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March 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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What are you thinking for Friday here?

 

Still too much uncertainty. It's a bit hard to imagine the Arctic air will reach the south coast as quickly as shown on the GFS. Although that doesn't necessarily mean the system will come in north; we could easily get both delayed Arctic outflow and miss out on the Friday system. Things look better if there's a stronger push of Arctic air from the BC North Coast.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Next week sure looks warmer than it did even yesterday and certainly before that. Looks like 50s and maybe low 60s most of the work week now. We went from a long term cold pattern to what will probably be a springy type of week.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Next week sure looks warmer than it did even yesterday and certainly before that. Looks like 50s and maybe low 60s most of the work week now. We went from a long term cold pattern to what will probably be a springy type of week.

 

Too bad it's not on the weekend. 

 

:(  :(  :(

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Is the pleasure the same when the audience is so anemic?

Yeah... I have posted every snow map from every ECMWF run lately as it comes out. I am not selectively talking about anything. Just taking it as it comes... and it surprised me to see how much warmer it is even by Monday and basically all week on the 00Z GFS.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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This weekend is going to be interesting! Cannot wait!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Mark Nelsen was a bit more bullish on the idea of the snow level dropping to the valley floor. Hmmm. C'mon Euro!

 

Oh, really? His blog post didn't sound crazy optimistic, then again models have stayed consistent/gotten better.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Oh, really? His blog post didn't sound crazy optimistic, then again models have stayed consistent/gotten better.

That's what he just said during his forecast 15 minutes ago. He said something like, "The snow level now looks like it could drop all the way to the valley floor. It'll be close. We're watching it closely." It raised an eyebrow or two, or if you only have one eyebrow like Anthony Davis.

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Some ensemble improvements. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The 00z Euro looks quite different with that low. Weaker and further SW so far. Too far south?

 

Too far south would be absolutely ridiculous, to say the least.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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