Jump to content

June 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

Recommended Posts

As we just had the unofficial kick off to Summer this past weekend, met Summer officially begins in less than a week as June is knocking on our doorstep.  I'm pretty certain its going to get hot and humid for a lot of you as we open the door to a new month and a "well timed" heat wave looks to build across the Plains states and lobes of this heat will push east into the MW/GL's.  I'm sure many of you are already in Summer mode and I think based on recent trends in the models this month should end up warmer and remain active.

 

Who's ready for some summer heat???

 

Trends in the CFSv2 are warmer...

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.202006.gif

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.202006.gif

 

 

 

 

 

1.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

KC did finally get some rain to help get things watered. We certainly have had some bad luck in April and May. I scored 1.35 inches of rain in the last 24 hours. The grass loves it. We actually had yards turning brown in areas of KC north with mid to upper 80’s on Saturday and Sunday. Rained just in time.

 

Hopefully we can get a few more rounds this week before heat shows back up that Tom is mentioning.

 

Before the potential warm-up, Friday through Sunday look beautiful here in KC, cool mornings in the 50’s and highs in the 70’s.

 

Looks like KC will finish meteorological spring with below average temps and below average moisture. (Unless we get 2+ inches more this week)

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

@BAMWx is on board with what I had envisioned as the seasons first "Ring of Fire" pattern.  The Euro has been advertising some intense CAPE values across the central ag belt states later next week.

 

 

1.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@BAMWx is on board with what I had envisioned as the seasons first "Ring of Fire" pattern. The Euro has been advertising some intense CAPE values across the central ag belt states later next week.

Bring on the storms! Will be interesting to see how this pans out.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bring on the storms! Will be interesting to see how this pans out.

June 2nd is my target period for your backyard to be in line to get some big time storms.  The Upper MW near the Dakotas will start a day earlier and shift south the following day.  That'll be the seasons highest potential up that way and in your neck of the woods.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As we head into June, I don't think we have had a single widespread thunderstorm (MCS) event across my area.  June is typically our big month, so I hope it doesn't disappoint.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

June will enter in SEMI on a very cool note. Temps Monday morning will be in the nippy 40s (low 40s that is w even a couple of upper 30s in spots).

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, looks like the N Atlantic blocking pattern will negate any real sustained warmth and humidity if you live closer to the GL's next week.  Last nights Euro showing a wave of storms Wed/Thu across the eastern MW states and GL's as the first wave of the "Ring of Fire" pattern sets up.  I'm starting to think the warmest temps will hold across the central Plains and Upper MW but allow a lobe of it to head east for a few days.  DP's drop off dramatically later next week across the northern and eastern Sub as a refreshing Canadian airmass takes place.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The JMA weeklies pretty much showcase the center of the June heat across the SW/Rockies/Plains while storm clusters form on the periphery of this ridge.  Temps overall are much AN for those in NE and near normal across the eastern Sub.

 

 

Y202005.D2712_gl2.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As we head into June, I don't think we have had a single widespread thunderstorm (MCS) event across my area.  June is typically our big month, so I hope it doesn't disappoint.

While a MCS might not be in play, early indication off the Euro is that the middle of next week would be the best chances of the season for your area to get hit with strong storms.  The Euro is showing some very high levels of CAPE and the way this season has started off, I'm sure we'll see some intense storm clusters Wed/Thu.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yikes, the last couple runs off the Euro suggest a major heat wave to inundate the entire Sub Forum later next week all the way from the GOM to the Canadian border!  By next Friday, the Plains could be flirting with the Century mark as the seasons 1st 100F temps are in the cards.  Very high humidity is possible with DP's in the low/mid 70's across the MW/GL's/OHV starting late next week and continuing into the following week.  Looks like this heat wave may have some legs.  Gear up for some real Summer time HEAT!

