Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Looks like the hailer to the sw. is still producing hail and just now is severe warned again as it moves closer. Lightning is increasing once again. Only had outflow winds from the first storms. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 14780 Posted March 28 Author Report Share Posted March 28 While it's a chilly morning here (44F) in Fountain Hills, AZ...I'm keeping an eye on back home as the season's first big severe wx threat targets the Midwest. It was a matter of time we saw one of these signature LRC storms to track out of the Rockies and produce some severe wx. Hopefully these storms don't cause a lot of damage. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 3710 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Nice soaking rain coming today, and the threat of snow has been shifting east over the last few model runs. A Winter Weather Advisory now slices through the MSP metro for tonight into tomorrow morning. Of course the evolution of this storm up this way is highly dependent on what transpires downstream. If things get out of control with convection it’s going to rob us of moisture. Interesting weather day on tap nonetheless. Stay safe peeps. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 14780 Posted March 28 Author Report Share Posted March 28 April Thread.... http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/2196-april-2020-observations-and-discussion/ Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 There was plenty of action overnight, but everything went around me again. I picked up only 0.20" of rain. As with our last storm event a week or so ago, the Iowa City/North Liberty area was the hot spot where heavy rain and a bit of hail fell. The Quad Cities area was crushed by training storms. There are many reports of 3.0-4.5" of rain in that area. 2 Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 I was in the midst of the main t. storm activity, but was right in between two heavy swaths with around 1.50" just nw. and se. Don't like getting brushed repeatedly, but was nice seeing all the lightning. I still ended up with 0.61". I'm over 4" for this month so I'm expecting monthly amounts are approaching 6" just to my nw. as they got a lot more from the previous system as well. Currently there is dense fog north of the warm front here. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
westMJim 1621 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 0.78" of rain here so far from this system. 43 here now with light rain falling. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jaster220 7582 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Strong thunder woke me and driving rain hitting the windows. We officially have "green-up"and the T-showers will really make things green going into April. Looks like nearly 1.5" here and not so much as a Flood Watch. Back yard is a pond and ofc that means water in my basement. With a risk of stronger T-storms overnight I'm not too thrilled. Hopefully I get missed more than not. Don't need severe or power outages at this time either. 1 Quote Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0" Largest Storm: 1" (11/22) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 49.7" Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal) 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to post Share on other sites
BrianJK 432 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Caught the southern end of a hailstorm this morning. Yard is flooded. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 6277 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 425 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-290830- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 425 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this evening and tonight with large hail being the primary severe threat. There is also a low chance of a tornado, particularly south of I-94. Storms will move from southwest to northeast at about 50 mph. Heavy rain and minor flooding may also occur with any storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Strong southwest winds with gusts from 35 to 45 mph are likely during the day Sunday. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 6277 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Looking forward to seasons first severe weather for my area 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3304 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 44 and rain. Yuck. Hope the sun comes out and we get some warmth. Help pop up those storms later. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 The last of this batch of thunder showers just moved through with an additional three or four tenths. Now we wait and see what happens this afternoon! The sun is trying to break through. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 14780 Posted March 28 Author Report Share Posted March 28 Caught the southern end of a hailstorm this morning. Yard is flooded.I saw that cell on the radar loop and it hit my back yard back him also. Gotta call my neighbor to see if all is ok. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Iowawx 563 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Seems to be a big bust again for Cedar Rapids. Just had some brief downpours. No signs of any severe weather around here. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Seems to be a big bust again for Cedar Rapids. Just had some brief downpours. No signs of any severe weather around here. Yes, CR did not do very well overnight and this morning, but the severe stuff won't fire til later this afternoon. Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 That new cell in sw. Iowa probably is part of what could develop into that next band of storms later judging by the visible satellite of a band of clouds developing there. Still cloudy here, but it should clear soon. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 6277 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 That new cell in sw. Iowa probably is part of what could develop into that next band of storms later judging by the visible satellite of a band of clouds developing there. Still cloudy here, but it should clear soon. I am hoping for some sunshine to break through the clouds this afternoon, so that it can stir up some energy in the atmosphere for big storms. So far, zilch. Under a thick layer of clouds. Pretty soggy out there from what I am seeing. Next week looks splendid w plentiful sunshine and temps near or slightly BN for mby. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 6277 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Flood Watch just issued for Detroit and its surrounding areas 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 4585 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Looks busty here. If I get anything severe, it'll be hail. 1 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8" Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 A PDS tornado watch just went up for the expected area (IA/MO/IL). 3 Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Stormhunter87 845 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 A PDS tornado watch just went up for the expected area (IA/MO/IL).Covers both my parents and my family. Yikes. