Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023

[TT-SEA]

Today really stands out on the 06Z GFS...

[TacomaWx]

0.07” of blessings so far. Looks like Tacoma is in a good spot too bad it’s not a heavier and more regional soaking. 

[TT-SEA]

Play with sound up... the beautiful sound of summer rain.

[TT-SEA]

When I play that video back on here on my phone there is sound... but when I play it on my computer there is no sound.   Strange.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Quote

Lytton Area (Lytton RCS) 
Preliminary new record of 38.5 
Old record of 36.7 set in 1948 
Records in this area have been kept since 1921 

And for those who prefer Fahrenheit, that's 101.3˚F. BC’s first 100-burger of the year!

[Ken in Wood Village]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

When I play that video back on here on my phone there is sound... but when I play it on my computer there is no sound.   Strange.

Normally when you playback a video on your phone, you need to click the little speaker in the bottom right corner so you can hear the sound. That's how my phone works.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Moderate rain here... just on the northern edge of this blob of precip on the radar.    Summer rain is so loud when you are outside with the sound of the rain drops hitting the leaves.   Quite lovely.  

06Z ECMWF shows the next round focusing farther north tonight and tomorrow morning.

I haven’t seen a drop of rain this month. Every opportunity evaporates in the D3-5 range, pun intended.

Would be hilarious if you finished June with more rainfall than me. Not sure that’s ever happened but this year is so f***ed who knows.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Today really stands out on the 06Z GFS...

GFS seems consistently warmer than every ensemble member up there. Seems like it arises both via 2m temp bias (overmixing/drying BL) and what it tries to do with 500mb heights in the LR most runs (some kind of systemic bias over NE-Pacific).

The difference is pretty astounding.

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

I haven’t seen a drop of rain this month. Every opportunity evaporates in the D3-5 range, pun intended.

Would be hilarious if you finished June with more rainfall than me. Not sure that’s ever happened but this year is so f***ed who knows.

Up to .25 on the day now which is nice but not nearly enough.    The Snoqualmie Falls site in the valley averages 2.86 inches in June so there are normally at least several rain events in my area.    There is not much on the horizon after today.    But who knows... I didn't think this system would deliver rain here just a couple days ago. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

GFS seems consistently warmer than every ensemble member up there. Evident both in 2m temps and what it tries to do with 500mb heights in the LR most runs.

 

But the GEFS and EPS almost always go towards climo after about day 7,    And the flip side is that the GFS also looks unreasonably cold at times.    It goes both ways with the extremes.

[Timmy]

It’s a melted snow flurry storm out here.

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

Normally when you playback a video on your phone, you need to click the little speaker in the bottom right corner so you can hear the sound. That's how my phone works.

Opposite for me... I hear the audio when playing back on here on my phone but not on my computer.   

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Up to .25 on the day now which is nice but not nearly enough.    The Snoqualmie Falls site in the valley averages 2.86 inches in June so there are normally at least several rain events in my area.    There is not much on the horizon after today.    But who knows... I didn't think this system would deliver rain here just a couple days ago. 

That’s something at least. Would gladly take.

June is the 2nd wettest month of the year here. Worst possible time for this.

[Phil]

Interestingly the EPS weeklies are pretty bullish on a period of western troughing in July. Not necessarily long lasting, verbatim, but roughly 2/3rds of ensemble members are in that camp.

EPS usually runs warm almost everywhere at that range, so the fact it reflects in 2m/850mb anomalies at all is something.

[MossMan]

Was much stormier one year ago today but at least it’s raining! Bet you can tell which video was from last June 9th

[MossMan]

27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Up to .25 on the day now which is nice but not nearly enough.    The Snoqualmie Falls site in the valley averages 2.86 inches in June so there are normally at least several rain events in my area.    There is not much on the horizon after today.    But who knows... I didn't think this system would deliver rain here just a couple days ago. 

Up to 0.00” so far on the day here, but it is raining enough to wet most of the ground so far. 

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Up to 0.00” so far on the day here, but it is raining enough to wet most of the ground so far. 

Its been raining quite hard for the last hour... up to .40 now.    So nice to have everything get a good soaking.   We can take a few days off from watering now.

[Phishy Wx]

had over .5" so far and another big slug of rain moving in

[TT-SEA]

On the UW radar loop you can see the next round getting organized in northern ID moving into NE WA... that will eventually move into western WA and SW BC late today and overnight.    Per the ECMWF the next round will be focused from Everett northward.

[Phishy Wx]

I  think the models may be a hair too far north in E WA, quite a bit of rain in the Spokane/CDA area currently

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Today really stands out on the 06Z GFS...

Nice to share in some of the California fun for at least one day. 

[ShawniganLake]

58F cloudy and dry this morning. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

57 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

On the UW radar loop you can see the next round getting organized in northern ID moving into NE WA... that will eventually move into western WA and SW BC late today and overnight.    Per the ECMWF the next round will be focused from Everett northward.

