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March 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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I like how Tim made sure to get on here and post how it did not snow at his house, how it was above freezing, and how it will be mild next week.

I hear he’s scouting for real estate in Death Valley.

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I'm dying to see what the mins are going to be like.  Maybe WA will have a better shot at that with more clouds in OR.  We shall see.

 

Oregon doesn't look particularly cloudy next week compared to Washington. At least the northern half of Oregon. The airmass just moderates a lot more slowly then stays cooler overall.

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Certainly a good flow of cold low level air coming down Puget Sound.  Tacoma Narrows and West Point are both well below 40 with fairly strong N winds.  This is some pretty impressive stuff.

Big flakes falling now and 36 degrees I was not expecting this at 11am. Probably will end up with back to back sub 40 highs here really impressive for mid March.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Light snow has started here again. Not a ton of melting between bands, still just 33 DP 31.

 

Looking like some good enhancement on radar. Judging by the pics/reports from down south things could get fun again for a little while.

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I hear he’s scouting for real estate in Death Valley.

 

Typical extreme response to someone just looking forward to some nice spring weather... like probably most people in western WA. We actually all want to burn alive!

 

In reality... this is just your anxiousness about the coming warm season being projected on someone thousands of miles away who lives in an area with gorgeous summer weather normally. ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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According to the WRF tonight and tomorrow night with both be clear so the potential is there for outstanding low temps both tomorrow and Monday.  Winds might be an issue, but tomorrow night looks great.  With such a dry low level air mass in place records should fall.  I expect a mix of record low max temps and record low mins for today through Monday.  Tuesday morning will probably be quite chilly as well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Puget Sound really missing out

 

At least we had some yesterday.  This is pretty hit and miss overall.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Oregon doesn't look particularly cloudy next week compared to Washington. At least the northern half of Oregon. The airmass just moderates a lot more slowly then stays cooler overall.

 

I don't expect there will be that much difference between the two states.  Low temps are not that reliant on 850s.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Wow, the road actually just got covered in snow at 11 am in March. Impressive!

 

The power of continental air!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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B1BBC769-2146-43E2-B1CC-F52198A4FD39.jpeg

 

These have to be some of the biggest flakes I’ve ever seen. Including on Mt Hood.

 

This might actually be one of the best snow events since 16-17 here... and it’s mid-March. In just three days it will be in the 60s. Is this western Oregon or eastern Colorado?

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Officially 0.3" at PDX today.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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This band seemed to really pull in the east wind. Down to 32 DP 29 with gusts 25mph. Snow is sticking to everything but the road too. Some pretty impressive conditions out there for mid March at the moment.

 

The convergence is definitely enhancing it. It motored through here pretty fast, up there it seems to be re-developing as it interacts with the outflow. Sunny and 36 here. Going to be a crisp couple of days, and loving that we will see more cold nights next week!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Salem and Eugene into the mid-40s with southerly flow. Interesting set up. PDX could see a very chilly high though today.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Salem and Eugene into the mid-40s with southerly flow. Interesting set up. PDX could see a very chilly high though today.

Today’s record MIN MAX of 43 from 2012 seems like pretty low hanging fruit. Although we could get close with any appreciable sun this afternoon.

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Today’s record MIN MAX of 43 from 2012 seems like pretty low hanging fruit. Although we could get close with any appreciable sun this afternoon.

 

I say PDX stays below 40 easily with the east wind now.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Temp has actually dropped from 34 to 32 here under mostly sunny skies over the past hour. Unusual.

 

Wow!  This time of year that is very hard to do.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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DUMPING now. Some of the heaviest snow and biggest flakes of event.

 

Really getting blown around by an increasingly gusty east wind too.

Nice! Man do I ever miss that.

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12Z ECMWF shows a bubble of warmth over WA on many days this week... in a sea of western cold.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-t2m-f-anom-466

Of course that’s what you’re focused on. :lol:

 

I only see one bubble of warmth there..and it’s over me.

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Overall the ULL seems a little closer to our area on the 12z Euro next week. Not quite as many warmish days as previous runs.

 

The 12Z ECMWF shows afternoon temps above normal from Salem northward to Vancouver BC every day from Monday onward.    The only exception might be Wednesday south of Portland.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Of course that’s what you’re focused on. :lol:

 

I only see one bubble of warmth there..and it’s over me.

 

 

Yes... I do tend to focus on weather in WA on a weather forum for this area.    ;)

 

I do see now that your bubble is WAY bigger!     But I will still very much enjoy our little bubble.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The ECMWF has another extreme block by day 8.  Not quite as nicely placed as this one though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Yes... I do tend to focus on weather in WA on a weather forum for this area. ;)

 

I do see now that your bubble is WAY bigger! But I will still very much enjoy our little bubble.

FWIW, I don’t see a prolonged warm-up there with tropical forcing stationed in the EHEM. Short term CCKW passage followed by retrograding anticyclonic surf/more western troughing as the PV falls apart.

 

A flip to warm is possible later on, though. I think?

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