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4/16 & 4/17 Spring Teaser Snow


Minny_Weather

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NAM looks pretty good to me! Omaha and Lincoln 8-10" with 10:1 ratios.Ā 

Ā 

Actually turns out better than I thought it would but still a decent shift south with lower totals in the bullseye

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"Ā  Ā 2018-19: 55.5"Ā  Ā 2019-20: 17.6"Ā  Ā 2020-21: 49.4"Ā  Ā 2021-22: 5.1"Ā šŸ¤®

Average: 26"

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The southern two tiers of Iowa counties is the place to be.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"Ā  Ā  Ā  '21-22: 27.1"Ā  Ā  Ā  '20-21: 52.5"Ā  Ā  Ā  '19-20: 36.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '18-19: 50.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Anything south of 80 in Iowa is looking good.Ā  Right along 80 (I live less than 4 miles from I80) is the battle zone.Ā  Moderate accumulations may be possible along 80, but we'd need a solid 30 to 40 mile shift north to get into the real heavy stuff.Ā Ā 

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I'll ride the wwa 3-5 if we get the rates posted. Jim Flowers going that route too. Either way alot of compacted snow. I want to believe the Nam but been way off this year.

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Best hope is to be under that narrow rippage band, even moderate snow will have trouble accumulating. There's going to be a lot of un happy people tomorrow, I'll probably be one of themĀ  :lol:

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"Ā  Ā 2018-19: 55.5"Ā  Ā 2019-20: 17.6"Ā  Ā 2020-21: 49.4"Ā  Ā 2021-22: 5.1"Ā šŸ¤®

Average: 26"

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Best hope is to be under that narrow rippage band, even moderate snow will have trouble accumulating. There's going to be a lot of un happy people tomorrow, I'll probably be one of themĀ  :lol:

Yeah. Going to be cold wet day regardless. I'll laugh if we get a change up and get our biggest snowfall of the year in mid-april.

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Southern Iowa will have more 8" snowstorms in the past 2 seasons than I've had in the past at least 5 years.Ā  They've done quite well in southern Iowa the past 2 seasons.Ā  Hard to believe a snowstorm missing me to the south on April 16th.Ā  I kept hoping for a north shift, but even the NAM is now abandoning me. LOL.Ā  Oh well.Ā  Bring on real spring please.Ā 

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Even with all of the late season snow seemingly falling nearby from time to time, Topeka's last measurable snowfall was February 12 (2.7") over two months ago. Looks like this event will largely miss us, too.

23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

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There is already a 5.5" snow total well south of Des Moines in Iowa, and that is just from a little weak wave early this morning.Ā  Seriously, a weak-a** little mid-April wave dropped more snow than I received from any storm all winter.Ā Ā 

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"Ā  Ā  Ā  '21-22: 27.1"Ā  Ā  Ā  '20-21: 52.5"Ā  Ā  Ā  '19-20: 36.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '18-19: 50.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Southern Iowa will have more 8" snowstorms in the past 2 seasons than I've had in the past at least 5 years.Ā  They've done quite well in southern Iowa the past 2 seasons.Ā  Hard to believe a snowstorm missing me to the south on April 16th.

Ā 

Yes.Ā  Southern Iowa has been nailed by several sneaky, big snowstorms in recent years.Ā  It doesn't seem fair when we struggle to break free from the 3-5" chains every year.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"Ā  Ā  Ā  '21-22: 27.1"Ā  Ā  Ā  '20-21: 52.5"Ā  Ā  Ā  '19-20: 36.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '18-19: 50.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I think that is the best GFS run so far for Cedar Rapids.Ā  We may get 1+" out of this.Ā  Of course, it will fall late at night like the last one.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"Ā  Ā  Ā  '21-22: 27.1"Ā  Ā  Ā  '20-21: 52.5"Ā  Ā  Ā  '19-20: 36.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '18-19: 50.2"Ā  Ā  Ā Ā '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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That's the best run of the GFS for my area yet. Snow has finally started falling in my area, had to fight off dry air earlier. Check out the clouds that rolled through my area last night; I can't take credit for the pictures they were taken by a friend of mine.Ā 

EVsZHGiWAAAkgk0.jpg

EVsZHGgXsAAtjAE.jpg

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First flakes here in Lincoln, guess we're about to find out which model wins. HRRR can be funky with p-type, but if we can't get lower than 33 it'll verify.Ā 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"Ā  Ā 2018-19: 55.5"Ā  Ā 2019-20: 17.6"Ā  Ā 2020-21: 49.4"Ā  Ā 2021-22: 5.1"Ā šŸ¤®

Average: 26"

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First flakes here in Lincoln, guess we're about to find out which model wins. HRRR can be funky with p-type, but if we can't get lower than 33 it'll verify.Ā 

Ā 

The HRRR and RAP are clearly having ptype/thermal issues.Ā  It has all rain at the onset of this for several hours before changing to snow.Ā  No other model is showing that.Ā Ā 

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