Looks like we get some of the fun here!

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been raining quite hard for the last hour... up to .40 now.    So nice to have everything get a good soaking.   We can take a few days off from watering now.

Wow, only a trace here so far. I am jealous

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A few drops of rain this morning. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice June FRONT

[TT-SEA]

Sky is looks normal again in NYC... they got off easy with only a couple bad days.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sky is looks normal again in NYC... they got off easy with only a couple bad days.

Yeah they haven’t lived until they have gotten to experience over a month straight of the crap…

[BLI snowman]

Nice to have an "overachiever" today. At 0.09" with light rain continuing for a little while to come. Seems like climo edged out a bit after 20+ days with nothing.

[BLI snowman]

16 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah they haven’t lived until they have gotten to experience over a month straight of the crap…

My company is based in NJ and the folks on my call today were absolutely marveling at how insane an AQI of 400 felt. I was tempted to drop some pictures from Septembers 2020 and 2017 in the call to show off the size of my smoke nuts, but I refrained.

[TT-SEA]

Rain has stopped here now... looks like just under .50 at both the stations near me.     

[TigerWoodsLibido]

61F and cloudy & dry. Enjoying this cool break. It's honestly been really beautiful here but I do worry about the dry soil situation and how it doesn't seem to be much better this year, even with a wet Mar-early May.

[Deweydog]

Picked up a solid dusting here. Mostly melted now.

[Timmy]

finally really accumulating here.

[TT-SEA]

Big trough over the middle of the country by Thursday on the 12Z ECMWF and yet they still have highs around 90 in places like Iowa and Missouri and Kansas.   And look at Texas with temps way into the triple digits without a ridge overhead.    

[MossMan]

My work computer is a little too excited and is exaggerating as much as 2010 Phil! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Big trough over the middle of the country by Thursday on the 12Z ECMWF and yet they still have highs around 90 in places like Iowa and Missouri.   

Looks about average.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

My work computer is a little too excited and is exaggerating as much as 2010 Phil! 

Mine says the same thing.    It's not even raining now.  

[SnowySeeker50]

Sitting at 53 degrees today and cloudy. Type of weather I like, even if it does only last for one day.

[Cold Snap]

Picked up only 0.03” so far. Hoping I can get more.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Mine says the same thing.    It's not even raining now.  

Match closest to conditions at Arlington Municipal Airport.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A look at Top 10 warm June's for SLE. 

Maximum 30-Day Mean Avg Temperature
for SALEM AP (MCNARY FIELD), OR
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Value	Ending Date	Missing Days
1	69.5	2021-06-30	0
2	69.3	2015-06-30	0
3	67.0	1926-06-30	0
4	66.2	1922-06-30	0
5	66.2	1918-06-30	0
6	65.9	1900-06-30	0
7	65.8	1992-06-30	0
8	65.4	1969-06-30	0
9	65.2	1978-06-30	0
10	65.2	2016-06-30	0

 

First 8 days of the month. 

Maximum 8-Day Mean Avg Temperature 
for SALEM AP (MCNARY FIELD), OR

Rank, Value, EndingDate, MissingDays
1, 72.4, 2016-06-08, 0
2, 69.3, 1978-06-08, 0
-, 69.3, 1926-06-08, 0
4, 67.8, 1948-06-08, 0
5, 67.6, 2003-06-08, 0
6, 67.2, 2015-06-08, 0
7, 66.8, 1969-06-08, 0
8, 65.8, 1921-06-08, 0
-, 65.8, 1913-06-08, 0
-, 65.8, 1912-06-08, 0

Period of record: 1893-01-01 to 2023-06-08

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem hasn't had a top 10 cool June since 1991. 

 

[Phishy Wx]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Sky is looks normal again in NYC... they got off easy with only a couple bad days.

it also rains there a lot more in the summer.  I never doubted they'd get it easier.  Smoke season still not over for them until those Canadian fires are fully out though

[LowerGarfield]

68F and light rain. Humid feel but not too unpleasant. Spouse doesn't like it as much. Last day of school. 10am dismissal is so strange. Stanwood does it too.

[LowerGarfield]

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Play with sound up... the beautiful sound of summer rain.

So peaceful!. Agree. I hear it on my phone but not on my computer.

[Omegaraptor]

Decided to come home for the weekend. Anyone know what this water falling from the sky is?

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Decided to come home for the weekend. Anyone know what this water falling from the sky is?

It’s pee

[ChristheElohim]

As of 2pm 0.24" of rain fell in Spanaway and it's 55°

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Salem hasn't had a top 10 cool June since 1991. 

 

The same month that MJ defeated MJ in the NBA Finals and officially lit his path towards becoming the GOAT.