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March 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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While it's a chilly morning here (44F) in Fountain Hills, AZ...I'm keeping an eye on back home as the season's first big severe wx threat targets the Midwest. It was a matter of time we saw one of these signature LRC storms to track out of the Rockies and produce some severe wx. Hopefully these storms don't cause a lot of damage.

 

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Nice soaking rain coming today, and the threat of snow has been shifting east over the last few model runs. A Winter Weather Advisory now slices through the MSP metro for tonight into tomorrow morning. Of course the evolution of this storm up this way is highly dependent on what transpires downstream. If things get out of control with convection it’s going to rob us of moisture. Interesting weather day on tap nonetheless. Stay safe peeps.

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There was plenty of action overnight, but everything went around me again.  I picked up only 0.20" of rain.  As with our last storm event a week or so ago, the Iowa City/North Liberty area was the hot spot where heavy rain and a bit of hail fell.  The Quad Cities area was crushed by training storms.  There are many reports of 3.0-4.5" of rain in that area.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I was in the midst of the main t. storm activity, but was right in between two heavy swaths with around 1.50" just nw. and se. Don't like getting brushed repeatedly, but was nice seeing all the lightning. I still ended up with 0.61". I'm over 4" for this month so I'm expecting monthly amounts are approaching 6" just to my nw. as they got a lot more from the previous system as well.

 

Currently there is dense fog north of the warm front here.

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Strong thunder woke me and driving rain hitting the windows. We officially have "green-up"and the T-showers will really make things green going into April. Looks like nearly 1.5" here and not so much as a Flood Watch. Back yard is a pond and ofc that means water in my basement. With a risk of stronger T-storms overnight I'm not too thrilled. Hopefully I get missed more than not. Don't need severe or power outages at this time either. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

425 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-290830-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

425 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this evening and tonight

with large hail being the primary severe threat. There is also a low

chance of a tornado, particularly south of I-94. Storms will move

from southwest to northeast at about 50 mph. Heavy rain and minor

flooding may also occur with any storms.

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

 

Strong southwest winds with gusts from 35 to 45 mph are likely

during the day Sunday.

 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Looking forward to seasons first severe weather for my area :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Seems to be a big bust again for Cedar Rapids. Just had some brief downpours. No signs of any severe weather around here.

 

Yes, CR did not do very well overnight and this morning, but the severe stuff won't fire til later this afternoon.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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That new cell in sw. Iowa probably is part of what could develop into that next band of storms later judging by the visible satellite of a band of clouds developing there. Still cloudy here, but it should clear soon.

 

FCADC5-AF-1-CD7-48-D0-81-C6-0-F5-EF0-D73

 

EC5-B1-EA6-F25-A-4725-8-B40-8-C686-C518-

I am hoping for some sunshine to break through the clouds this afternoon, so that it can stir up some energy in the atmosphere for big storms. So far, zilch. Under a thick layer of clouds. Pretty soggy out there from what I am seeing. Next week looks splendid w plentiful sunshine and temps near or slightly BN for mby.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Flood Watch just issued for Detroit and its surrounding areas

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The temp is finally rising steadily, now at 63º here and 70º in Iowa City.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Call me crazy, but to me this seems like a bust. That or it’s just starting much later — the HRRR has very little development. Definitely potential with all the shear in place but I don’t know. Lack of instability might be the hindering factor of all of this.

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It looks like Cedar Rapids isn't going to get any strong to severe storms today. The sun is out and temps have warmed up, but the radar suggests everything will be to the west of here.

 

The warm section in Iowa and northern Missouri has been silent so far.  Clearly, it has not panned out as expected.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Cue the sad trombone.  That's it for everyone through Cedar Rapids and Iowa City.   :(

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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 A lot of lightning last night, but that's about it. It was a lightning show. No flooding and no wind or hail damage at all. Now, its windy w sunshine. Temp is a balmy 59F.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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