Jump to content

May 2020 Weather discussion for the PNW

TigerWoodsLibido

By TigerWoodsLibido
in West of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

GeorgeWx Newbie

GeorgeWx

Posted
Posted

Coming soon to a PNW airport near you!

 

Also worth noting that a lot of our mega heat wave years were actually followed by winters with decent arctic airmasses (2009, 2006, 1998, 1988, 1981, 1961, 1956, 1942, 1941). We definitely want them.

Yes we do.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 3.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

wx_statman
wx_statman

Hi guys, I hope everyone is doing well. Wanted to share with you all my first published paper, out this month in AMS Journal of Climate. I looked at 30 years of lightning data for the western US and a

Requiem
Requiem

Not really relevant-- but looks like I'm going to have to stick around on this part of the board for a while....I officially committed to University of Oregon as a BA major and psych minor

Jesse
Jesse

It was a very pretty afternoon in the eastern Columbia Gorge. First drive out there in a few months.    

Posted Images

Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

2008, 1990, and 1972 had some pretty good heat events at least. And the famed cold summer of 1955 actually topped out at 100 in Seattle with the big early June event.

 

Meh. I've just never seen a real correlation between summers and following winters in the PNW.

 

That was a helluva event in early June 1955, though.

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
BLI snowman Grand Master

BLI snowman

Posted
Posted

Meh. I've just never seen a real correlation between summers and following winters in the PNW.

 

That was a helluva event in early June 1955, though.

 

There's not a huge correlation, but it is fun when we can pair up significant events in a single year. I had a 101 degree spread in 2009. Hottest and coldest temps of the century still that year here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

Portland, ME is half the city of Portland, OR (city of my birth).

 

But seriously, it's way bigger and has a TV show.

The weather is better in the small Portland, though.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

Apparently the weather in the PNW is more interesting to you.

At this time of year, it definitely is.

 

It’s 73°F with 100% humidity here at 230AM. Grotesque.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted

A few years Portland was forecasted to reach 112 and 113 for a few days. Then the wildfire smoke came and kept the temperatures down and it didn’t make it. The 107 is low hanging fruit. It will fall soon:

Aside from maybe some raw output on a few GFS runs 5-6 days out, 112-113F was never in the cards for August of 2017. Smoke or no. Even without the smoke it’s unlikely they would have gotten above 105-106F with that airmass.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

How hot can it get in Florida?

Rarely gets over 100°F, but it always feels like 100°F+ in the afternoon. I really think daily forecasts should at least list the heat index (perhaps even replace temperature with heat index and wind chill, since that’s what it actually feels like to the general population).

 

I dislike all heat, but I can tolerate desert much better. I’ve been to Scottsdale AZ during the summer in 110°F temperatures. At least your sweat actually evaporates/cools you down when it’s dry. With swamp heat, the sweat just drips down your face and back like hot water leaving a sponge, soaking you in warm juices. It’s disgusting and you can feel your interior body temperature rising if you’re out in it for too long.

 

Give me 110/45 over 90/75 anytime.

  • Like 2
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

With no smoke, 107 would have been broken for sure. Low hanging fruit because the record of 107 is from 1965 and 1981. The climate in Portland has been warming since then. Especially the last ten years. Other parts of the country have seen numerous new all time record highs. Seattle went from 100 to 103 so Portland reaching 110 can happen.

The 107 will eventually get broken someday. Records are meant to be broken or shattered.

  • Like 1

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

Coming soon to a PNW airport near you!

 

Also worth noting that a lot of our mega heat wave years were actually followed by winters with decent arctic airmasses (2009, 2006, 1998, 1988, 1981, 1961, 1956, 1942, 1941). We definitely want them.

Yeah, even recently we've had some really warm/hot summers lately followed by cold snowy winters. 16-17 and 18-19 immediately come to mind. Also I know it was the reverse but December 2008 was the snowiest winter I ever experienced and then the following summer he had that epic heatwave. Extreme weather seems to feed off of extreme weather. Maybe some type of feedback loop occcuring.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ShawniganLake Grand Master

ShawniganLake

Posted
Posted

Shawnigan Lake is sitting at 2.52” of rain for the month. Looks like most of the rain and thunderstorm potential will miss us to the east tomorrow. Could be some very heavy rain in the lower mainland and southern interior. Some high stream flows are expected in the interior with hot weather today and heavy rain tomorrow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
GeorgeWx Newbie

GeorgeWx

Posted
Posted

Aside from maybe some raw output on a few GFS runs 5-6 days out, 112-113F was never in the cards for August of 2017. Smoke or no. Even without the smoke it’s unlikely they would have gotten above 105-106F with that airmass.

I saw 112 and 113 I think on channel 8. Matt Zaffano was doing the forecast. It might not have reached those temperatures but 106-109 was likely without the smoke.
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
GeorgeWx Newbie

GeorgeWx

Posted
Posted

Yeah, even recently we've had some really warm/hot summers lately followed by cold snowy winters. 16-17 and 18-19 immediately come to mind. Also I know it was the reverse but December 2008 was the snowiest winter I ever experienced and then the following summer he had that epic heatwave. Extreme weather seems to feed off of extreme weather. Maybe some type of feedback loop occcuring.

I got here from Florida in January 2009 so I missed the big snowfall by like 2 weeks.
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

Rarely gets over 100°F, but it always feels like 100°F+ in the afternoon. I really think daily forecasts should at least list the heat index (perhaps even replace temperature with heat index and wind chill, since that’s what it actually feels like to the general population).

 

I dislike all heat, but I can tolerate desert much better. I’ve been to Scottsdale AZ during the summer in 110°F temperatures. At least your sweat actually evaporates/cools you down when it’s dry. With swamp heat, the sweat just drips down your face and back like hot water leaving a sponge, soaking you in warm juices. It’s disgusting and you can feel your interior body temperature rising if you’re out in it for too long.

 

Give me 110/45 over 90/75 anytime.

Agreed, the massive diurnal swings would be fun to experience as well.

  • Like 1

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted

I saw 112 and 113 I think on channel 8. Matt Zaffano was doing the forecast. It might not have reached those temperatures but 106-109 was likely without the smoke.

Based on what? There were some crazy runs in the several days leading up to it, but that airmass verified just about where our 105-106 degree heat events historically have.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
GeorgeWx Newbie

GeorgeWx

Posted
Posted

Based on what? There were some crazy runs in the several days leading up to it, but that airmass verified just about where out 105-106 degree heat events historically have.

DI-16hVV4AAoOU8.jpg

The smoke from the eagle creek fire drifted into Portland keeping temperatures down. Most channels had 106-109.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...