Niko Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 Not looking to warm up anytime soon......... Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 Attm, its a very cool 51F under mostly cloudy skies. Snowshowers possible by weeks end w highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s w record breaking cold on tap. Some locales to my north may not get outta the 30s for HIGHS by weeks end. Man, this blows! Okay, back to my Zoom Meetings! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 I forgot to post that I received 0.75” of rain Monday morning. Things are nice and green. Most trees have now budded, some are farther along than others. My trees are at about 50%. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 Models continue to show well below normal temps until about May 14th/15th time frame when things look to get back to around normal. Euro on 5/14 GFS on 5/15 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 I forgot to post that I received 0.75” of rain Monday morning. Things are nice and green. Most trees have now budded, some are farther along than others. My trees are at about 50%.I just hope the coldspell coming wont damage the leaf growth or perhaps create leaf problems, most importantly the succulent twigs on most trees. I have fruit trees on my property, so I am a little concern about that (although, I do plan on covering them). Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 0.40" so far today. I put down some top soil and grass seed yesterday evening so it was perfect timing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 5, 2020 Report Share Posted May 5, 2020 I just hope the coldspell coming wont damage the leaf growth or perhaps create leaf problems, most importantly the succulent twigs on most trees. I have fruit trees on my property, so I am a little concern about that (although, I do plan on covering them).NWS Hastings seems to think there will be several frost chances in the next week. However, wind and clouds might keep things into the mid 30’s. Around here I’ve never really seen much damage to trees due to late frosts, and we can have them into the 3rd week of May. I’m sure those with gardens will be covering them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 The models were certainly right to place the system/rain pivot point right over east-central Iowa. It has been raining since last night. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 GFS shows Cincy getting 2.5" of snow on Friday, May 8. The latest snowfall on record there is 0.2" on May 6. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 6, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 I see the word snow 2 times in the 7 day forecast. Small chances, but still. I can’t even get my grass to green up in spots yet. This cold weather needs to go away for good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 My rain total is 0.69". It was not heavy, but it lasted about 24 hours. We maxed out at 47º, so it was not pleasant. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 Thanks for the comments about my photos guys. I'm a spring type of guy and always look forward to storm season, but we were lacking those in April and that continues. Actually had better storms in March. In other news... the weather was crummy all day, but we needed the rain. I picked up about 0.16" till midnight last night with light rain and mist continuing practically all day, ending with a total of 0.72" by 8:00pm. Looks like the heaviest was just north and east of my location. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 42 and cloudy here at this time. Still looks like there could be a hard freeze here over the weekend and with lows in the lower 20's that would do a number on this years fruit crop in SW Michigan.That's not good. Spring is kind of a scary time for the orchard folks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 My rain total is 0.69". It was not heavy, but it lasted about 24 hours. We maxed out at 47º, so it was not pleasant.I figured you'd have more than me, but I guess it kept drizzling and adding up even when radar wasn't showing much since small droplets don't reflect well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 The sun is now up. The temperature here at my house is 34 but no frost here this AM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 The HEAT is ON! Another Excessive Heat Warning in place here today and tomorrow as some locations in the valley look to top out around 107F! Twilight is just being to emerge as the suns rays slowly lighten up the night sky. It's a very comfortable 68F right now....its amazing how volatile the temperature swings are here in the desert. Once the sun comes up, the temps will surge 30+ degrees...some places may see a 40 degree temp swing today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 Rather good model agreement that the pattern will be shifting towards a SW flow aloft by mid month allowing for a trough to build into the SW and usher in more warmth for the eastern Sub that has been stuck in an abysmal chilly pattern. It finally appears that it will cool down back to normal or even below normal for the desert regions. Low 90's will feel sooo much better. Hopefully by then the governor will open up the pools and gyms! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 Models continuing to show around the 14th for the pattern change into warmer weather. Both the Euro and GFS in agreement, but the GFS is several degrees warmer. The GFS even has dewpoints getting into the 70s in the very extended range. That would be great. