Phil Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 California is almost entirely out of the drought now. And a large portion of the intermountain west continues to run positive soil moisture departures. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 CPC also projects some improvement in condition over the Plains and MT/WY during the month of June. But much of the NE/Midwest could see drought develop. Phase 7/8/1 is not a good pattern for rainfall out this way in spring/early summer. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 (edited) Deep blue skies. Low of 43. Edited June 3, 2023 by MossMan 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 3, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 Truly Gods country in Curry and Coos Counties. 10 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Truly Gods country in Curry and Coos Counties. Awesome pics. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 14 minutes ago, MossMan said: Deep blue skies. Low of 43. Blue filter?? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, Phil said: California is almost entirely out of the drought now. And a large portion of the intermountain west continues to run positive soil moisture departures. I assume this is a good thing for us in the PNW during summer? Having a moist SW probably mutes the 4CH pushing into our region. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 Lows of 41,39,41 to start June at EUG. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 2 hours ago, Phil said: Blue filter?? 100% pure…Just like the 1990’s sky! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 (edited) 35 minutes ago, MossMan said: 100% pure…Just like the 1990’s sky! Was in Coquille last night for the Gay 90s festival. Edited June 3, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 A warm EPS run. Heat rebuilds at the end. Much more ridging than the GFS. 1 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 34 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: A warm EPS run. Heat rebuilds at the end. Much more ridging than the GFS. Is it showing the trough next weekend like the gfs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 Just now, runninthruda206 said: Is it showing the trough next weekend like the gfs? A very minor trough that undercuts the ridge. Does cool the west down a bit. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 Gonna be a top 5 warm June. If we can avoid temps over 110 we should avoid warmest of all time. Big if. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gonna be a top 5 warm June. If we can avoid temps over 110 we should avoid warmest of all time. Big if. I don’t think there will be any 100s in June. In fact I’ll wager there will be no 90s after 6/15 on the west side. 1 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 In the LC valley. Currently about 85 or 86F. Enjoying the cool Snake River breeze. 6 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 Beautiful weekend! The Pacific Northwest is showcasing its best assets today at the NASCAR Xfinity race in Portland. Mount Hood in full view! First race here it poured down rain, but this time it's beautiful. All the drivers, broadcast group, have been singing the praises of how beautiful the region is! Absolutely love to see that! Fantastic racing too! 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 GFS continues to be tolerable. A dream. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 3, 2023 Report Share Posted June 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS continues to be tolerable. A dream. Today's mid 70s and crystal blue sky is absolutely intolerable. Could not be more miserable. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Phil said: I don’t think there will be any 100s in June. In fact I’ll wager there will be no 90s after 6/15 on the west side. Is that when the mega-ridge leaves the PNW and Canada? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 Currently at Lake Tapps... perfect evening. 9 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 80 degrees back home and perfect weather. Our cherry tree is liking it. Clear skies. Hoping next April in Texas will be this nice. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 6 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted June 4, 2023 Author Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 Really pretty day. 79/45 spread. Cool start and blue skies. Looks like a bit of a cool down tomorrow, then warmer next week through midweek. Both the GFS and Euro are converging on a cooldown after that. GFS/GEFS wants to keep us cool beyond that, while the Euro wants to warm us back up a little, although the 12z EPS trended a little better in the long range today. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 At one point Phil was predicting PNW would get some rain and cooler weather in late May and early June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 Wish there was a place to get some good katsu chicken around here. Or catfish Or hushpuppies Or fried crawfish Or teriyaki chicken where they actually have teriyaki sauce on the chicken Or a proper chicken fried steak without destroying it with horrible sausage gravy Or independent places that don’t cost a lot Or a proper gas grill instead of my Always Sunny in Philadelphia-style electric one… Or an ability to procure and make this stuff without a shaky hand that ruins the recipe even though it usually still tastes like shitt. Been an oof kinda day. Grateful that it’s at least been beautiful outside. