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April 2020 Weather discussion for the PNW


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41F out there with some occasional rain.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Just checked the updated Cedar Lake station stats in my area. March ended up close to normal (still missing the last day)... but still a little below normal:

 

cl.png

 

 

But it was WAY wetter than last March. Also pretty crazy that there has been over 52 inches of rain so far this year... compared to just 20.01 inches to this point last year. We have already received 64% of the entire total for 2019 in just 3 months. 2020 has been seriously wet around here. As you can see... April has been very wet compared to normal the last 3 years. It will be interesting to see if we break that streak this year.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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00Z EPS was warmer than the previous run in the 5-10 and 10-15 day periods... but still seems like later next week is a possible period that the models could vary wildly again so I am not trusting anything right now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Weekend still looking decent for western WA per the 06Z ECMWF... in fact Sunday afternoon might be a little warmer than normal.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-t2m-f-anom-613

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Next week looks NICE. Thank GOD. We all deserve it. Time to get outside and......

 

ummmm..... Well..... AND THEN..... Pull weeds? .....

That is exactly what I will be doing, I believe. Yay!

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Looks like a pretty dry start to April now...not super chilly either.Models have changed quite a bit the last few days. Looks like very little rain in western WA...little more down in OR but not much on the GFS or EURO.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Are these ratios still accurate in mid-April?

 

gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png

If the snow falls during the night then yes. If it's during the day it will be almost nothing at lower elevations. Even here in Tahoe it is hard to get accumulating snow during the daytime this late in the season at 6300' 

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Looks like a pretty dry start to April now...not super chilly either.Models have changed quite a bit the last few days. Looks like very little rain in western WA...little more down in OR but not much on the GFS or EURO.

That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

 

And of course our precip deficits are just going to keep growing down here, moving into April. The big snows for the mountains was the biggest benefit of this troughy period.

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Saturday looks pretty wet and cool from PDX south. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

 

Even Salem only got down to 40 this morning, which was kind of weird. Was 32 with a fresh dusting when I got up at 7a. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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GFS looks pretty dry. Not too warm IMO. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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GFS looks pretty dry. Not too warm IMO.

That will be the next shift the models take.

 

I was just thinking how similarly the last two Aprils (2018 and 2019) started out. Mild and wet. Maybe we are on a different path this year.

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That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

And of course our precip deficits are just going to keep growing down here, moving into April. The big snows for the mountains was the biggest benefit of this troughy period.

yeah I was hoping for some more rain and cooler weather here as well :/. Oh well should be some good social distancing kayaking Next week.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Still liking Portland’s chances of hitting their first 70 of the year/season next Wednesday.

 

Yeah, still a lot of ensemble spread later next week. Plus this weekend should be chilly with the ULL in Oregon. 

 

Can I also add that Jim is the WORST jinx on the planet for cold anomalies. If we could just get that guy to put a sock in it we might be able to pull off a cold spring. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Moderate snow and 35 now after briefly bumping up to 40. A day or two of sunshine with highs in the low 60s wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Moderate snow and 35 now after briefly bumping up to 40. A day or two of sunshine with highs in the low 60s wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.

I agree. But we all know how a few days of sun and warmth usually turns into a few weeks around here. Then we will be bumping up against our April 20th start of summer.

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Euro goes nuts with warmth late next week. Potential for a few days well into the 70s.

 

Didn't PDX get close to 90 in April a few years back? 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I agree. But we all know how a few days of sun and warmth usually turns into a few weeks around here. Then we will be bumping up against our April 20th start of summer.

 

Yeah, but almost impossible to get through April without almost some warmth. Even April 2008 had some warm weather early in the month if I recall correctly. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yeah, still a lot of ensemble spread later next week. Plus this weekend should be chilly with the ULL in Oregon. 

 

Can I also add that Jim is the WORST jinx on the planet for cold anomalies. If we could just get that guy to put a sock in it we might be able to pull off a cold spring. 

 

 

I was going to mention that having Jim exclaim excitedly with OMG and HOLY CRAP about something cold in the models is the best news because it means it won't happen.   ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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