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 Models continuing to show around the 14th for the pattern change into warmer weather. Both the Euro and GFS in agreement, but the GFS is several degrees warmer. The GFS even has dewpoints getting into the 70s in the very extended range. That would be great. That's going to feel tropical...rooting for ya'll to final break the trend of what has been a chilly past 30 days... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 The HEAT is ON! Another Excessive Heat Warning in place here today and tomorrow as some locations in the valley look to top out around 107F! Twilight is just being to emerge as the suns rays slowly lighten up the night sky. It's a very comfortable 68F right now....its amazing how volatile the temperature swings are here in the desert. Once the sun comes up, the temps will surge 30+ degrees...some places may see a 40 degree temp swing today. Apparently Chicago has moved to NE Ontario? It is a silly mistake/typo, but still.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 This could be a tough weekend for the area fruit farmers and for us the consumers later in the year. The NWS is still thinking that the lows could be in the low to mid 20’s this weekend and even some upper teens look to be in play. The critical temperatures are 28 and below for a lot damage and if it gets below 24 for several hours it could be nearly complete damage to most fruit for this year. It looks like to our north the colder April has held back the budding and thus there looks to be less chance of any major damage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 6, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 The Euro says, Happy Mother’s Day! My wife will NOT be a happy mom if this verifies... Edit: GFS says, let’s do it. Yikes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 6, 2020 Report Share Posted May 6, 2020 Euro has now backed off on the warmup in the long term. Only gets temps in the low 60s now on the 14th and 15th. Hopefully that's an aberration. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Torching today...tied a record with temps hitting 106F...another hot one mañana befor we see temps step ladder down into the 90’s, maybe low 90’s mid next week??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Little chilly in the northwoods and only getting chillier! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 It is clear and 39 here at this time. While in the SW it is going to be record heat here in the Great Lakes that is not going to be the case. This is from this mornings GRR discussion and it is not pretty"TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S AREA WIDE. FRUIT TREES IN OUR SOUTHWEST AREAS, FROM GRR TO THE SOUTH AND WEST ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE COLD AS THESE ARE THE ZONES THAT HAVE THE FURTHEST DEVELOPMENT. THE FREEZE WARNING IS FOR ALL ZONES THAT ARE CURRENTLY ACTIVE/IN THE GROWING SEASON, ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PENTWATER TO ALMA. AS A SIDE NOTE ON THE COLD, 850MB TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE ABOUT AS COLD AS IT GETS. THE ECMWF IS FORECASTING -11 TO -13C AIR TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER PENINSULA. ACCORDING TO THE SPC SOUNDING CLIMATOLOGY WEBSITE THIS WILL BE ABOUT THE COLDEST IT HAS EVER BEEN AND SOUNDING RECORDS FOR DTX GO BACK TO THE 1940S, INCLUDING DTX/MTC AND FNT AS SOUNDING SITES." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 From Excessive Heat Warnings in the desert Southwest to Freeze Warnings/Watch's in the MW/Gl's....our nation remains divided (even in the wx dept)...looks like back home a Hard Freeze is in the cards with near record cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 The JMA weeklies are in this morning and are advertising quite a wet signal for the majority of our Sub. As average high temps continue to climb, near seasonal norms will start "feeling" much better as we progress through the rest of met Spring. Week 2... Week 3-4... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted May 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Freeze Watch in effect for Saturday morning. Freeze Warning in effect here for tomorrow morning. Temps as low as 28F expected. Thankfully the UHI should protect the metro from falling lower than 30F. Additional freeze/frost possible each day into Tuesday. Critical fire weather today with RH as low as 15%. We’re very dry so far this spring, with no big precip chances on the horizon. I’m about to whip out the sprinklers and start watering my lawn. Quite the change from the last few years when we set precip records in April and May. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Freeze Watch in effect for Saturday morning. Freeze Warning in effect here for tomorrow morning. Temps as low as 28F expected. Thankfully the UHI should protect the metro from falling lower than 30F. Additional freeze/frost possible each day into Tuesday. Critical fire weather today with RH as low as 15%. We’re very dry so far this spring, with no big precip chances on the horizon. I’m about to whip out the sprinklers and start watering my lawn. Quite the change from the last few years when we set precip records in April and May.If this indeed is a trend, the blocking pattern up north could persist throughout the Summer and leave you guys up north high and dry. I'm pretty sure once the "ring of fire" pattern sets up at times this summer you can score some well-timed bouts of severe wx. Last night's model trends have gotten cooler and drier for our northern tier and warmer/wetter for our southern members. It remains to be seen if a well-timed warm up transpires for Memorial Day weekend. The EPS says "yes", while the GEFS say "no"...CFSv2/JMA also say "no"....I hope it does get warmer and more enjoyable for you guys. