Jump to content
The Weather Forums

4/16 & 4/17 Spring Teaser Snow


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 225
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Wow, it is absolutely ripping down snow in my backyard in Southwest Omaha right now. Low visibility with fatties falling from the sky, with no wind. Getting the full snow globe effect outside right no

Dang heavy snow

About 8" here

Posted Images

I'll ride the wwa 3-5 if we get the rates posted. Jim Flowers going that route too. Either way alot of compacted snow. I want to believe the Nam but been way off this year.

 

Best hope is to be under that narrow rippage band, even moderate snow will have trouble accumulating. There's going to be a lot of un happy people tomorrow, I'll probably be one of them  :lol:

  • Like 1

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Best hope is to be under that narrow rippage band, even moderate snow will have trouble accumulating. There's going to be a lot of un happy people tomorrow, I'll probably be one of them  :lol:

Yeah. Going to be cold wet day regardless. I'll laugh if we get a change up and get our biggest snowfall of the year in mid-april.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Southern Iowa will have more 8" snowstorms in the past 2 seasons than I've had in the past at least 5 years.  They've done quite well in southern Iowa the past 2 seasons.  Hard to believe a snowstorm missing me to the south on April 16th.  I kept hoping for a north shift, but even the NAM is now abandoning me. LOL.  Oh well.  Bring on real spring please. 

  • Like 2

Season Snowfall: 39.5"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Even with all of the late season snow seemingly falling nearby from time to time, Topeka's last measurable snowfall was February 12 (2.7") over two months ago. Looks like this event will largely miss us, too.

  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace)
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+5.0)
Link to post
Share on other sites

3K NAM similar

Here's the whole run:

NAMNSTMW_prec_kuchsnow_043.png

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

There is already a 5.5" snow total well south of Des Moines in Iowa, and that is just from a little weak wave early this morning.  Seriously, a weak-a** little mid-April wave dropped more snow than I received from any storm all winter.  

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Southern Iowa will have more 8" snowstorms in the past 2 seasons than I've had in the past at least 5 years.  They've done quite well in southern Iowa the past 2 seasons.  Hard to believe a snowstorm missing me to the south on April 16th.

 

Yes.  Southern Iowa has been nailed by several sneaky, big snowstorms in recent years.  It doesn't seem fair when we struggle to break free from the 3-5" chains every year.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

I think that is the best GFS run so far for Cedar Rapids.  We may get 1+" out of this.  Of course, it will fall late at night like the last one.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

That's the best run of the GFS for my area yet. Snow has finally started falling in my area, had to fight off dry air earlier. Check out the clouds that rolled through my area last night; I can't take credit for the pictures they were taken by a friend of mine. 

EVsZHGiWAAAkgk0.jpg

EVsZHGgXsAAtjAE.jpg

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

First flakes here in Lincoln, guess we're about to find out which model wins. HRRR can be funky with p-type, but if we can't get lower than 33 it'll verify. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

First flakes here in Lincoln, guess we're about to find out which model wins. HRRR can be funky with p-type, but if we can't get lower than 33 it'll verify. 

 

The HRRR and RAP are clearly having ptype/thermal issues.  It has all rain at the onset of this for several hours before changing to snow.  No other model is showing that.  

Season Snowfall: 39.5"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Lincoln's dewpoint is 30º and Omaha's is 21º.  The precip should be snow.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Is it possible to tell if this storm is tracking further south or north than what models were showing? Seems to me like it could be tracking a bit further north  than expected.

This is actually going to be tricky because this first band sets the tone. The model play is the first band sits and then expands. It does look a touch north, but now thermals and dry air are the biggest factor. Dry air here is holding on but that band is expanding.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Update from OAX....

 

We're working on new snow accumulation expectations. There will still be heavy snow over southern half of the area, but it looks a bit too warm this afternoon to get 6" to stick in eastern Nebraska. Much will melt as it falls or lands. Ugh: Spring snow forecasts.

  • Like 1

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Warning remains, but wording is changed "additional accumulations of 2-5" when there hasn't even been any accumulation yet lol

  • Like 1

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Is it possible to tell if this storm is tracking further south or north than what models were showing? Seems to me like it could be tracking a bit further north  than expected.

Just my take on this but the last wave(yesterday) tracked further north and over performed more than modeled so I don't see this being any different.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Good luck getting appreciable accumulations for another couple hours out there in Nebraska with the sun angle. I'm worried about that here tomorrow as well.

  • Like 2

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Good luck getting appreciable accumulations for another couple hours out there in Nebraska with the sun angle. I'm worried about that here tomorrow as well.

 

Looks like another 33 degree event here with minimal accumulation. April sun angle sure doesn't help either. Coming down moderately now, pretty flakes but slap the ground like rain. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Didn't want this one anyway. The 2-3" hailers last week were much more my style

2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Finally have a dusting on cars/roofs/grass. Radar looks good and an MCD is out for 1-2"/hr rates. Still going to be under forecast, but maybe not a total bust. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

Link to post
Share on other sites

Snow records have been kept in Lincoln for 120 years. April has been the snowiest month in 2 out of those 120 years: 1992, and 1997.

  • Like 2

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

WWA hoisted for me.

 

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
332 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2020

...LATE SEASON SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY...

.Snow will move into the area from the west on Friday morning
ahead of low pressure tracking out of the Plains. The bulk of the
snow will fall in the Advisory area on Friday morning, before
temperatures warm into the mid 30s. Accumulations will be highest
on grassy and elevated surfaces given warmer ground temperatures.

OHZ003-006>009-017>019-171200-
/O.NEW.KCLE.WW.Y.0015.200417T0900Z-200417T2000Z/
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-
Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Port Clinton,
Fremont, Sandusky, Findlay, Tiffin, and Norwalk
332 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2020

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches.

* WHERE...Lucas, Wood, Ottawa, Sandusky, Erie, Hancock, Seneca and
Huron counties. The highest amounts will extend from Bowling
Green to Toledo and east to Sandusky.

* WHEN...From 5 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Roads may become snow covered, mainly on Friday
morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall amounts will be highest on grassy
and elevated surfaces. Temperatures will be in the lower 30s on
Friday morning and warm into the mid 30s by midday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

The latest HRRR has 0.20" of precip here tonight.  The timing, from 12-6am, is pretty ideal for max snow accumulation.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites

HRRR is very very warm for me, turning everything into rain right as the precip shield gets to me.

 

HRRRMW_prec_kuchsnow_034.png

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...