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June 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Hot hot hot. 90.9*F.

 

I'm not liking the severe weather setup this far North tomorrow. PWAT looks good enough to maybe fire general storms up here, but I'm not liking the CAPE/DP setup for up here. I think the target zone for a good setup will be along a Lima-Canton-Youngstown line and then South of there.

 

2020060218_NAM_027_41.66,-83.83_severe_m

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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A hot, sunny day and a tad humid w temps being well into the 80s. Looks like some wild weather moving in here by daybreak. Currently, this batch of severe storms situated north of Minneapolis and making a bee-line towards MBY. My area could be increased in the "Enhanced Risk" category. So far, in the "Slight Risk."

 

More severe weather on Friday as another CF rolls on through. Sunny, cooler, drier air follows afterwards w 70s for highs and 40s and 50s for low temps.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

427 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-030830-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

427 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

Thunderstorms are likely tonight in the primary time window of

midnight to 6 AM. There is a slight risk outlook for storms to

maintain severe levels while moving through southeast Michigan. The

primary hazard is damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater. Large

hail near 1 inch is also possible along with heavy rainfall that

could lead to localized flooding. Storms are projected to move west

to east at 45 mph.

 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Storms literally fell apart just miles from my backyard. Haha! Oh well. Still fun to watch. Getting some darker lower clouds now and the wind went from calm to a bit breezy from the NW. Most of the day it was a breezy SW wind. Fun stuff

 

Edit: I think the boundary is moving through. Just not much action for mby

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Hit a toasty 95 degrees today in Omaha, just three degrees short of the daily record high for the day (the record of 98 degrees was set back in 1911). 

 

Not feeling optimistic that we will see much of any thunderstorm activity in the metro area tonight... there's a small chance that a storm could roll through later, however the better chances are off to the north and east as there is currently a severe-warned storm just southeast of Sioux City in Monona County, Iowa. 

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It is now a very warm 80F and a dew pt. of 69F. Ingredients are excellent for severe weather. Storm cells are now in central Wisconsin and headed towards SEMI, especially, towards the northern suburbs, where it is expected to get hi the hardest. Have to make sure I turn on all of my weather notifications tanite.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Jaster buddy, look out. I think you are in the "Enhanced Risk" for severe weather, which I think might be extended all the way east towards my area as the nite progresses.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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KLNK hit 96 today, dew points were "only" in the mid 60s. Classic summer forecast for the next 7 days. Highs mainly in the 90s with isolated thunderstorm chances. There might be some relief by day 8-10, more so on the GFS than Euro.

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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There was a rather good amount of lightning last night but mostly not real close to me. I did record 0.48” of rain. The official high at GRR yesterday was 86 here at my house I had a high of 88. The current official temperature at GRR is 64 while here at my house it is 62 with a DP of 59.

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PHX set an overnight record high low yesterday morning of 87F and today we ONLY dipped down to 89F so far which will likely set another overnight record high low.  Back to Back nights where debris clouds have insulated the heat within the city metro.

 

Edit: Relief is in sight this weekend into next week as we dip into the DOUBLE digits!  That's going to feel MUCH better...

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GEM is going cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs, showing a 984mB low in the Dakotas next week on the tail of the tropical remnants that are supposed to hit the GLs.

 

Euro shows 2 weaker lows (one being the remnants) phasing right over me and bombing down to 974 once it hits Ontario. THAT would be interesting. It would bring gale-force winds to here, and the formation closely resembles a sub-tropical cyclone over here.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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The GFS continues to run 10+ degrees colder on Saturday than other models.  Most models have highs in eastern Iowa in the low 80s Saturday, while the GFS is stuck in the low 70s.  Looking ahead to around the 12th, the Euro has highs in the 50s for large portions of the midwest and upper midwest/GL's regions.  Hopefully that modifies as we get closer. 

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One thing's for sure. Most of the sub is seeing rain next week. Models are even showing snow/mixed precip VERY far South in Canada for this time of year, with the line getting as far South as Winnipeg.

 

sfcwind_mslp.conus.png

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Severe storms blasted my area last nite w large hail, torrential rains and damaging winds at around 330am. That was wild stuff. Drove around my sub this morning, but did not see and trees down. Not sure if I will have time to go outside my sub to look around for any damage, but, it sure did get nasty late last nite.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Temp attm is 74F w mostly cloudy skies and breezy. Dew is a little uncomfortable 67F.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Two lines of storms moved through my area overnight.  Both crapped out on me.  The first red cell had a bunch of lightning, but rapidly weakened the second it entered the city.  The second line mostly skipped over me and redeveloped on the other side of the city.  My rain total is only 0.19".  At least it filled the rain barrel.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Todays models are looking interesting regarding Cristobal in the gulf. The GFS and Euro both show the system tracking north and interacting with a frontal system next Wednesday producing heavy rain across the midwest, especially across MO, IA, IL and even WI. 

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Todays models are looking interesting regarding Cristobal in the gulf. The GFS and Euro both show the system tracking north and interacting with a frontal system next Wednesday producing heavy rain across the midwest, especially across MO, IA, IL and even WI. 

 

That's a real big improvement for eastern Iowa.  The latest Euro is much farther nw and tracks a strong low right through us.  971 mb low in northern Wisconsin in June?!?  Wow!

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Seeing a lot of lightning in the distance this evening

 

Pretty decent bowed line passing to your sw.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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