a lay-off scenario as we got word today of two major project cancellations. Initial step was just to shorten the work week to 4 days but my position is likely one of the more fragile in the mix. Gonna "party like it's 2009" all over again..yay! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 At Tom When I was outside enjoying the nice evening I got to thinking what a perfect time for some solo hiking. Are you able to do much of that? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 At Tom When I was outside enjoying the nice evening I got to thinking what a perfect time for some solo hiking. Are you able to do much of that?Trails here are packed due to schools and businesses closed for the time being. I’ve gone hiking many times already. It’s usually a busy time of year but this year it’s even busier. It’s nice to see so many people outside and getting some exercise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 It is a mild 48 here this AM with cloudy skies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Took a look at the JMA weeklies this morning and they don't appear to be showing any "real" sustained spring time warmth for the eastern Sub as we open up April. The Plains states have a much better chance of seeing warmth poke into the region as the west coast ridge fires up during the early part of April. Nearly all the global/climate models showing an expansive ridge to blossom and lock in for a better part of next month. Week 2... Week 3-4... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Saturday's temperature around here is a bit of a mystery. The locals are keeping us in the 50s to low 60s. Meanwhile, last night's Euro has upper 70s surging into central Iowa. I'm guessing that is way overdone, but if the surface low tracks nw of me then 50s seems low. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Thanks for the update, Tom. It’s been really wet in KC the last 15 days, everything is green and growing. You thinking KC could see a drier stretch starting in early April, plus warmer? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Locals have upper 50s and thunderstorms for Saturday. That would be awesome 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Locals have upper 50s and thunderstorms for Saturday. That would be awesome Thunderstorms, yes, but I would hope we can do better than upper 50s in late March. Update: The GFS has low 70s and the Euro has upper 70s into part of Iowa. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Thanks for the update, Tom. It’s been really wet in KC the last 15 days, everything is green and growing. You thinking KC could see a drier stretch starting in early April, plus warmer?I'm thinking from your area and points west stand a better chance of warmer weather as we get into early April. Does it get dryer? Ehhh, hard to say at the moment but I do feel there will be some dryer periods mixed in between active ones. We haven't see an amplified North American pattern in quite some time. In fact, I think since Oct/Nov of last year. The west is going to "cook" while the east cools down...#nationdivided We may be approaching 90F mid next week as the ridge fires up. Should get pretty toasty around the deserts. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Thunderstorms, yes, but I would hope we can do better than upper 50s in late March. Update: The GFS has low 70s and the Euro has upper 70s into part of Iowa.That would be awesome. Hope we can score some t-storms with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 26, 2020 Report Share Posted March 26, 2020 Saturday's temperature around here is a bit of a mystery. The locals are keeping us in the 50s to low 60s. Meanwhile, last night's Euro has upper 70s surging into central Iowa. I'm guessing that is way overdone, but if the surface low tracks nw of me then 50s seems low.NWS point forecast was (and still is) saying upper 60°s for here on Saturday for a few days already. Updated SPC forecast has me on the northern fringe of a marginal risk of severe tomorrow and over much of eastern Iowa on Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 I'm thinking from your area and points west stand a better chance of warmer weather as we get into early April. Does it get dryer? Ehhh, hard to say at the moment but I do feel there will be some dryer periods mixed in between active ones. We haven't see an amplified North American pattern in quite some time. In fact, I think since Oct/Nov of last year. The west is going to "cook" while the east cools down...#nationdivided We may be approaching 90F mid next week as the ridge fires up. Should get pretty toasty around the deserts. Those govt entities with the real "crystal ball" say it will be a hot spring and summer in the US. I'm not talking about NOAA just to be clear. If we go by lunar calendar, springs just begun and goes deep into June. Plenty of time for this cool start to turn-around. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 The op GFS has gone pretty cold for the first half of April. Yuck. I sure hope not. I hate cold in April. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Big Severe weather risk for NW IL on Saturday Moderate risk already with 15% TOR 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 The potential severe wx outbreak this Saturday reminds of a set up we saw a few years back in May I believe it was that sparked numerous large and very strong tornado's across N IL, esp near Rockford. This weekend looks to be rocking for the first time this season. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Move that west! I want storms! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 430 AM EDT Fri Mar 27 2020 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-280830- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 430 AM EDT Fri Mar 27 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Isolated thunderstorms are possible late tonight near the Ohio border. Severe weather is not anticipated. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There is a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms Saturday night with large hail being the primary severe threat. Storms will move from southwest to northeast at about 50 mph. Heavy rain and minor flooding may also occur with any storms. Strong southwest winds with gusts from 30 to 40 mph are possible during the day Sunday. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Clouds. Nothing else to report. 41.9*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 It is now cloudy and 52 here.While this is not weather related it is some news from here in MichiganMichigan has reported 801 new cases today for a total of 3657 confirmed there have been a reported 32 new deaths for a total of 92. At this time most of the cases are in SE Michigan with the city of Detroit have a reported 1075 and Wayne county have a total of 1810. The 4 county area that is metro Detroit now has a total of 3188. Outside of the metro Detroit area Genesee (Flint) has 91 Kent(Grand Rapids) 45 with Ottawa at 21 for a total in the Grand Rapids metro area of 66. Remember these are confirmed cases and not the number that may be sick.Stay safe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Here’s a video of what Reed Timmer was thinking around 5 hours ago. He’s thinking the threat area will likely expand west a little including eastern Iowa more and even parts of central Iowa. https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/videos/663942197703585/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 Have to keep an eye on my family tomorrow. Looking nasty in North Central Illinois. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 28, 2020 Report Share Posted March 28, 2020 A little lightning and thunder here recently. It’s looking more likely that I’m going to get dry-slotted. Models are showing less rain. My guess is severe wx will fire up just to my east Saturday afternoon as I’ve seen that occur many times over the years. We’ll see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 28, 2020 Report Share Posted March 28, 2020 Flash flooding reported in the Quad Cities just now. A nice cell also just fired to my sw. Bad time for storms as just crawled into bed. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 28, 2020 Report Share Posted March 28, 2020 Flash flooding reported in the Quad Cities just now. A nice cell also just fired to my sw. Bad time for storms as just crawled into bed. A new nice cell is about to pass south of me. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 28, 2020 Report Share Posted March 28, 2020 Man nicest cell in a long time about to move in. Davenport got up to 3.77" of rain! Edit: problem is it may scrape by to my nw. Not sure why this cell is heading more northeast then the ones out east. It's headed for Bud again like the last time. Arrg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 28, 2020 Report Share Posted March 28, 2020 Looks like the hailer to the sw. is still producing hail and just now is severe warned again as it moves closer. Lightning is increasing once again. Only had outflow winds from the first storms. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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