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 We will have to see just how cold it really gets on Friday and for the next several days after. At this time a high of 43 per the NWS is in the forecast for tomorrow. The record coldest maximum for May 8th is 41 set in 1947 when a trace of snow was also reported. In 2nd place is 44 set in 1974 in 3rd place 47 set in 1945 and in 4th place is 48 set in 1960. The low for tomorrow night is foretasted to be 27. The record low at Grand Rapids is a cold 23 set in 1974 with 27 set in 1966 in 2nd place followed by 28 in 1966 and 29 in 1977 and 1955. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 If this indeed is a trend, the blocking pattern up north could persist throughout the Summer and leave you guys up north high and dry. I'm pretty sure once the "ring of fire" pattern sets up at times this summer you can score some well-timed bouts of severe wx. Last night's model trends have gotten cooler and drier for our northern tier and warmer/wetter for our southern members. It remains to be seen if a well-timed warm up transpires for Memorial Day weekend. The EPS says "yes", while the GEFS say "no"...CFSv2/JMA also say "no"....I hope it does get warmer and more enjoyable for you guys.Not sure about rain fall but as to temperatures in the past May's that have been cold have tended to cooler than averages summers. Some examples are 1945, 1960, 1974, 1997 but some have been mixed like 1947 that had cool June and July but a hot August. 1947 up and down. So we shall see how this summer goes. For me it will not be as much fun either way as I work for the local minor league baseball team and it don't look like we will be playing this year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Models continue to target a week from today as the beginning of a warmup. Warmup to normal that is. The 15th is when temps really get back to season averages around much of the region. 00z Euro for the 15th below. The average high for May 15th in Cedar Rapids is 71 per the NWS, so we are finally going to be around normal. I wish that Pivotal had a maximum temperature map. I'd like to see the forecasted high temperatures per day, but for the life of me I cannot find a good map of this on any weather model website. If somebody knows of one let me know. Instant Weather Maps has it, but they only have the 5 degree contour lines and on a national scale, so it's hard to read. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Attm, its 54F under mostly cloudy skies. Possible record low temps likely for both Detroit and my locale as temps drop into the upper 20s in Detroit and 20-25F for MBY. Snowshowers are also possible tomorrow. Much warmer by late next week!!!!!! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 A little bored today and looking up some all time records. And some i find to be truly astounding. In the month of July in Cedar Rapids, a record high has been broken only ONE single time since 1940. That was in 2012. Incredible. And if you look at Burlington, IA they had 14 consecutive days in 1936 with record highs, and more amazing is all 14 still stand today. From July 4th through the 17th. The last record high broken in July in Burlington was in 1988. Incredible stuff. https://www.weather.gov/dvn/climategraph_month_image_table_cid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Beautiful day out. The breeze and mild temp reminds me of being on the beach near San Diego. 64.8°F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 I'd like to see the forecasted high temperatures per day, but for the life of me I cannot find a good map of this on any weather model website. If somebody knows of one let me know. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/iowa/max-temp-2m-6h/20200508-0000z.html 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 Very gusty winds out there......Wind Speed W 18 G 31 mph. Arctic Air on the move! Crazy! Watch your home folks. During a "Pandemic", people tend to do stupid things. Looks like somebody tried to mess w my gates in front of my home last nite as my cameras got them. Punkasses are lucky they did not succeed! They would have NOT made it out! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 The last time NYC dipped into the 30s in May was in 1978! WOW! Looks like it will happen this weekend for them w possible snowshowers in the city itself. Big snowstorm for New England. As much as a ft of snow will fall in spots. Historic Snowstorm on the way for them. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 7, 2020 Report Share Posted May 7, 2020 12z Euro once again backing off on the warmup. It seems the 00z runs are showing the warmth and the 12z runs keeps it cooler. GFS has been more consistent with the warming trend, I can only hope that the GFS is correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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