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Stacsh 682 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 PDS! Stay safe in Illinois tonight! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 The sun is out and the temperature rocketed up to 68° a bit ago with a dew of 65°! And we still have a gusty backed wind from the ese. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Money 1405 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 SPC is handling the outlook and stuff way wrong today. The moderate risk def should be reduced Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Here’s a video clip of that funnel that occurred sw. of Des Moines https://twitter.com/nwsdesmoines/status/1244000503337385992?s=21 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 3710 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Steady pouring rain now. Temp 43F. Things really blossoming between here and Des Moines. Lightning being detected as close as Mankato, MN. Might go from t-storms tonight to snow by morning. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3304 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Tornado watch! Storms are poppin! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 The front is only a few counties to the sw. and storms are having trouble developing further south. Things will need to pop quickly for any storms here. Windy from the sse. attm. Edit: that’s a potent dry line wedging into southern Iowa. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 The temp is finally rising steadily, now at 63º here and 70º in Iowa City. 1 Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Jaycee 928 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Call me crazy, but to me this seems like a bust. That or it’s just starting much later — the HRRR has very little development. Definitely potential with all the shear in place but I don’t know. Lack of instability might be the hindering factor of all of this. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Iowawx 563 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 It looks like Cedar Rapids isn't going to get any strong to severe storms today. The sun is out and temps have warmed up, but the radar suggests everything will be to the west of here. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Money 1405 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 That was on intense tornado that went through Jonesboro AK 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3304 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Had a quick downpour and a bit of thunder and now the sun came out. Up to 57 now Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 It looks like Cedar Rapids isn't going to get any strong to severe storms today. The sun is out and temps have warmed up, but the radar suggests everything will be to the west of here. The warm section in Iowa and northern Missouri has been silent so far. Clearly, it has not panned out as expected. 1 Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 3710 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Sporadic vivid lightning and small hail here. Grass is looking good with all of this rain. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 The warm section in Iowa and northern Missouri has been silent so far. Clearly, it has not panned out as expected. Yeah a big bust. There was plenty of time for development here. I was thinking the dry line might be moving through to soon. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Nick Stewart and Terry Swails made the right choice to go north. At least they could experience some convection. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 3710 Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 1” in the gauge already. Total monsoon. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 Cue the sad trombone. That's it for everyone through Cedar Rapids and Iowa City. Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 6277 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 A lot of lightning last night, but that's about it. It was a lightning show. No flooding and no wind or hail damage at all. Now, its windy w sunshine. Temp is a balmy 59F. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jaster220 7582 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 2.31" per the airport unit for this weekend's system. Based on the small pond IMBY yesterday, I would not be surprised if I had a bit more here. Glad last night didn't materialize as was expected. 2 Quote Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.0" Largest Storm: 1" (11/22) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 49.7" Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal) 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 3402 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 My rain total for the entire event (Thursday through Saturday) is 0.39". 1 Quote season snowfall: 6.8" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
westMJim 1621 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 Getting some wind blown rain here at this time with a temperature of 43. Here is today's updated Michigan virus totals. State wide confirmed cases 5468 that is a increase of 836. Deaths 132 a increase of 21. Some city/county totals Detroit city 1542. Detroit metro 4494. Genesee (Flint) county 127 Washtenaw (Ann Arbor) County. 231. Kent county 72 and Ottawa county 25. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
OKwx2k4 3688 Posted March 29 Report Share Posted March 29 R.I.P. Mr. Joe Diffie I guess he's "Home". He's got a soundtrack that isn't a bad throwback right now. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 30 Report Share Posted March 30 I guess I haven’t posted, but my storm total rainfall was 0.95”. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 14780 Posted March 30 Author Report Share Posted March 30 While the 90's have disappeared (I don't mind) in the extended forecast, #realspring will be arriving here this week in the Valley of the Sun.... 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3304 Posted March 30 Report Share Posted March 30 I'm a bit late but there were a couple tornadoes in northeast Iowa Saturday. EF-1 and EF-0 if I'm not mistaken. Quite a bit of damage. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1373 Posted March 30 Report Share Posted March 30 While the 90's have disappeared (I don't mind) in the extended forecast, #realspring will be arriving here this week in the Valley of the Sun.... Feels like spring here as well. Finally have a beautiful sunshiny day! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 3710 Posted March 30 Report Share Posted March 30 The 1.3” of rain on Saturday put a massive dent in the lake ice. About 80% of the lake is open water as of this morning. I’d expect the ice to be totally gone tomorrow. That would be exactly one month earlier than last year. First kayakers paddling by as I type this. Seeing clear water, wildlife returning, and people exploring nature breathes life into my soul during these trying times. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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