 

The signal for multiple storm clusters/MCS's mid next week are increasing as we get closer in time.  The seasons 1st "Ring of Fire" pattern should spell some trouble for our members across the central Sub.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m hoping for a strong enough storm from the west so it rains onto the plants that are sheltered beneath the eaves on the west side of the house as need to water them occasionally. Looks a little damp under there now though. Just haven’t had much of any west winds during rain events for a long time!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Blazing Heat is still looking likely for parts of NE/KS and the central/southern Plains later next week as lower DP's (relative to the others on here) are blown in from the deserts of the SW into the Great Plains. I wouldn't be surprised if @CentralNeb records his first 90F & 100F temp of the season all in one week.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Blazing Heat is still looking likely for parts of NE/KS and the central/southern Plains later next week as lower DP's (relative to the others on here) are blown in from the deserts of the SW into the Great Plains. I wouldn't be surprised if @CentralNeb records his first 90F & 100F temp of the season all in one week.

This typically is when we get a heat wave it seems like in the last 10 years or so. With all the rain we’ve had recently, I’m fearful that dew points will be higher than typical. We usually have higher dews when irrigation gets going and the crops release more moisture. Won’t have that worry yet. Not a fan of extreme heat. We have had a wonderful spring and have loved having windows open. The A/C bill will start going up.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice warm-up coming next week for SEMI, but nothing extraordinary. Back to near normal or maybe slightly above or below. Lots of sunshine though, but some t'stms are in the forecast for Tuesday. Lets see if they will be severe.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Fires are burning early this season and there were some that were sparked by lighting last weekend.

 

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-wildfires/2020/05/31/ocotillo-fire-evacuated-residents-cave-creek/5303809002/

 

I don't recall ever seeing 30 days straight of a spotless Sun...Zzzzzz

 

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 30 days
2020 total: 121 days (79%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Welcome to the first day of meteorological summer. Looking back at May 2020. At Grand Rapids. The mean temperature was 57.7° that is a departure of -2.0. The high for the month was 90 on the 26th and the low for the month was 26 on the 9th  There was a reported 4.22” of precipitation. There was a trace of snow fall and for the season the total will be 53.5” There was a reported total of 5 thunderstorms (I can not recall that many) There we 3 records reported at Grand Rapids. 1. A new record high of 90 was recorded on May 26th 2. A new record rain fall was recorded of 1.62” was recorded on May 18th and 3 a new snow fall record of a trace was recorded on May 8th

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

High of 93 forecasted today. South winds of 30 mph and dews in the mid 50’s so it won’t be bad. We got back to Weight workouts this morning with our high school football team. Beautiful weather. Kids were pumped to see each other and interact. Most hadn’t all been together since March 16th. Nebraska allows groups of 25 to work out together, though our head coach is having no more than 12 in a group for now per coach and we have multiple places to workout in stations.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sunny skies w temps at 63F

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI453 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-020900-Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-453 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan..DAY ONE...Today and TonightThere is a chance of thunderstorms tonight, mainly after midnight andnorth of I-69. The storms are not expected to reach severe limits butcould produce pea size hail and heavy downpours while moving west toeast at 40 mph. Localized rainfall total could approach 1 inch bysunrise Tuesday..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through SundayThere is another chance of thunderstorms late Tuesday night intoWednesday morning as a slow moving cold front approaches from thewest. There is a marginal risk for these storms to reach severelimits with damaging wind the primary hazard. Hail near 1 inch andlocally heavy rainfall are also possible.

The Tues-nite storms have a better chance for my area, so we will see how that pans out. Once this CF rolls on through, drier, cooler air arrives.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice cooldown coming by the upcoming weekend as temps drop into the 50s at night w a few 40s in the colder areas and highs mainly remaining in the 70s w low humidity. Great weather for June.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The euro has consistently shown tonight's storms skipping over my area, but some models do show us getting something.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It looks like we are in store for some nice warm summer weather.  I love it when there are high temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's and lows in the upper 50's to low 60's. If I have my way that is the kind of weather we would have that all year long. But at this point I would settle for that all summer long. At this time it is sunny and 78 here at my house.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We wanted some heat and we got it.  It is currently 91/68 in Cedar Rapids.  My body is not used to it.

 

This it the first time Cedar Rapids has hit 90º since last July.

  • Like 5

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...