Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 12 EPS out through day 9... slight eastward shift compared to 00Z run. Looks really cold in the Midwest and NE. Looks like a stretch of drier than normal weather coming up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 Roseburg may have just had a thunderstorm... Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 Roseburg may have just had a thunderstorm... Roseburg accomplished interesting weather that isn’t heat? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 South Willamette Valley firing up! 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 Do these summers tend to produce thunderstorms, or are we in for a boring summer after a boring winter?I don’t know. That’s outside my knowledge base. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 I don’t know. That’s outside my knowledge base. List a year that this summer would resemble, I can tell you more. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 5, 2020 Report Share Posted April 5, 2020 List a year that this summer would resemble, I can tell you more. He said 2010-12. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 I don’t know. That’s outside my knowledge base. Thanks for answering and also for giving us a seasonal forecast. Of course, there's a ton of factors that go into it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 He said 2010-12.Well I don’t know I’d use those analogs verbatim. But I’m leaning towards dry-biased/wide ITCZ “cold phase” years, and the most recent cold phase was 2008-12. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Do these summers tend to produce thunderstorms, or are we in for a boring summer after a boring winter?Weather will not be boring here the next 4 days, especially tomorrow. It seems we have become what PNW used to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Weather will not be boring here the next 4 days, especially tomorrow. It seems we have become what PNW used to be.You’re turning into the PNW because you are getting a little rain and Sierra snow after one of the driest winters ever in some spots? Yeah, no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Southern California had more rain than Northern California during meteorological winter, but ever since we had to start working from home on March 12 because of coronavirus, there's been much more rain than normal and just 3 warm days. Only 2 of those were mostly sunny. Normally about 25% to 50% of winter days are sunny here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 That is not water temps. Oh yeah I realize it wasn’t water temps but persistent GOA ridging and lack of storms in the spring/summer will lead to the blob resurfacing over time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Also, it’s looking more and more likely that we’ll transition to a pretty good Nina next fall/winter. In fact, we are on the downward trend right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Weather will not be boring here the next 4 days, especially tomorrow. It seems we have become what PNW used to be.We just had 2 weeks of storms and rain and cold and frequent hail and snow showers in many places. Used to be? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Southern California had more rain than Northern California during meteorological winter, but ever since we had to start working from home on March 12 because of coronavirus, there's been much more rain than normal and just 3 warm days. Only 2 of those were mostly sunny. Normally about 25% to 50% of winter days are sunny here.Wrong thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Weather will not be boring here the next 4 days, especially tomorrow. It seems we have become what PNW used to be. Southern California had more rain than Northern California during meteorological winter, but ever since we had to start working from home on March 12 because of coronavirus, there's been much more rain than normal and just 3 warm days. Only 2 of those were mostly sunny. Normally about 25% to 50% of winter days are sunny here. John Wayne Airport has had 7 days in 2020 so far with negative temperature departures. Out of 95. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 John Wayne Airport has had 7 days in 2020 so far with negative temperature departures. Out of 95. The very idea that the temperature could fall below 50 anywhere on the planet is deeply disturbing to him. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Another boring as watching paint dry GFS run. Would be pretty unusual to have things start drying out for the warm season this early on, which leads me to believe we will have a wetter period at some point later April into May. Hopefully a significant one. Although I thought the same thing after the very dry February through mid-March, and the "make up" for that over the last few weeks didn't even get us close to average. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Another boring as watching paint dry GFS run. Would be pretty unusual to have things start drying out for the warm season this early on, which leads me to believe we will have a wetter period at some point later April into May. Hopefully a significant one. Although I thought the same thing after the very dry February through mid-March, and the "make up" for that over the last few weeks didn't even get us close average. I am pretty sure there will be a wet period with undercutting probably later next week... that is usually better for producing widespread rain than cold troughing or NW flow. But... if this current regime holds true to form then it will be significantly wetter than normal to the north and east of Seattle and drier than normal down there. Because that is the only good bet with any wet period lately. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 61/40 here today. A coolish east winds held afternoon temps down. There were also some scenic puffy clouds around and some signs of convection to the south. All in all a very pretty day. Wish we could enjoy 2-3 of these and then know more rain is on the way but that’s not how it looks to work out this go around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Over 3.5 feet of rain here in 2020 so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 00Z GFS ensemble mean is much warmer than previous runs. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 John Wayne Airport has had 7 days in 2020 so far with negative temperature departures. Out of 95.That's because of cloudy nights which stay warm enough to cancel out the below normal daytime temperatures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Over 3.5 feet of rain here in 2020 so far.I’m going to bring up stats about my area again in response to this since every post on this forum must be about me in some way. That is a lot of rain though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 I’m going to bring up stats about my area again in response to this since every post on this forum must be about me in some way.You are very PDX focused. If it doesn't happen there then it didn't happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 I’m going to bring up stats about my area again in response to this since every post on this forum must be about me in some way.Go for it! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Moon is getting pretty close to full tonight. One reason I was looking forward to some clearer weather the next few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Looking forward to seeing the Euro lay a total egg soon. On second thought I might not stay up for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 00Z ECMWF was farther west with the trough on Saturday and showed some rain that day. lt seems like its quite common for the models to switch positions after they come to agreement. 00Z EPS was a little farther west with the cold air over the weekend and beyond as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Government Camp. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Frosty! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Been 46F since midnight. Cloudy but dry right now. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Low of 37 this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 31F. Chilly and frosty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Had a frosty low of 32. Warming up quickly now, up to 39/sunny and for the first time it really smells like spring outside, very exciting! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Moon is getting pretty close to full tonight. One reason I was looking forward to some clearer weather the next few days.This is the brightest full moon of the year, right? IIRC it’s called a pink moon or something like that in the folklore. For the spring flowers, I guess. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2020 Report Share Posted April 6, 2020 Had a frosty low of 32. Warming up quickly now, up to 39/sunny and for the first time it really smells like spring outside, very exciting! Totally sunny here now and warming up fast. I mowed the lawn this weekend and the air still smells like cut grass outside... love that smell. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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