Craig-OmahaWX Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Wow, definitely not liking the GEM model tonight. Its probably the furthest north out of all models. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 00z UK has a better phase. It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 00z UK has a better phase. It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward. Wow and thought the GEM was bad for eastern Nebraska, then you post this! Lol. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 00z UK has a better phase. It still has the lead northern band of snow, but now shows a second defo zone band firing over eastern Iowa and lifting northeastward. Really bombs the low as well 970 in MI and sub 980 in IN Also looks like a huge tornado outbreak possible in the Deep South. Some of the soundings in LA/MS/AL are insane and covers a lot of area 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 72 hours out and there’s already 90 on the SEEF tornado ingredient parameters that’s impressive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Wow and thought the GEM was bad for eastern Nebraska, then you post this! Lol.Ope Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Not saying this will play out but here is part of today's discussion from GRR. "-VERY SIGNIFICANT SPRING STORM EASTER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY-- WITH VERY GOOD MODEL CONTINUITY FOR THIS EVENT, WE ARE THINKING A HIGH WIND WARNING MONDAY IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE GEFS-M-CLIMATE RETURN INTERVAL FOR THE BELOW 980 MB LOW CENTER, FORECAST TO BE OVER LAKE HURON BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, IS OUTSIDE THE 30 YEAR CLIMATE PERIOD (THAT MEANS A SYSTEM THAT DEEP HAS NOT HAPPENED IN THE PAST 30 YEARS IN THAT AREA, AT THIS TIME OF YEAR). THE ECMWF 00Z RUN IS SHOWING WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE MONDAY AFTERNOON. IT HAS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON. THE ECMWF 18Z ENSEMBLE MEAN SUPPORTS THE WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH MONDAY." If this plays out we would be looking a massive spring storm, more like a November type storm. Will have to look and see where the April 30th 1984 storm ended up being that would be one to look at. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 OK here is the reported hourly weather for Grand Rapids on April 30, 1984 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/mi/grand-rapids/KGRR/date/1984-4-30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Take half of what the models are showing in terms of snowfall just to be more realistic, and then cut it in half again if convection breaks out in the South. Could definitely rob moisture from the cold sector of the storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 I see the overnight globals ticked southwest, except the Euro. Rochester crusher. NAMs showing nice hits too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 00z Euro/EPS with a jump NW overnight...seeing a lot of wound up members. The difference between the EPS vs GEFS/GEPS at this range is shaping up to be an interesting battle. Who wins?? 00z GEFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Yes please!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 12z NAMs with an apparent left blinker on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 12z NAMs with an apparent left blinker on.There he is! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 There he is!Don’t worry. I’ll still be tracking this when it smashes your back yard. Rooting for you buddy. I’m hoping this stays south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 NWS Hastings says a Winter Storm Watch may be issued later today. NAM showing heavy bands through Nebraska. With potential 50 mph wind gusts, Easter Sunday looks very interesting. Preliminary amounts upwards of 4” in the area. Could be higher and lower amounts based on melting and snow bands. Will be tough to measure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Not liking the NW jump although I've been expecting it. Really do NOT want a cold rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Omaha going w 1-2” for here. Just like the rest of this god awful winter. Even more annoying is this is happening in April with freezes that are killing my plants. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Does anyone have a snowfall map from 12z GFS? Track looks pretty good for mby but changeover could be an issue. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Does anyone have a snowfall map from 12z GFS? Track looks pretty good for mby but changeover could be an issue.https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020041012&fh=120&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_mw&p=snku_acc&m=gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020041012&fh=120&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_mw&p=snku_acc&m=gfsThanks! Looks like a slop fest for me. Heavier stuff just to my north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Ukie trending NW. Hope the Euro doesn’t follow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 And the Euro followed. So the GFS is either going to score a coup to end the season, or it’s going to crash and burn again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Wind storm! this will devastate Lake Mi shoreline even more... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Knew it was gonna happen. I would MUCH rather have a snowstorm than cold rain but I guess that's how it is. Sucks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Watches goin up. Another near miss for me. Common theme from last fall already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 ...Heavy Snow Expected Sunday into Monday... .Heavy snow is expected to fall across parts of the area onSunday into Monday. Snowfall rates of an inch per hour or higherappear possible Sunday afternoon and evening allowing the snow toquickly accumulate. The chance for snowfall amounts of 6 inches ormore appears highest from southern and east central Minnesotainto west central Wisconsin. In addition, this will likely be aheavy, wet snow. Some tree damage and power outages could occur. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted April 10, 2020 Report Share Posted April 10, 2020 Right on the edge of the WSW and the high wind warning. So close to a blizzard. As much as I love snow. I'm done I want out. I want my windows open and shut the heat off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 It's not looking like much snow here. That's ok. I already have to cover some plants several times next week. Snow on the ground would only make it more difficult/tedious. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 NAMs coming in a tick south. Lock it in. Rochester smash job. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SE Wisconsin Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 I'm afraid the real issue and headlines with this storm will not be the snow and winter weather but what is shaping up to be a major tornado outbreak in the South. State, county and local governments should communicate to citizens that shelter at home and social distancing orders can and should be ignored if your life is in immanent danger. I'd much rather take my chances with contracting the coronavirus than riding out an EF5 tornado in an inadequate shelter if it comes down to that choice! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Well, not much to really write here. Same theme all winter for it to miss the Omaha local area lol. Hopefully we can squeeze out 1-3 inches. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Well, not much to really write here. Same theme all winter for it to miss the Omaha local area lol. Hopefully we can squeeze out 1-3 inches.I think it’s time to officially put the 2019-20 Winter Season to bed after yet another light, nuisance snowfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Still going to GI on Sunday so should see some action there, but would be nice to add to the sad Lincoln winter lol Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Winter storm watch expanded and now includes the entire TC metro. 4-8” expected with potential for higher amounts but also a very high bust probability on the NW side. Personally I think the convection down south is going to throw a huge wrench into how things play out up here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Wide range of possibilities Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Winter storm watch expanded and now includes the entire TC metro. 4-8” expected with potential for higher amounts but also a very high bust probability on the NW side. Personally I think the convection down south is going to throw a huge wrench into how things play out up here.I don't necessarily think its the convection, but moreso has to do with the nature of this storm bombing out and wrapping up later rather than earlier. It doesn't really phase with the northern energy until its in the eastern GL's. Nonetheless, a spectacular showcasing of what nature can do so late in the season. Prob going to come close to setting Top 5 record low pressures around the GL's and some nasty winds! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 11, 2020 Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 Good luck SPS! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 00z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2020 00z EPS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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