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: The lake has no chlorine Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 2 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said: Is that when the mega-ridge leaves the PNW and Canada? Yes, one last hurrah coming up then it takes a break for awhile. Worth noting Dr. Roundy’s MJO-analog derived composite projects another W-Canada/PNW heatwave during the second week of July, but once again, it doesn’t arise via the 4CH, so it is a quick hitter. In fact there is a ULL in the SW US at that time. Will have to see if this is correct, though. https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/indexmjo.html Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 KNIGHTS WIN! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Port Angeles Foothiller Posted June 4, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 15 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 On 6/1/2023 at 7:37 AM, Deweydog said: It’s my birthday month. Gift’s accepted. Go Knights. I hear June is a good month for a birthday. I picked up my birthday/father's day gift down by Lake Sammamish this morning. I could feel the heat radiating off the lake, it was like bath water. After I picked up the boat, I thought about getting out on the lake to do my own water temperature survey, maybe go to that sandbar and see if I could find @TT-SEA but then I realized I forgot my life jacket. Oh well, perhaps another time. 5 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 Low is spinning over Utah Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 On 6/1/2023 at 2:26 PM, Phil said: Judah is on board! Related to the final warming perhaps? https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1664308075145117697?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ Does this mean its gonna snow? Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 12 hours ago, MossMan said: Deep blue skies. Low of 43. Interesting, as I was driving back from Lake Sammamish and got to the Skagit Valley around noon the sky seemed to be pretty hazy. I was trying to figure out if it was smoke or just a marine haze.... 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 You would think that wicked trough in the NE would be really cold and wet like it would be here. But it actually results in weather some people on here would call hot. No wonder Phil loves summer troughs so much. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 7 hours ago, TT-SEA said: You would think that wicked trough in the NE would be really cold and wet like it would be here. But it actually results in weather some people on here would call hot. No wonder Phil loves summer troughs so much. Yeah sadly it takes a trough like that just to keep us out of the 90s these days. And temperature averages in early June are analogous to those of mid-September. Come July/August such troughs often increase afternoon highs by drying the boundary layer and reducing cloud cover/convection, unless it’s a major trough. But either way, it still ends up more comfortable due to lower dew points, and cooling is more efficient at night. Plus they’re usually preceded by thunderstorms. Win-win. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 00Z EPS did not bite on any meaningful cool down or troughing. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 Now imagine what a true death ridge like y’all have been seeing in recent years would do here. Cringe. Thankfully it’s been quite awhile since we’ve had one, but it’s probably only a matter of time. They tend to happen near solar maximum with descending westerly shear/+QBO, especially following a a significant El Niño. Which is very likely what we’ll have next year. I’ve actually had 2024 on my death ridge radar for awhile now. But in the meantime I will enjoy this El Niño-onset summer (which are usually nice), then will worry about reverse-psyching the heat back to Tim’s house next year. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 14 minutes ago, Phil said: Now imagine what a true death ridge like y’all have been seeing in recent years would do here. Cringe. Thankfully it’s been quite awhile since we’ve had one, but it’s probably only a matter of time. They tend to happen near solar maximum with descending westerly shear/+QBO, especially following a a significant El Niño. Which is very likely what we’ll have next year. I’ve actually had 2024 on my death ridge radar for awhile now. But in the meantime I will enjoy this El Niño-onset summer (which are usually nice), then will worry about reverse-psyching the heat back to Tim’s house next year. Not sure I would call what have had "death ridging". That has been focused more over the Midwest lately. Over the last 15 days... SEA is at just +0.4 while Minneapolis has been +8.7 over the same period. Side note... back in late April you predicted that the ridging would be focused over the middle of the country by the second of half of May. You have been nailing it for the last few months... no joke. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 4, 2023 Report Share Posted June 4, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z EPS did not bite on any meaningful cool down or troughing. Coldest June on record for California definitely remains possible. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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