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Yeah... but on the upside it looks great down in CA. Soil moisture and snowpack is still much lower than average down there.

 

Southern Oregon and California definitely do well with that ULL pattern.

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Some rainfall predictions for the next 7-10 days.   Most lowlands locations 1-2 inches Mossman’s house 6-8” Tim’s house. 30-40”. Tim will report he can hear the rain pounding on his roof at least on

Looks like OLM achieved a new late season record low this morning with a low of 23.   Low of 31 here, but no frost since the air is so dry. One of my later freezes in memory.

Pretty interesting.

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Pretty insane cold on the 0z GFS tonight.  Looks like we are going to put up some big minus departures even in the short term.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 38

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Usually I can pin the topics, but I don't see the option for that here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 38

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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00z GFS hi-res 10 Day Rainfall Totals

 

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

 

Fairly dry and cold it appears.

 

I'm going with widespread -2.5 to -3.5 departures for the monthly averages.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 38

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Fairly dry and cold it appears.

 

I'm going with widespread -2.5 to -3.5 departures for the monthly averages.

Dude. It’s April 1. And models have generally trended way warmer for next week than what they were showing a few days ago.

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Down to 31 degrees.

 

35 here.  I always seem to have a slower drop through the night instead of very fast early like a lot of people on here have.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 38

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Dude. It’s April 1. And models have generally trended way warmer for next week than what they were showing a few days ago.

 

It looks cold to me.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 38

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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I have no idea.....

 

Let me go look.

42.6... This place sucks.. Dumb 11:45 PM Death Ridges

 

This is NOT cold enough for socks!©Rob 2020

 

also © are

"Cold enough for socks!" ©Rob 2019

"Think Cold and SNOW!!!! ©Rob 2016?

"C'MON!!!!" © 1972 (BIRTH)

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41F out there with some occasional rain.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Just checked the updated Cedar Lake station stats in my area. March ended up close to normal (still missing the last day)... but still a little below normal:

 

cl.png

 

 

But it was WAY wetter than last March. Also pretty crazy that there has been over 52 inches of rain so far this year... compared to just 20.01 inches to this point last year. We have already received 64% of the entire total for 2019 in just 3 months. 2020 has been seriously wet around here. As you can see... April has been very wet compared to normal the last 3 years. It will be interesting to see if we break that streak this year.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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00Z EPS was warmer than the previous run in the 5-10 and 10-15 day periods... but still seems like later next week is a possible period that the models could vary wildly again so I am not trusting anything right now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Weekend still looking decent for western WA per the 06Z ECMWF... in fact Sunday afternoon might be a little warmer than normal.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-conus-t2m-f-anom-613

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Looks like a pretty dry start to April now...not super chilly either.Models have changed quite a bit the last few days. Looks like very little rain in western WA...little more down in OR but not much on the GFS or EURO.

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-16

Monthly rainfall-0.82”

Cold season rainfall-32.91”

Snowfall-15.5”

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Are these ratios still accurate in mid-April?

 

gfs_asnow_nwus_65.png

If the snow falls during the night then yes. If it's during the day it will be almost nothing at lower elevations. Even here in Tahoe it is hard to get accumulating snow during the daytime this late in the season at 6300' 

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Looks like a pretty dry start to April now...not super chilly either.Models have changed quite a bit the last few days. Looks like very little rain in western WA...little more down in OR but not much on the GFS or EURO.

That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

 

And of course our precip deficits are just going to keep growing down here, moving into April. The big snows for the mountains was the biggest benefit of this troughy period.

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Saturday looks pretty wet and cool from PDX south. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 10.5"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

 

Even Salem only got down to 40 this morning, which was kind of weird. Was 32 with a fresh dusting when I got up at 7a. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 10.5"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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GFS looks pretty dry. Not too warm IMO. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 10.5"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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GFS looks pretty dry. Not too warm IMO.

That will be the next shift the models take.

 

I was just thinking how similarly the last two Aprils (2018 and 2019) started out. Mild and wet. Maybe we are on a different path this year.

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That’s what happens when people count their chickens before they hatch. All in all this troughy period has been pretty underwhelming in terms of temps. PDX hasn’t even gotten below 40.

And of course our precip deficits are just going to keep growing down here, moving into April. The big snows for the mountains was the biggest benefit of this troughy period.

yeah I was hoping for some more rain and cooler weather here as well :/. Oh well should be some good social distancing kayaking Next week.

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-16

Monthly rainfall-0.82”

Cold season rainfall-32.91”

Snowfall-15.5”

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Euro is way further north with precip Sunday afternoon and night. I definitely am liking that trend.

 

Shows a nice deformation zone forming right over the Portland area.

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