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Easter Sunday Winter Storm???


Tom

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00z UK has a better phase.  It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward.

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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00z UK has a better phase.  It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward.

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

Wow and  thought the GEM was bad for eastern Nebraska, then you post this! Lol.

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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00z UK has a better phase.  It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward.

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

Really bombs the low as well

 

970 in MI and sub 980 in IN

 

Also looks like a huge tornado outbreak possible in the Deep South. Some of the soundings in LA/MS/AL are insane and covers a lot of area

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Not saying this will play out but here is part of today's discussion from GRR.

 

"-VERY SIGNIFICANT SPRING STORM EASTER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY--  

 
WITH VERY GOOD MODEL CONTINUITY FOR THIS EVENT, WE ARE THINKING  
A HIGH WIND WARNING MONDAY IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE  
GEFS-M-CLIMATE RETURN INTERVAL FOR THE BELOW 980 MB LOW CENTER,  
FORECAST TO BE OVER LAKE HURON BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, IS OUTSIDE  
THE 30 YEAR CLIMATE PERIOD (THAT MEANS A SYSTEM THAT DEEP HAS NOT  
HAPPENED IN THE PAST 30 YEARS IN THAT AREA, AT THIS TIME OF  
YEAR). THE ECMWF 00Z RUN IS SHOWING WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS IN THE  
50 TO 60 MPH RANGE MONDAY AFTERNOON. IT HAS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE  
WIND GUSTS OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON. THE ECMWF 18Z ENSEMBLE MEAN  
SUPPORTS THE WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH MONDAY."

 

If this plays out we would be looking a massive spring storm, more like a November type storm. Will have to look and see where the April 30th 1984 storm ended up being that would be one to look at.

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NWS Hastings says a Winter Storm Watch may be issued later today. NAM showing heavy bands through Nebraska. With potential 50 mph wind gusts, Easter Sunday looks very interesting. Preliminary amounts upwards of 4” in the area. Could be higher and lower amounts based on melting and snow bands. Will be tough to measure.

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...Heavy Snow Expected Sunday into Monday...

 

.Heavy snow is expected to fall across parts of the area on

Sunday into Monday. Snowfall rates of an inch per hour or higher

appear possible Sunday afternoon and evening allowing the snow to

quickly accumulate. The chance for snowfall amounts of 6 inches or

more appears highest from southern and east central Minnesota

into west central Wisconsin. In addition, this will likely be a

heavy, wet snow. Some tree damage and power outages could occur.

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It's not looking like much snow here.  That's ok.  I already have to cover some plants several times next week.  Snow on the ground would only make it more difficult/tedious.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I'm afraid the real issue and headlines with this storm will not be the snow and winter weather but what is shaping up to be a major tornado outbreak in the South.  State, county and local governments should communicate to citizens that shelter at home and social distancing orders can and should be ignored if your life is in immanent danger.  I'd much rather take my chances with contracting the coronavirus than riding out an EF5 tornado in an inadequate shelter if it comes down to that choice!  

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Winter storm watch expanded and now includes the entire TC metro. 4-8” expected with potential for higher amounts but also a very high bust probability on the NW side. Personally I think the convection down south is going to throw a huge wrench into how things play out up here.

I don't necessarily think its the convection, but moreso has to do with the nature of this storm bombing out and wrapping up later rather than earlier.  It doesn't really phase with the northern energy until its in the eastern GL's.  Nonetheless, a spectacular showcasing of what nature can do so late in the season.  Prob going to come close to setting Top 5 record low pressures around the GL's and some nasty winds!

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