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Some rainfall predictions for the next 7-10 days.   Most lowlands locations 1-2 inches Mossman’s house 6-8” Tim’s house. 30-40”. Tim will report he can hear the rain pounding on his roof at least on

Looks like OLM achieved a new late season record low this morning with a low of 23.   Low of 31 here, but no frost since the air is so dry. One of my later freezes in memory.

Pretty interesting.

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Still liking Portland’s chances of hitting their first 70 of the year/season next Wednesday.

 

Yeah, still a lot of ensemble spread later next week. Plus this weekend should be chilly with the ULL in Oregon. 

 

Can I also add that Jim is the WORST jinx on the planet for cold anomalies. If we could just get that guy to put a sock in it we might be able to pull off a cold spring. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Moderate snow and 35 now after briefly bumping up to 40. A day or two of sunshine with highs in the low 60s wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Moderate snow and 35 now after briefly bumping up to 40. A day or two of sunshine with highs in the low 60s wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.

I agree. But we all know how a few days of sun and warmth usually turns into a few weeks around here. Then we will be bumping up against our April 20th start of summer.

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Euro goes nuts with warmth late next week. Potential for a few days well into the 70s.

 

Didn't PDX get close to 90 in April a few years back? 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I agree. But we all know how a few days of sun and warmth usually turns into a few weeks around here. Then we will be bumping up against our April 20th start of summer.

 

Yeah, but almost impossible to get through April without almost some warmth. Even April 2008 had some warm weather early in the month if I recall correctly. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Yeah, still a lot of ensemble spread later next week. Plus this weekend should be chilly with the ULL in Oregon. 

 

Can I also add that Jim is the WORST jinx on the planet for cold anomalies. If we could just get that guy to put a sock in it we might be able to pull off a cold spring. 

 

 

I was going to mention that having Jim exclaim excitedly with OMG and HOLY CRAP about something cold in the models is the best news because it means it won't happen.   ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Yeah, but almost impossible to get through April without almost some warmth. Even April 2008 had some warm weather early in the month if I recall correctly.

There was a 2-3 day spike well into the upper 70s that was bookended with cold and rainy weather with highs in the low 50s.

 

I remember that progression well since we were camped on the lower Rogue River during the height of the warmth. Was in the low 80s down there at the warmest. Then there was snow falling in the Siskiyous by the time we headed home. Great trip.

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Even cold springs can have warm ups after cool downs.

 

Thanks to everyone helping to keep Jesse off the virtual ledge. Now more than ever.

Yeah I’m just super upset right now

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Didn't PDX get close to 90 in April a few years back?

April 2016 got close a few times. Closest thing I’ve seen to April behaving as a summer month. Still didn’t get close to 1926 though, which takes the cake for warmest April ever in the Portland area.

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Most signs do not point to an April 2016 redux. Though in the grand scheme of things that would seem to be the least of our worries. We are also coming off back to back cooler than average months for much of the reason. We were not in 2016.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Good news for warm weather fans... the 12Z EPS is way warmer than its last 2 runs at least for later next week.   

 

And it looks like the operational run through day 10... long range has not finished yet.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10-15 day period on the 12Z EPS is also warm... and has trended warmer than previous runs.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I wonder how Jim will decide to put lipstick on this pig.

 

 

Like with politics... he has amazing 'blinder' powers.     He will just ignore it.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Like with politics... he has amazing 'blinder' powers.     He will just ignore it.  

 

Only thing that can fix it is if we issue him and you lifetime bans. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Yeah, but almost impossible to get through April without almost some warmth. Even April 2008 had some warm weather early in the month if I recall correctly.

 

April 2008 was crazy...4/12 was a 75/44 day...6 days later we had 3 inches of snow. Warmed up into the mid 60s again a week later.

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.26”

Cold season rainfall-32.08”

Snowfall-15.5”

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Only thing that can fix it is if we issue him and you lifetime bans.

I jinx warm all the time... you should keep me. :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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We could warm into the mid 60s here next week...would be the warmest we’ve been since early October. Looks nice starting Sunday.

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.26”

Cold season rainfall-32.08”

Snowfall-15.5”

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I was beginning to worry. But that April warm up call is looking good.

 

April could end up even warmer than March at this point. Not gonna bite on that quite yet but time will tell.

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The only good thing I can say about things right now is that it seems like the EPS has been following the operational around a lot more than usual lately.

 

Hopefully there is still some room for some big swings in the future, like we saw for this week. There was very good agreement from both the operational Euro and EPS that this week would be dry and mild for several runs last week.

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The only good thing I can say about things right now is that it seems like the EPS has been following the operational around a lot more than usual lately.

 

Hopefully there is still some room for some big swings in the future, like we saw for this week. There was very good agreement from both the operational Euro and EPS that this week would be dry and mild for several runs last week.

 

Are you talking to Andrew?   I think most people would like to see sun and warmer weather... even many people on here.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Snowing and 37. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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GFS keeps showing the trough carving back west later next week. This has happened many times since last fall and the GFS has led the way with that idea. The ECMWF will turn colder on future runs.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Are you talking to Andrew? I think most people would like to see sun and warmer weather... even many people on here.

Covid is keeping everyone inside anyways. It’s not like you’re missing out on jet-skiing & BBQ parties.

 

Troughing is always preferable, but especially now.

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Covid is keeping everyone inside anyway. It’s not like you’re missing out on jet-skiing.

 

Troughing is always preferable, but especially now.

No sir.

 

Being in the yard and gardening in sun and warm weather would be very therapeutic for many people.

 

And I don't give a flying sh*t about your DC humidity issues.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Crazy stats confirmed today for SEA. March average temp was colder than January’s. Pretty crazy given the amount of daylight increase this time of year.

 

 

Yeah... January was well above normal and March was well below normal.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Crazy stats confirmed today for SEA. March average temp was colder than January’s. Pretty crazy given the amount of daylight increase this time of year.

Cool down after a warm up...

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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43/32 here today. Nice early April day.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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You are correct. It's happened before in 1953, 1955, 1967, 1976, and 2006.

 

Yeah, Salem did it too. 4th time in 128 years there. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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47 / 32 here today.  Well below normal.  The next couple of days look chilly as well.  After that warmer days, but cold nights away from the big cities.  We're still waiting for the models to get a handle on the possible cold trough later next week.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 35

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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50/40 day today. Models sure look dry...especially in the lowlands from Olympia north. Probably will be little to no rain the next week if the models verify. March did have more rainfall than 2018 and 2019 combined at 3.90” which is roughly an inch below average.

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.26”

Cold season rainfall-32.08”

Snowfall-15.5”

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