Jump to content

4/16 & 4/17 Spring Teaser Snow


Minny_Weather

Recommended Posts

From DMX

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 9
inches anticipated with the higher amounts in far southern
Iowa. Isolated higher amounts possible. Visibility restrictions
are possible due to 10 to 20 mph east northeast winds Thursday.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NWS Omaha tweeted not too long ago, "The pieces are coming together regarding tomorrow's snow forecast / in short - Expect some significant changes to the forecast / Look for an updated snow forecast in next hour or so / More of you than originally forecast may see this tomorrow!" (picture of a snowplow) 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just watch someone in southern Iowa get more snow from this quick-moving mid-April system than I've ever received from any storm in my lifetime.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From DVN

 

 

Forecast sounding profiles are quite cold considering it's mid
April and indicate that snow would be the dominate precip type.
One exception may be across the far southern tier of counties
where 850mb temps could eclipse 0 C. Here, a period of rain or a
rain/snow mix is possible which would greatly lower total snow
accumulations. A little further north, mostly snow is anticipated.
Some of which could become heavy with rates peaking near 1"/hr
due to the strong forcing and presence of elevated instability per
steep mid-level lapse rates. Snow ratios are tricky with a strong
omega signal at times in the DGZ but countered by a warming
lower troposphere (850mb temps between 0 to -3 C).

Used snow ratios near 8 to 10:1 because this event should consist
of fairly wet snow with near freezing surface-850mb temps. Our
current forecast, based on a model weighted blend, has the
heaviest snow band setting up slightly south of the Quad Cities
with a range of 4 to 7 inches. There is plenty of time for
adjustments on the exact north/south placement of the band. And if
any mesoscale convective elements develop, isolated higher
amounts would be possible. North and south of where the heavy band
sets up, amounts will drop off to 1-3 inches.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Warning wording for Lincoln and SW IA saying heavy snow with 5-8". That escalated quickly....I missed seeing those kind of headlines. Unfortunately this is going to have high bust potential. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NOAA:

Another vigorous shortwave is then forecast to sweep into the Ohio
Valley and southern Great Lakes late Thursday night into Friday and
bring additional snow accumulations (particularly over southern parts
of the forecast area again). The main longwave trough feature, and
shortwaves translating through it, is currently digging through the
Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies.

As this energy ejects east into the vicinity, expect weak
cyclogenesis to the south/southwest of the area and an expanding
area of FGEN forcing which should lift north into parts of the
forecast area. Model trends into today have been for a more northern
track with 12z consensus maintaining the northern portion of the
forcing over far southern lower MI. At this time, it seems
reasonable that a couple of inches of wet snow will fall from
roughly I-94 south starting in the pre-dawn hours and persisting
though the morning into early afternoon. Any further jog north would
suggest higher totals yet, so trends in the track of this system
will have to be monitored closely.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21z rap showed not much for eastern Nebraska (looked alot like the euro, warmer)

OAX might’ve pulled the trigger too early. So I guess 18 hours in advance is too early LOL

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 1

      March 31st - April 2nd Potent Plains Storm

    2. 5707

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    3. 375

      March 2024 Observations and Discussion

    4. 5707

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    5. 5707

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...